Tonight, the UFC returns to the fight capital of the world for UFC Vegas 114 in an explosive UFC Fight Night on Saturday, March 14,.
The UFC Fight Night main card is headlined by a massive featherweight clash between Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos, anchoring the main card, which is set to kick off at 8 p.m. ET on Paramount+, live from the Meta APEX, featuring a stacked lineup of fights.
The main card slate also delivers a women's strawweight co-main event showdown between Amanda Lemos vs. Gillian Robertson, plus a guaranteed featherweight banger between Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado.
We will give you an in-depth look at every fight and give you and give our UFC Fight Night prediction and picks below for Saturday. You can make your UFC picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on winners, method of victory, and more!
UFC Fight Night Predictions for Main Card Fights
Here are the top UFC Fight Night predictions to target for Saturday, March 14, on PrizePicks, with Emmett vs. Vallejos set for a five-round main event.
Below are the payouts for each fight on the UFC Fight Night main card. With PrizePicks Team Picks, you can make predictions on winners, method of victory, and more for each fight at UFC Fight Night, now available in 35 states.
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos Prediction for UFC Fight Night
Emmett vs. Vellejos Fight Winner Payouts: Josh Emmett 4.34x | Kevin Vallejos 1.19x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Featherweight – 145 lbs.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Emmett vs. Vallejos – 3.5 Total Rounds
- Vallejos comes into this fight as a big favorite to win this fight on PrizePicks Team Picks, with a 1.19x payout to win ($100 pays $119).
- Emmett’s average fight time sits at a lengthy 12:59.
- Emmett is heavily battle-tested in 25-minute wars, having recently gone the full five rounds against elite cardio machines and volume strikers like Lerone Murphy, Ilia Topuria, and Calvin Kattar.
- Vallejos pushes a frantic pace, landing 5.78 significant strikes per minute.
- However, Emmett boasts a very solid 60% significant strike defense.
- Historically, neither of these fighters have seen quick finishes; Vallejos is not known for his submission game, and Emmett has been notoriously durable, being finished before the 17:30 mark only three times in his UFC career.
- With a 16-year and 9-month age gap between the two fighters, Emmett’s primary path to victory relies on veteran pacing.
- Emmett knows he must survive the early storm and deliberately drag the 24-year-old prospect into deep waters to test his gas tank, a strategy that naturally extends the fight duration.
Amanda Lemos vs. Gillian Robertson Prediction for UFC Fight Night
Lemos vs. Robertson Fight Winner Payouts: Amanda Lemos 2.7x | Gillian Robertson 1.42x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Strawweight – 115 lbs.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Gillian Robertson – 36.5 Significant Strikes
- Gillian Robertson averages 2.86 significant strikes landed per minute.
- Robertson is the strong favorite in this bout, with a 1.42x payout on PrizePicks to win outright.
- Amanda Lemos hits hard, but she absorbs a surprisingly high 3.24 significant strikes per minute.
- Lemos is willing to take one to give one, meaning Robertson will have highly accessible targets on the feet.
- Robertson’s average UFC fight time sits at 10:05.
- Robertson has recently shown she can dictate the pace for a full 15 minutes, landing at least 27 significant strikes in three out of her last five fights.
Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy Prediction for UFC Fight Night
Sy vs. Cutelaba Winner Payouts: Oumar Sy 1.33x | Ion Cutelaba 3.03x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight – 205 lbs.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Oumar Sy – 25.5 Significant Strikes
- Oumar Sy averages a highly efficient 3.67 significant strikes landed per minute.
- Sy has landed at least 26 significant strikes in two out of his last three fights.
- He boasts a 3-inch height and massive 8-inch reach advantage (83" vs. 75")
- Cutelaba is wildly aggressive but notoriously hittable, absorbing 3.34 significant strikes per minute while successfully defending just 47% of incoming strikes.
- Cutelaba is incredibly dangerous in the opening minutes, but Sy boasts an elite 70% striking defense and absorbs a mere 1.72 strikes per minute.
- Sy has the ability to drag this fight into the later rounds, where Cutelaba is known to slow down.
- Sy's average UFC fight time sits at a lengthy 9:36, backed by a recent trend of two 15-minute decisions in his last three fights.
Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado Prediction for UFC Fight Night
Fili vs. Delgado Fight Winner Payouts: Andre Fili 4x | Jose Miguel Delgado 1.21x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Featherweight – 145 lbs.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Andre Fili – 27.5 Significant Strikes
- Andre Fili averages 3.87 significant strikes landed per minute.
- If Fili replicated that average, he only needs the fight to reach roughly the midpoint of the second round to successfully surpass his projection.
- The Washington native has effortlessly cleared this projection in his recent three-round decisions, landing Christian Rodriguez (64), Cub Swanson (67), Nathaniel Wood (58).
- Fili’s output is so aggressive that he doesn't even need an extended fight to hit this prop — he landed 20 significant strikes in just 3:32 when he knocked out Lucas Almeida back in December 2023.
- Delgado's aggressive style comes at a severe defensive cost, absorbing a massive 5.44 significant strikes per minute, while holding a porous 47% striking defense.
- Delgado is highly hittable, providing a target-rich environment for an experienced volume striker.
- When forced into deeper waters, Delgado gets hit constantly. In his recent decision loss to Nathaniel Wood at UFC 321, Delgado absorbed a staggering 99 significant strikes.
Marwan Rahiki vs. Harry Hardwick Prediction for UFC Fight Night
Rahiki vs. Hardwick Fight Winner Payouts: Marwan Rahiki 1.31x | Harry Hardwick 3.12x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Featherweight – 145 lbs.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Marwan Rahiki – 38.5 Significant Strikes
- Marwan Rahiki averages a massive 5.96 significant strikes landed per minute — he only needs the fight to fight roughly 6.5 minutes to land at least 39 strikes.
- Rahiki does have six knockouts across his seven career wins, with four in the first round, but this will be his toughest fight yet.
- Hardwick takes a heavy amount of damage on the feet, absorbing a staggering 7.16 significant strikes per minute.
- This fight's 1.5 total rounds projection on PrizePicks currently is a Goblin projection (lower payout), meaning this bout is a favorite to go more than 1.5 rounds.
- Hawdwick's defensive liability provides Rahiki with a highly accessible target to steadily rack up volume.
- Furthermore, Hardwick holds a remarkably low 40% significant strike defense rate. Rahiki landed at a solid 47% accuracy clip.
- The stats favor a pure, sustained striking battle where the strike counts will naturally inflate.
Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson Prediction for UFC Fight Night
Silva vs. Johnson Winner Payouts: Bruno Silva 2.22x | Charles Johnson 1.56x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Flyweight – 125 lbs.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Charles Johnson – 56.5 Significant Strikes
- Charles Johnson lands an average of 4.68 significant strikes per minute while connecting on 49% of his strikes thrown.
- Silva absorbs a generous 4.55 significant strikes per minute, while successfully defending just 52% of incoming strikes.
- Johnson boasts a massive 5-inch height and 5-inch reach advantage (70" vs. 65").
- Both fighters are notoriously durable and frequently go to the judges' scorecards; seven of Johnson's last 10 fights have gone to decision.
- With Johnson's average fight time at 12:31 and Silva's at 10:27, this bout could see the later rounds give Johnson ample time to surpass his sig strikes projection.
Make UFC Fight Night Predictions on PrizePicks
Saturday night's UFC Fight Night, headlined by Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos, will be an exciting main event bout on the UFC Vegas 114 card, with the potential to go the distance. Plus, there's plenty of other important fights on the main card.
Before the fights get underway on Paramount+, lock in your UFC predictions for tonight's card.
Head over to the PrizePicks app and pick More or Less on two or more fighter projections in UFC Fight Night, headlined by Emmett vs. Vallejos, and lock in your Lineup to win real money on the fights if you're right. You can also predict UFC fight winners, method of victory, and more on PrizePicks Team Picks, now available in 35 states.
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