France vs. Belgium Prediction, Picks, XIs for UEFA Nations League – 10/5/26

Monday’s UEFA Nations League match between France and Belgium kicks off at 2:45 p.m. ET. France enters the Nations League match as strong favorites on their home pitch, returning a 1.47x payout on PrizePicks.

Both teams wrap up the international break with one final meeting this afternoon, just seven days after France edged Belgium 1-0 with a late goal in the 88th minute. A win today would give either side a significant advantage in the group standings as Nations League play halts until early November. 

Below, we'll break down our France vs. Belgium prediction and picks for Monday's UEFA Nations League match, including Nations League winner payouts and top picks for PrizePicks today.

Make your France vs. Belgium prediction on PrizePicks for Monday’s match now.

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France vs. Belgium Prediction, Picks for UEFA Nations League – Monday, October 5

How to watch France vs. Belgium: ViX

Kick-off Time: 2:45 p.m. ET

Venue: Stade de France, Paris, France

France wraps up the international break with a rematch of last Monday's matchup against Belgium, this time at the Stade de France. Les Bleus' 1-0 win a week ago marked their sixth straight victory in this European rivalry, and Zinedine Zidane's squad enters as significant favorites to extend that run.

Belgium sit just 1 point behind France in the League A, Group 1 standings, having won their other two group stage games in dominant fashion. France, meanwhile, top the group despite a 1-1 draw with Italy on Friday afternoon.

Zidane will again be without all-time leading scorer Kylian Mbappé, and the normally high-scoring French side has managed just 1 goal per game in his absence.

RW Michael Olise has stepped up to fill the void, scoring 2 of France's 3 goals during the international break, including the winner against Belgium last week. The Bayern Munich star also scored a stunning free kick against Italy on Friday, though a late Italy equalizer ended Les Bleus' brief two-game winning streak.

Inter Milan defender Alessandro Bastoni scored the first goal France have conceded across the first three Nations League matches, and a red-hot Belgium attack will look to add to that on Monday afternoon.

The Red Devils have now scored 5 goals in three Nations League matches, with their only blank coming against France. Belgian legend Kevin De Bruyne scored a brace in Saturday's 3-0 win over Türkiye and will now aim to open his account against France in his fifth appearance vs. Les Bleus.

Belgium's defense has been a notable strength during this break, conceding only Olise's goal against France. Manchester United GK Senne Lammens has started all three matches since longtime international Thibaut Courtois stepped away from the squad and has made the most of his opportunity.

Two of Europe's strongest sides could once again be locked in a tight, low-scoring affair. France hold the edge in home advantage and last week's result, but it wouldn't be surprising to see Belgium come away with at least a point given how impressive the Red Devils have looked.

France vs. Belgium Winner Payouts for UEFA Nations League – Monday, October 5

France enters Monday’s game as the home favorite against Belgium, returning a 1.47x payout if they win outright via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Meanwhile, Belgium will look to pull off a massive upset as road underdogs, with a 5x payout reflecting just how overmatched they seem. PrizePicks has a 4.34x payout on a draw between the two sides.

Make your France vs. Belgium prediction on the winner on PrizePicks!

PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

France vs. Belgium Prediction on Winner for UEFA Nations League – 10/5/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our France vs. Belgium prediction on the winner for the Nations League match on Monday, October 5.

• These two sides needed nearly the full 90 minutes to score when they met last Monday. Despite the scoreline, France dominated most attacking statistics even on the road.
• Les Bleus controlled 65% of possession as the away team in the first leg and are now averaging a dominant 64.7% across their three Nations League matches.
• France have been inefficient in front of goal, averaging 16.0 total shots but converting at just 6%. Zidane's side are averaging 1.19 xG per game while scoring just 1.0 goals per match.
• Belgium lead the group with 5 goals scored, also averaging 16.0 total shots and 1.68 xG per match.
• The Red Devils have been the sharper side in terms of chance creation, averaging 2.7 big chances compared to France's 1.7. Les Bleus have missed all 5 big chances they've created across the three matches.

Lock in your France vs. Belgium prediction on PrizePicks before kick-off.

France vs. Belgium Projected Lineups – Monday, October 5

Take a look at the France vs. Belgium projected lineups for today's UEFA Nations League match. Lineups are not official and should be confirmed before match start.

France Lineup vs. Belgium: Projected 4-4-2

• Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
• Defense: Jules Koundé, Jeremy Jacquet, Maxence Lacroix, Adrien Truffert
• Midfield: Rayan Cherki, Eduardo Camavinga, Manu Koné
• Forwards: Bradley Barcola, Esteban Lepaul, Michael Olise

Belgium Lineup vs. France: Projected 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Senne Lammens
• Defense: Timothy Castagne, Nathan Ngoy, Brandon Mechele, Joaquín Seys
• Midfield: Romeo Lavia, Nicolas Raskin, Kevin De Bruyne
• Forwards: Dodi Lukébakio, Mika Godts, Charles De Ketelaere

France vs. Belgium Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 10/5/26

Here are France vs. Belgium picks to target for UEFA Nations League on Monday, October 5. Today’s Nations League picks include Michael Olise and Senne Lammens.

France RW Michael Olise vs. Belgium: 3.5 Shots 

• Olise came on as a substitute against Belgium last week, played just 13 minutes, and scored the winner. He now has a goal contribution in each game of the international break.
• The star winger has not exceeded 3 shots in any of the three matches so far. He took and scored his only shot against Belgium and registered 3 shots in the one game he played the full 90 minutes.
• Even with Mbappé absent, Olise ranks third on the team in total shots per game at 2.0, tied with Adrien Rabiot and Esteban Lepaul and behind PSG stars Désiré Doué and Ousmane Dembélé.

Add Michael Olise to your PrizePicks UEFA Nations League lineup now!

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Belgium GK Senne Lammens vs. France: 4.5 Goalie Saves

• Lammens has arguably been the standout goalkeeper of the international break, making 19 saves across three appearances. The Manchester United star had 8 saves in Belgium's most recent win on Friday.
• The 24-year-old made 5 saves against France last Monday. Even without Mbappé for most of these matches, Les Bleus are still averaging 6.3 shots on target per game and had 7 on target against Belgium last week.
• Lammens leads all UEFA goalkeepers during the international break with 6.3 saves per game and has prevented 1.88 goals across this impressive stretch.

 Add Senne Lammens to your PrizePicks UEFA Nations League lineup now!

Make France vs. Belgium Picks on PrizePicks

France aim to extend their lead at the top of League A, Group 1 when they host Belgium on Monday. Belgium will hope to end a six-game losing streak against their neighbors and pull off a historic upset in Paris.

Don’t wait until kick-off — you can make your France vs. Belgium picks for Monday’s UEFA Nations League match now on PrizePicks to earn real money. 

Just pick your UEFA Nations League players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on match winners, total goals, and both teams to score, now available in 36 states. 

Stay locked in with the Playbook for continued soccer and UEFA Nations League predictions, picks, and analysis.