How Many Goals Will Kylian Mbappe Score in World Cup 2026? France Prediction

After finishing as runners-up in 2022, Kylian Mbappe and France head to North America for the 2026 World Cup, amongst the top favorites to lift the trophy this summer. 

The 27-year-old Mbappe has scored over 40 goals in every season since winning the Golden Boot at the 2022 World Cup, where he scored 8 goals.

Kylian Mbappe is projected to score 4.5 goals in the World Cup on PrizePicks Team Picks, and has a 5.26x payout to win the Golden Boot. But will Mbappe go More or Less than that goals number in the World Cup?

Below, we’ll break down how many goals Kylian Mbappe could score in the 2026 World Cup, including projections on PrizePicks. How could Kylian Mbappe fare for France in the upcoming tournament, starting with their first game vs. Senegal on June 16?

Before and during the 2026 World Cup, you can make real-money predictions on players like Kylian Mbappe to score goals, tally assists, win the Golden Boot, and more on PrizePicks.

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How Many Goals Will Kylian Mbappe Score for France in the World Cup?

Coming off a 43-goal season at Real Madrid, Mbappe enters the 2026 World Cup as one of the most dangerous attackers in the competition. With 56 goals in 96 appearances for his national team, he sits just one behind Olivier Giroud on France's all-time scoring list. 

Mbappe will have plenty of opportunities to surpass Giroud, and will likely become Les Bleus’ all-time top scorer by the end of the group stage.

He will face Norway and Iraq, two inexperienced teams making their first World Cup appearances in 28 and 40 years, respectively. Despite opponents typically dropping into a low block defensively against France, Les Bleus simply have too many creators who inevitably create goal-scoring opportunities. 

This was apparent in World Cup qualifiers, where France averaged 2.7 goals per game despite opponents “parking the bus.”

PrizePicks Team Picks projects Mbappe to lead all scorers at the 2026 World Cup and claim his second Golden Boot, with England’s Harry Kane projected just behind him. 

France’s captain benefits greatly as the team’s designated penalty kick taker, especially with VAR creating more PK opportunities. He scored 2 PKs in the 2022 World Cup Final alone. 

In the Golden Ball race, Mbappe enters as the third favorite behind Kane and Spain's Lamine Yamal, despite having taken home the Silver Ball in 2022.

Kylian Mbappe World Cup Picks, Payouts for PrizePicks

Here are the available markets and payouts for Kylian Mbappe goals and more for France in the 2026 World Cup on PrizePicks Player Picks and Team Picks.

Kylian Mbappe Goals in 2026 World Cup: 4.5 Goals on Player Picks

Kylian Mbappe to Win Golden Boot: Yes 5.26x | No 1.13x

Kylian Mbappe to Win Golden Ball: Yes 7.14x | No 1.07x

France to Advance to Knockout Stage: Yes 1.01x | No 11.11x

France to Advance to Round of 16: Yes 1.21x | No 3.84x

France to Advance to Quarterfinals: Yes 1.63x | No 2.17x

France to Advance to Semifinals: Yes 2.22x | No 1.61x

France to Advance to Final: Yes 3.22x | No 1.31x

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PrizePicks payouts show how much a correct prediction can return. For example, a 2x payout on a $100 entry would return $200 on PrizePicks Team Picks.

The lower the payout multiplier, the more likely the outcome is based on user picks. Payouts are live as of writing and are subject to change.

France World Cup Outlook: How Far Will France Go?

France enters the competition as the second favorite to win its third World Cup in the country’s history, per PrizePicks Team Picks. Regardless of the outcome, we can infer that Didier Deschamps’ squad has been commonly picked for a deep run based on PrizePicks payouts. 

France reaching the quarterfinals has an over 50% implied chance based on current payouts. This means we can expect Mbappe and Co. to play at least six matches, with the potential for more. Mbappe averaged 1.1 goals per game in the 2022 World Cup.

France F Kylian Mbappe World Cup Pick: 4.5 Goals

Mbappe is scheduled to feature in his third World Cup after an impressive season in all competitions at Real Madrid. He has now won back-to-back Golden Boots in his first two La Liga seasons and claimed his second Champions League Golden Boot this year. 

Despite a hamstring injury late in the season, Mbappe returned to score two goals and add an assist in limited minutes across Madrid's final five matches. 

With the tournament's expanded format, Mbappe will have more opportunities than ever to add to his 12 career World Cup goals, and vs. lesser competition than past years. 

Even with France's wealth of attacking talent, Mbappe should have plenty of opportunities to finish among the tournament's top scorers.

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Mbappe and France will look to channel the pain of the 2022 Final defeat to Argentina into motivation this summer. France — and the rest of the world — is looking for a big tournament from the Real Madrid star as he looks to win his second World Cup title.

You can make your 2026 World Cup picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on World Cup games. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. 

With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states. 

Stick around with the Playbook for continued World Cup predictions, picks, and analysis through the end of the tournament.