Fever vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Sunday, July 5

Two of the WNBA’s premier teams will battle it out on Sunday night when the Indiana Fever square off against the Las Vegas Aces on ESPN and Disney+ at 7 p.m. ET. 

With tip-off for Sunday’s contest approaching, Las Vegas is favored by 3.5 points in front of the home crowd and returns a 1.63x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks with a victory. Two of the biggest stars in the game are missing this contest — can it still live up to the hype? 

Below, we'll break down our Fever vs. Aces prediction and picks for Sunday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Fever vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks now.

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Fever vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, July 5

Could this be a WNBA Finals preview? There’s a case to be made for it, as the current two-seed in the Eastern Conference goes to war with the reigning champs to cap off the weekend of hoops.

It’s been a solid season for Indiana, who’s dealt with a bit of an injury situation with G Caitlin Clark but is persevering anyway. Head coach Stephanie White’s group is 11-8, going 6-3 after a ho-hum start to the campaign. Fueled by a three-headed monster of Clark, G Kelsey Mitchell, and C-F Aliyah Boston, the Fever have an electric and must-watch offense.

That offensive attack, minus Clark, is tasked with breaking an Aces defense that’s shown flashes of brilliance this season. With that said, not having Wilson in the fold is a big-time loss for Becky Hammon’s crew as it looks to reach 11 games above .500. 

Fortunately for Las Vegas, it has four other players scoring in double figures, which could stress a Fever defense that ranks ninth in opponent shooting percentage at 45.7%. 

Historically, the Aces have dominated this series, going 39-21 in the regular season and 3-2 in the playoffs. With that said, the Fever snapped an extended head-to-head losing streak by capturing a pair of matchups in Indiana a season ago. 

This is the first of three meetings between the Fever and Aces the rest of the way this season. They’ll face off again on July 12 in Las Vegas, then return to Indiana on August 6. 

Fever vs. Aces Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, July 5

The Aces enter Sunday’s game as 3.5-point home favorites against the Fever, returning a 1.63x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Fever vs. Aces game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Las Vegas Aces -3.5 (1.96x payout)
• Over/Under: 180.5 (1.88x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Fever 2.17x | Aces 1.63x

Make your Fever vs. Aces prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Fever vs. Aces Injury Report for Sunday, July 5

Let’s dive into the full Fever vs. Aces injury report for Sunday, July 5, via WNBA.com.

Indiana Fever Injury Report

• G Caitlin Clark (back): OUT

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

• F Janiah Barker (leg): OUT
• G Dana Evans (leg): OUT
• C A’Ja Wilson (leg): OUT

Fever vs. Aces Prediction on Spread – 7/5/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Fever vs. Aces prediction on the spread for Sunday, July 5’s game. 

• Indiana struggles as a road underdog, holding a 1-2 record against the spread on the year. Las Vegas is 4-5 ATS as a home favorite and 11-9 ATS as a favorite overall.
• The absences of Clark and Wilson could have an absolutely massive impact on this game. According to databallr, the former carries a -8.6 net rating swing and the latter’s mark is a video game-like +17.2. 
• A sneaky tendency clash to consider this one is blocked shots. Indiana is ninth and 10th, respectively, in blocks per game on offense and defense. Las Vegas leads the sport on both ends with 5.4 and 2.5 each time out. 
• The 3-point shot could also be a staple of Sunday’s bout. The Fever are the third-best shooting team from deep at 36.2%, with the Aces being right behind them at 35.9%. 
• Lastly, the turnover advantage goes to Las Vegas, at least statistically. The club ranks fifth in oTOV impact at +0.8; Indiana is third-worst at -1.8, tied with the New York Liberty.

Lock in your Fever vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Fever vs. Aces Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/5/26

Here are the top Fever vs. Aces picks to target on Sunday, July 5. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include G Kelsey Mitchell, C-F Aliyah Boston, and G Jackie Young. 

Fever G Kelsey Mitchell vs. Aces: 23.5 Points

• On the year, Mitchell is averaging 21.6 points per game. In her last five contests, however, that number is up to an even 24.0.
• Per databallr, when Mitchell is on the court and Clark is off, the Fever offense owns a 63.1% true shooting percentage, 7.6% better than league average.
• Mitchell is one of the W’s best 3-point snipers, taking 6+ of them for the fourth year in a row and being at 40.2% efficiency for the second time in that span.
• The Aces allow opponents to shoot 35.0% from deep, the 10th-ranked mark among all teams.

Add Kelsey Mitchell to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Fever C-F Aliyah Boston vs. Aces: 26.5 Pts + Rebs

• Boston’s combined per-game scoring and rebounding average is 25.6. It was 27.0 in the month of June.
• A new-and-improved long-distance shot is coming to Boston’s aid, as she’s attempting 2.6 treys a game and making 42.6% of them, serving as respective year-over-year increases of 1.9 and 21.9%.
• Indiana’s offense, ironically, emphasizes space more in lineups with Boston but without Clark. The team takes 3-pointers at a 40.8% frequency rate and knocks down a scorching 41.5% of them. 
• Thanks to a dominant defensive rebounding percentage of 29.7%, Boston’s overall rebounding clip is at 20.0% for the first time ever. 

Add Aliyah Boston to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Aces G Jackie Young: 32.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Young continues to fill up the stat sheet by averaging 27.9 points, rebounds, and assists, but that’s well below Sunday’s listed projection.
• The multi-time All-Star is taking 12.6% of her shots from 0-3 feet, her most since 2022. With that said, her 64.7% field goal rate on such looks is much lower than the 71.2% mark she had that year.
• Young sits in just the 54th and 39th percentiles for defensive and offensive rebounding (11.6% and 3.4% splits). 
• The Fever defense is third in the Association in allowed assists per made shot at 0.619.

Add Jackie Young to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Fever vs. Aces Picks on PrizePicks

At this stage of the WNBA season, the cream of the proverbial crop is beginning to separate. Both Indiana and Las Vegas are currently slotted into that group, and securing a statement win on Sunday could be a potential springboard for even more dominance down the stretch. 

Who will come out on top in this battle of powerhouses that are missing some extra watts? Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Fever vs. Aces picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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