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Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos Prediction, UFC Fight Night Pick

UFC fighter Josh Emmett takes down an opponent during a UFC fight.
AP Photo/Jeff Chiu

The stage is set for a must-watch main event at UFC Fight Night as Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos headlines UFC Fight Night on Saturday, March 14, with a top-10 featherweight ranking on the line at UFC Vegas 114.

Emmett vs. Vallejos will be a classic clash of experience versus youth, as the 24-year-old Vallejos steps into his very first UFC main event against the battle-tested 41-year-old.

Vallejos enters as a massive favorite to win the bout, but he'll have to fend off one of the sport's most dangerous one-punch knockout artists in Josh Emmett.

Emmett vs. Vallejos is expected to start at 11:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Find our Emmett vs. Vallejos prediction and UFC Fight Night expert pick for Saturday's main event featherweight bout below, including PrizePicks UFC picks and key stats for this fight night main event.

You can predict UFC winners on PrizePicks Team Picks and earn money if you're right, including on Emmett vs. Vallejos, now available in 35 states.

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Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos Prediction for UFC Fight Night Main Event

Josh Emmett (19-6) arrives at the Meta APEX for UFC Fight Night as a battle-tested featherweight veteran, boasting a resume built on devastating one-punch knockout power.

The 41-year-old enters this main event looking to reverse his recent fortunes against elite competition and firmly defend his ranking against a surging new generation of talent.

Get our expert UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos Predictions for every main card fight

Emmett’s ability to change the trajectory of a fight with a single overhand right makes him a perpetual threat, severely testing the chin of anyone sharing the Octagon, much like his devastating knockout of Bryce Mitchell. 

Look for the seasoned powerhouse to heavily lean on his championship-level experience and fight-ending power to dictate the pace of the bout.

Kevin Vallejos (17-1) enters this bout vs. Emmett as one of the sport's fastest-rising featherweight prospects, eagerly chasing a star-turning victory in his very first UFC main event.

The 24-year-old Argentinian standout has consistently dazzled fans with his explosive and creative striking, recently securing a massive highlight-reel finish over striking veteran Giga Chikadze.

However, "El Chino" faces a massive test against a proven elite challenger in Emmett, equipped with immense durability and legendary punching power. If Vallejos navigates Emmett’s dangerous counters and effectively utilizes his youth and speed advantages, he could leave Las Vegas as a genuine top-10 featherweight contender on the rise.


Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos Payouts for UFC Fight Night

The veteran Josh Emmett enters this main event fight as a big underdog, returning a 4.34x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if he wins.

The up-and-comer Kevin Vallejos enters this UFC Fight Night bout as a massive favorite with a 1.19x payout if he wins, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Fight Winner Payout: Josh Emmett 4.34x ($100 pays out $434) | Kevin Vallejos 1.19x 

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos Prediction for UFC Fight Night Main Event

Here are some UFC stats to help you make your Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos in this main event fight at UFC Fight Night for PrizePicks Team Picks — a sports prediction market — on Saturday night.

  • As the main event on this UFC Fight Night main card, Emmett vs. Vallejos is set for five five-minute rounds.
  • Emmett’s legendary one-punch knockout power and veteran experience will be to his advantage in this matchup — he boasts 12 career knockdowns in the featherweight division.
  • Emmett is tied for the all-time UFC record for most consecutive fights with a landed knockdown (7).
  • Vallejos counters with relentless speed and a suffocating high-pressure pace, averaging an impressive 5.78 significant strikes landed per minute.
  • Most importantly, Vallejos boasts an elite 83% takedown defense, which often keeps his fights standing.
  • 'El Chino' must utilize his youth and aggressive boxing combinations to overwhelm Emmett early, leaning on a dynamic striking arsenal.
  • Emmett holds a massive advantage in five-round main event experience and raw power, but Vallejos’s overwhelming forward pressure and massive striking volume make him a live threat to dictate the terms of every exchange.

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Emmett vs. Vallejos Start Time, How to Watch UFC Fight Night

Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026

Time: Main Card – 9 p.m. ET | Emmett vs. Vallejos Start Time – 11:00 p.m. ET (estimate)

Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

TV: Paramount+


UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos — Tale of the Tape

Here are the key stats to know for Emmett vs. Vallejos in the UFC Fight Night main event.

Josh Emmett Stats for UFC Fight Night

Overall Record: 19-6-0

UFC Record: 10-6-0

Last 5 Fights: 1-4-0

Height: 5’6”

Reach: 70”

Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.72

Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 1.08

Last Fight: Loss vs. Youssef Zalal by Submission

Finishes: 9 (7 KO/TKO/2 SUB)


Kevin Vallejos Stats for UFC Fight Night

Overall Record: 17-1-0

UFC Record: 3-0-0

Last 5 Fights: 4-1-0

Height: 5’7”

Reach: 68”

Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 5.78

Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 0.71

Last Fight: Win vs. Giga Chikadze by Knockout

Finishes: 14 (12 KO/TKO/2 SUB)

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Emmett vs. Vallejos Pick for UFC Fight Night Main Event

Here is our expert UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos pick for the main event fight. All fighter picks are available via PrizePicks MMA board.

Emmett vs. Vallejos Pick: Kevin Vallejos – 65.5 Significant Strikes

  • Kevin Vallejos lands 5.78 significant strikes per minute across his young UFC career, while maintaining a solid 46% striking accuracy.
  • Vallejos vs. Emmett is scheduled for five five-minute rounds, giving the rising prospect up to 25 minutes of Octagon time to surpass his 65.5 sig strikes projection on PrizePicks.
  • PrizePicks projects the Emmett vs. Vallejos fight to last 3.5 rounds — or 17.5 minutes.
  • "El Chino" has proven he can sustain massive striking output over a full 15 minutes, recently landing 66+ significant strikes in his two fights that have gone past the second round.
  • Against Josh Emmett's patient, power-hunting style, Vallejos should leverage his aggressive striking against a veteran who absorbs 4.43 strikes per minute.
  • Emmett has absorbed at least 84 significant strikes in all three of his fights that have gone the full 25 minutes.

Make Your Emmett vs. Vallejos Picks on PrizePicks

The UFC Fight Night main event between Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos features two heavy-handed featherweights battling it out at very different stages of their careers.

The slumping vet Josh Emmett looks to get back on track on Saturday with another highlight reel knockout of surging prospect Kevin Vallejos, who looks to remain unbeaten inside the UFC octagon.

You can win real money by locking in your UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos predictions on PrizePicks — from the first fight of the night all the way to the main event featherweight matchup. Just pick your fighters, choose More or Less on their stats, and win cash if you're right.

You can also predict winners in every UFC fight on PrizePicks Team Picks, now available in 35 states.

Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for UFC picks, predictions, and news for every main card fight.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Garrett Kerman is a seasoned sports writer who has written for numerous outlets over the years from ClutchPoints, to Ballislife, to OutKick Sports. He also goes by the name The Fight Analyst where he has been a prominent voice in combat sports. However, he still maintains his voice in all sports like NFL, NBA, and MLB bringing viewers the best in coverage and analysis.

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