How Many Goals Will Lamine Yamal Score in World Cup 2026? Spain Prediction

Spain RW Lamine Yamal was 15 during the 2022 World Cup and had yet to make his senior professional debut at Barcelona. Since then, Yamal has become a household name and perhaps the best player in the world.

In his World Cup debut, Lamine Yamal is projected to score 3 goals in the World Cup on PrizePicks, and he has a 16.66x payout to win the World Cup Golden Boot. Will Lamine Yamal go More or Less than his projected goal total for the tournament?

Below, we’ll break down how many goals Lamine Yamal could score in the 2026 World Cup, including projections on PrizePicks. How could Lamine Yamal fare for Spain in the upcoming tournament, starting on June 11?

Before and during the 2026 World Cup, you can make real-money predictions on players like Lamine Yamal to score goals, tally assists, win the Golden Boot, and more on PrizePicks.

Make Lamine Yamal World Cup picks on PrizePicks now.

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How Many Goals Will Lamine Yamal Score for Spain?

At just 16, Lamine Yamal became the youngest player to make his international debut with Spain in 2023. He quickly became Spain’s youngest goalscorer at 16 years and 57 days old

Yamal reached international fame with 1 goal and 4 assists over seven matches in the 2024 UEFA EURO, helping La Roja win their first EURO title since 2012. 

At this point, Barcelona’s superstar has built a reputation as perhaps the best teenager we have ever seen. In the 2025-26 campaign with Barcelona, Yamal tallied 16 goals and 11 assists over 28 appearances.

In two World Cup qualifying appearances, Yamal did not find the back of the net but still recorded 3 assists. Plus, he posted an impressive 1.67 expected goals (xG), via FotMob.

Spain wrapped up their friendly fixtures with a 3-1 win over Peru on Monday, June 8, but Yamal was not featured. He injured his hamstring in late April. Spain manager Luis de la Fuente emphasized he believes his superstar will be ready for Spain’s opening match vs. Cape Verde on June 15.

Assuming Yamal is miraculously fit for World Cup 2026 following a torn hamstring in April, a vital role should await the 18-year-old. 

Spain typically rolls out a 4-3-3, with Yamal manning the right wing alongside LW Nico Williams and ST Mikel Oyarzabal. Yamal’s 3-goal projection for the 2026 World Cup is the same total as Oyarzabal’s, which hints at Spain dropping their striker into the midfield while a winger moves up the pitch at times.

The teenage phenom is excellent in one-on-one situations, often drawing double teams. Furthermore, Yamal possesses extraordinary creativity, controlling the ball often. 

He will draw a ton of attention from defenses, and rightfully so. However, Spain’s attacking is dangerous across the board. Williams and Oyarzabal may be able to take pressure off Yamal at times — especially with Williams’ ability to draw double teams.

Spain is the overwhelming favorite to win Group H (1.23x payout) over Uruguay, Cape Verde, and Saudi Arabia. La Roja is currently tied with France as the favorite to win the 2026 World Cup (5x payout).

Lamine Yamal World Cup Picks, Payouts for PrizePicks

Here are the available markets and payouts for Lamine Yamal goals and more for Spain in the 2026 World Cup on PrizePicks Player Picks and Team Picks.

Lamine Yamal Goals in 2026 World Cup: 3 Goals

Lamine Yamal to Win Golden Boot: Yes 16.66x | No 1.01x

Lamine Yamal to Win Golden Ball: Yes 6.25x | No 1.9x

Spain to Advance to Knockout Stage: Yes N/A | No 33.33x

Spain to Win Group H: Yes 1.23x | No 3.84x‍

Spain to Advance to Round of 16: Yes 1.23x | No 3.84x‍

Spain to Advance to Quarterfinals: Yes 1.58x | No 2.27x

Spain to Advance to Semifinals: Yes 2.04x | No 1.72x

Spain to Advance to Final: Yes 3.12x | No 1.33x‍

Spain to Win 2026 Men’s World Cup: Yes 5x | No 1.14x

PrizePicks payouts show how much a correct prediction can return. For example, a 2x payout on a $100 entry would return $200 on PrizePicks Team Picks.

The lower the payout multiplier, the more likely the outcome is based on user picks. Payouts are live as of writing but are subject to change. 

Lock in Lamine Yamal picks for the 2026 World Cup on PrizePicks now!

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Spain World Cup Outlook: How Far Will Spain Go?

As the favorite to win Group H (1.23x payout) on PrizePicks Team Picks, Spain is expected to advance to the knockout stage. According to FIFA’s rankings, Spain is second compared to Uruguay (16th), Cape Verde (67th), and Saudi Arabia (61st).

June 26’s match vs. Uruguay should be La Roja’s greatest challenge in the group stage by a landslide. PrizePicks Team Picks gives Spain a 1.56x payout to win vs. Uruguay, compared to 1.06x vs. Cape Verde and 1.09x vs. Saudi Arabia.

Uruguay can play a risky 4-3-3 system that looks to put a lot of pressure on the ball. However, Spain has the technical skills to burn La Celeste — especially Yamal. Spain could rack up goals in the group stage.

Large leads may lead to fewer minutes for Yamal. Plus, will he play all three fixtures considering his hamstring injury?

Assuming Spain wins Group H, it would face the runner-up from Group J. Argentina would be a nightmare draw here, but it will likely be one of Austria or Algeria. Frankly, La Roja has a 1.23x payout to appear in the Round of 16 for a reason.  

Tied as the favorite to win World Cup 2026 (5x) on PrizePicks Team Picks, Yamal could get plenty of matches to score goals — even if he misses some time in the group stage.

Spain RW Lamine Yamal World Cup Pick: 3 Goals 

PrizePicks Team Picks has Yamal tied for the seventh-shortest payout to win the Golden Boot (16.66x) compared to the shortest payout for the Golden Ball (6.25x). He may not log goals in bunches like some of the world’s best strikers, including England’s Harry Kane and France’s Kylian Mbappe.

However, Yamal could still finish as this tournament’s most outstanding player due to goal contributions. This was on display at the 2024 EURO with 5 goal contributions in seven matches. 

The 18-year-old’s 3-goal projection is on par with Spain’s striker, Oyarzabal (3). Yamal’s 12.81 xG and 37 shots on target in the 2025-26 campaign with Barcelona each finished in the 100th percentile for his position in La Liga.

He should further benefit from Spain’s technical skill that allows them to dominate possession. In six UEFA qualifying matches, La Roja held a 70.4% possession rate (fourth-highest), per WhoScored.com. Spain’s midfield of Pedri, Rodri, and Fabian Ruiz is a talented group that can help funnel the ball to Yamal.

The hamstring injury is likely the biggest key to this goal projection for World Cup 2026. If Yamal is fit, Spain will likely live up to being one of the favorites, making a deep run in this tournament. With that said, Lamine could make his declaration as the world’s best on the biggest stage of all. 

Add Lamine Yamal to your 2026 World Cup Picks on PrizePicks!

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Make 2026 World Cup Picks on PrizePicks

Will Yamal live up to the hype in his World Cup debut? The 18-year-old would enter a different stratosphere if his efforts help fuel Spain’s first World Cup title since 2010.

You can make your 2026 World Cup picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on World Cup games. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. 

With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states. 

Stick around with the Playbook for continued World Cup predictions, picks, and analysis through the end of the tournament.