France vs. Spain Prediction, World Cup Picks, Lineups for Semifinals

Four teams remain at the 2026 World Cup, and on Tuesday, July 14, at 3 p.m. ET, France and Spain will square off in a high-octane semifinals match on FOX and Telemundo from AT&T Stadium in Houston. The winner of this game faces the winner of Wednesday’s match between Argentina and England on Sunday, July 19.

Ahead of Tuesday’s semifinals match, France returns a 1.58x payout to advance with an implied 60% chance to do so, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Spain returns a 2.27x payout and a 40% chance to advance.

Below, we’ll break down our France vs. Spain prediction and player picks for the 2026 World Cup semifinals match, including to advance markets, spread, total goals, and best players for PrizePicks.

Make your France vs. Spain World Cup prediction and picks on PrizePicks now!

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

France vs. Spain Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for World Cup Semifinals – Tuesday, July 14

How to watch France vs. Spain: FOX (English) / Telemundo/Peacock (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 3 p.m. ET

Venue: AT&T Stadium (Dallas Stadium) in Dallas, Texas

France has proven to be the best attacking team of the tournament, ranking first in xG (14.3) and shots on target per match (7.8), per FotMob. Les Bleus have an abundance of talent, with ST Kylian Mbappé tied with ST Lionel Messi for the most goals scored (8) at the 2026 World Cup.

Mbappé has the lowest payout to win the Golden Boot (1.56x), and Messi has the second-lowest payout (2.85x). If both remain tied in goals scored, the tiebreaker is assists, and Mbappé has 3 while Messi has 2.

After going 3-0-0 in the group stage, France defeated Sweden, Paraguay, and Morocco in the knockout stage without giving up a goal. Manager Didier Deschamps helped lead Les Bleus to the World Cup title game against Argentina in 2022, so France aims to avenge that loss this time around.

Of the four teams remaining, France has the lowest payout to win the 2026 World Cup (2.38x) on PrizePicks Team Picks.

While France has been nearly unstoppable on the attack, Spain has been the best defensive team in the tournament, posting the fewest goals conceded per match (0.2) and the fewest xG conceded (1.8). Spain didn’t allow a goal in the tourney until their 2-1 Quarterfinals victory over Belgium.

La Roja is the only nation that can arguably say they possess more depth on their roster than France. In each of Spain’s last two matches, CM Mikel Merino has subbed on late in the game and scored a game-winning goal in the 88th minute or later.

Spain has the third-lowest payout to win the 2026 World Cup (4.16x) among the four teams left.

France vs. Spain: Favorite to Advance, Spread, Total for World Cup Semifinals

France enters Tuesday’s game as the favorite, returning a 1.58x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Spain may hope that their ability to maintain possession and limit mistakes can overcome France’s multi-faceted attack.

Here are the full payouts for the France vs. Spain match on PrizePicks.

• To Advance Payout: France – 1.58x | Spain – 2.27x
• Spread: France -1.5 (4.34x Payout) 
• Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.85x)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.56x | No 2.32x

Make your France vs. Spain prediction on winner, spread, or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included.

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

France vs. Spain Prediction on Total Goals for World Cup Semifinals

Here are the key stats and trends for France vs. Spain before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• France has tallied at least 2 goals in five of their six World Cup matches.
• When removing international friendlies, Les Bleus have had 3+ total goals scored in 9 of their last 12 matches.
• Spain has scored multiple goals in three of their last five World Cup games.
• There have been at least 3 total goals scored in eight of the last 12 non-friendly matches for Spain.
• La Roja has the third-most xG (11.7) and shots on target per match (6.7) among the teams remaining.
• France and Spain are both efficient at completing passes in the final third.
• Spain has the highest successful pass percentage in the final third (83.9%), and France is third (81.6%), per Opta Analyst. 
• Additionally, these are the teams with the most overall shots on target in the tournament, as France has 47 and Spain has 40.

Lock in your France vs. Spain prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

France vs. Spain Lineups for World Cup Semifinals – Tuesday, July 14

Here are the projected France vs. Spain lineups for Tuesday's World Cup semifinals match. Starting XIs are not official and represent consensus projections.

France Lineup vs. Spain Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
• Defense: Lucas Digne, William Saliba, Dayot Upamecano, Jules Koundé
• Midfield: Aurélien Tchouaméni, Michael Olise, Adrien Rabiot
• Forwards: Désiré Doué, Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé

Spain Lineup vs. France Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Unai Simón
• Defense: Marc Cucurella, Aymeric Laporte, Pau Cubarsí, Pedro Porro
• Midfield: Pedri, Mikel Merino, Rodri
• Forwards: Álex Baena, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal

France vs. Spain World Cup Picks, Stats for Semifinals Today

Here are the top France vs. Spain picks to target on PrizePicks for Tuesday, July 14. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Ousmane Dembélé and Lamine Yamal.

France RW Ousmane Dembélé vs. Spain

Ousmane Dembélé Projections via PrizePicks: 2 Shots, 2 Shots Assisted, 12.5 Fantasy Score, 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)

• After taking just 1 shot in the World Cup opener against Senegal, Dembélé has logged multiple in five straight matches.
• Only Mbappé (5.2) has more shots per 90 minutes than Dembélé (3.1) on France’s squad.
• Dembélé has the second-most chances created (15) on France’s roster.
• In Les Bleus’ first six World Cup matches, Dembélé has the second-most goals + assists (7).

Combine France + Ousmane Dembélé World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Spain RW Lamine Yamal vs. France

Lamine Yamal Projections via PrizePicks: 3.5 Shots, 1.5 Shots Assisted, 31.5 Passes Attempted, 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)

• Yamal has posted 5+ shots in three of his last five World Cup matches.
• Plus, Yamal leads Spain in shots per 90 (5.1) and shots on target per 90 (2.2).
• Besides playing on a La Roja squad that prioritizes winning the possession battle, Yamal has at least 32 passes in three of his last five games. He had 31 passes in one of the games he didn’t achieve at least 32 passes.
• Much has been made about Yamal’s lack of production in the tournament, and Spain may need a special performance from him to advance.

Combine Spain + Lamine Yamal World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Make Your France vs. Spain Prediction for World Cup 2026 on PrizePicks

Goals may not be an issue when France and Spain meet in a must-watch heavyweight World Cup semifinals match. France has looked unbeatable amid their impressive run, but Spain has the firepower to potentially make this a competitive contest.

Don’t wait until kickoff at 3 p.m. ET. Make your France vs. Spain picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis.