F1 Canadian Grand Prix Predictions, Winner, Podium Pick for Sunday

The Canadian Grand Prix takes place north of the border in Montreal on Sunday at 4:00 p.m. ET on Apple TV. The Sprint race took place as scheduled early Saturday, and qualifying wrapped up later in the afternoon. 

Race picks and predictions naturally featured the pecking order of Mercedes, then McLaren. The excellence in execution came in the final moments. Saturday allowed the drivers to put on a show in some ideal conditions.

Could Sunday be different? Let's dive into F1 Canadian Grand Prix predictions, including analysis on a winner and podium pick for the afternoon.

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F1 Canadian Grand Prix Predictions and Picks Set Up by Qualifying

Andrea Kimi Antonelli thought he had the pole, which would have been his fourth consecutive in 2026. The Mercedes appeared poised to hold off the McLarens, led by Lando Norris.

Instead, George Russell floored it in the last sector, mastered Turn 8, and snatched the pole away from Antonelli by a mere 0.068 seconds.

Below is the starting grid for the Canadian Grand Prix. This may help in making those F1 predictions. Do keep in mind that Montreal can feature some overtakes (48 in 2024) and could have some rain into early Sunday afternoon.

2026 Canadian Grand Prix Starting Grid

1. George Russell – Mercedes – 1:12.578
2. Andrea Kimi Antonelli – Mercedes – +0.068s
3. Lando Norris – McLaren – +0.151s
4. Oscar Piastri – McLaren – +0.203s
5. Lewis Hamilton – Ferrari – +0.290s
6. Max Verstappen – Red Bull – +0.329s
7. Isack Hadjar – Red Bull – +0.357s
8. Charles Leclerc – Ferrari – +0.398s
9. Arvid Lindblad – Racing Bulls – +0.702s
10. Franco Colapinto – Alpine – +1.119s
11. Niko Hulkenberg – Audi – Eliminated in Q2
12. Liam Lawson – Racing Bulls – Eliminated in Q2
13. Gabriel Bortoleto – Audi – Eliminated in Q2
14. Pierre Gasly – Alpine – Eliminated in Q2
15. Carlos Sainz – Williams – Eliminated in Q2
16. Oliver Bearman – Haas – Eliminated in Q2
17. Estobon Ocon – Haas – Eliminated in Q1
18. Alexander Albom – Williams – Eliminated in Q1
19. Fernando Alonso – Aston Martin – Eliminated in Q1
20. Sergio Perez – Cadillac – Eliminated in Q1
21. Lance Stroll – Aston Martin – Eliminated in Q1
22. Valtteri Bottas – Cadillac– Eliminated in Q1
    

Charles Leclerc and Max Verstappen were fastest in Practice 1. However, Norris won the Sprint, with Oscar Piastri right behind him.

2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix Winner Payouts on PrizePicks

Antonelli opened as the favorite to win the 2026 Canadian Grand Prix. Below is a complete breakdown of the payouts to win the race on Sunday.

Payouts equal cash earnings if an F1 Canadian GP pick is the right one. For example, 2x on a $100 entry would pay out $200 on PrizePicks Team Picks. “Yes” payouts represent if the driver wins; “No” payouts indicate if they do not win.

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

• George Russell – Yes 2.12x | No 1.66x‍
• Andrea Kimi Antonelli – Yes 2.7x | No 1.42x‍
• Lando Norris – Yes 6.25x | No 1.08x‍
• Oscar Piastri – Yes 11.11x | No 1.02x‍
• Max Verstappen – Yes 14.28x | No 1.02x‍
• Lewis Hamilton – Yes 16.66x ‍
• All Other Drivers – 33.33x

2026 F1 Canadian GP Podium Picks, Payouts

Below are the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix podium finisher payouts for Sunday’s F1 race, starring the trio of Norris, Antonelli, and Russell.

• George Russell – Yes 1.13x | No 3.12x‍
• Andrea Kimi Antonelli – Yes 1.14x | No 1.92x‍
• Lando Norris – Yes 1.69x | No 2.5x‍
• Oscar Piastri– Yes 1.92x | No 1.61x‍
• Lewis Hamilton – Yes 2.08x | No 1.14x‍
• Max Verstappen – Yes 5.26x | No 1.11x‍
• Charles Leclerc – Yes 6.25x | No 1.08x‍
• Esteban Ocon – Yes 8.22x‍
• Nico Hulkenberg – Yes 8.22x‍
• Franco Colapinto – Yes 8.22x

Make your 2026 F1 predictions on PrizePicks — including drivers to win or podium every race.

F1 Canadian Grand Prix Predictions, Driver Picks

Let's dive into some of the top F1 Canadian Grand Prix driver picks, headlined by some heavy-hitting names.

Lando Norris – 2.5 Finishing Position

Lando Norris to Win Canadian Grand Prix: Yes 6.25x | No 1.08x

• Norris finished second in the Sprint while qualifying third on Saturday.
• He did set the fastest lap during the Sprint (Yes 6.25x | No 1.06x).
• McLaren tires may not wear as fast as the Mercedes tires later in the race.

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Max Verstappen – 5.5 Finishing Position

Max Verstappen Podium at Canadian Grand Prix: Yes 5.26x | No 1.11x

• Verstappen won in wet conditions in 2024 and nearly nipped Russell at the line in 2025. 
• A poor adjustment in Q3 led to starting sixth on Sunday.
• Given likely colder conditions, Verstappen could handle his car better on a potentially damp, cool track. 

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Lewis Hamilton – 6.5 Finishing Position

Lewis Hamilton Top 5 at Canadian Grand Prix: Yes 1.47x | No 1.05x

• Hamilton was one of the fastest cars in the spring until he hit the wall late. 
• He qualified a solid fifth for Sunday’s race (+0.29 seconds off pole — Russell).
• Hamilton handles understeer and tire wear issues better than most drivers. Temperatures are again expected to be around 50 degrees (less than 70 on track).
• Finished sixth or better in every race in 2026. 

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Make 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix Picks on PrizePicks

If the 2024 and 2025 Canadian Grand Prix results are any indication, the 2026 race may be one of the most intriguing for picks on the F1 calendar.

Given the overtakes in the past two races in Montreal, nothing may be out of the realm of possibility.

Mercedes has been the team to beat, but with McLaren turning some really fast laps and Montreal expecting damp times, there are plenty of chances to make your F1 predictions.

Get your F1 Canadian GP predictions in on PrizePicks Team Picks before Sunday's 4 p.m. ET race start — and check out our comprehensive F1 predictions hub for winner picks across every race this season and more.