The Formula 1 Belgium Grand Prix starts on Sunday at 9 a.m. ET, live on Apple TV. The first two F1 practices took place on Friday, and the qualifying and final practice on Saturday at Spa-Francorchamps in Belgium featured its usual chaos.
Early Belgium GP predictions were thrown for a bit of a loop when Lando Norris was hit with a 10-place grid penalty. The qualifying position is not necessarily important at Spa with passing in three prime spots — including the Kemmel Straight, the Turn 1 hairpin, and the Turn 18-19 combo.
Naturally, Kimi Antonelli was the driver who came up with the goods at the end of qualifying. Max Verstappen trailed, and Norris just couldn't improve on an initial effort in Q3. Norris will now start 13th instead of third.
Could Sunday’s F1 Belgium Grand Prix produce a banger for the ages? Let’s race into our F1 Belgium Grand Prix predictions for Sunday morning, including favorites to win, finish on the podium, and more on PrizePicks Team Picks.
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F1 Belgium Grand Prix Predictions, Picks After Qualifying
Antonelli and Verstappen were the favorites to take pole in the Belgium Grand Prix, along with Norris. Naturally, Antonelli found a considerable amount of pace and won the pole by almost a third of a second.
The Ferrari cars were more than a half-second off from Mercedes’ Antonelli. That could pave the way for Norris to potentially surge from the back. It'll be intriguing to see how much better the McLarens perform on race day as opposed to qualifying or practice.
Below, find the F1 qualifying results for the Belgium Grand Prix from 1st to 22nd. This may help in crafting those F1 predictions.
Keep in mind that Spa is just over 7 km and 20 turns long. There's room for many overtakes (49 in 2025, 62 in 2024), and plenty are expected Sunday.
2026 F1 Belgium Grand Prix Qualifying Results
- Kimi Antonelli – Mercedes – 1:44.361
- Max Verstappen – Red Bull – +0.327s
- Lando Norris – McLaren – +0.440s
- George Russell – Mercedes – +0.508s
- Charles Leclerc – Ferrari – +0.532s
- Lewis Hamilton – Ferrari – +0.534s
- Oscar Piastri – McLaren – +0.655s
- Arvid Lindblad – Racing Bulls – +0.782s
- Gabriel Bortoleto – Audi – +1.267s
- Isack Hadjar – Red Bull – DNF
- Liam Lawson – Racing Bulls – Eliminated in Q2
- Pierre Gasly – Alpine – Eliminated in Q2
- Franco Colapinto – Alpine – Eliminated in Q2
- Nico Hulkenberg – Audi – Eliminated in Q2
- Carlos Sainz – Williams – Eliminated in Q2
- Oliver Bearman – Haas – Eliminated in Q2
- Alexander Albon – Williams – Eliminated in Q1
- Estobon Ocon – Haas – Eliminated in Q1
- Valtteri Bottas – Cadillac – Eliminated in Q1
- Sergio Perez – Cadillac – Eliminated in Q1
- Fernando Alonso – Aston Martin – Eliminated in Q1
- Lance Stroll – Aston Martin – Eliminated in Q1
Looking for longer shots from qualifying appears tough, as Isack Hadjar again had issues getting a time in for Red Bull.
Hamilton may have been more impressive given how banged up his car looked after FP3. Oscar Piastri was lagging and qualified in seventh.
2026 F1 Belgium Grand Prix Favorites to Win, Payouts on PrizePicks
Antonelli secured his sixth pole of the 2026 season, and the Italian is the current favorite. Verstappen isn't too far behind but hasn't won at Spa since 2023.
Below is a breakdown of the updated Belgium Grand Prix favorites and payouts to win the race on Sunday, July 19 at 9 a.m. ET.
The numbers below represent payout multipliers if your F1 Belgium GP pick is right. For example, 4.16x on a $100 entry would pay out $416 on PrizePicks Team Picks. “Yes” payouts represent the payouts if the driver wins; “No” payouts indicate payouts if they don't win.
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Make your F1 Predictions on the Belgium GP Winner on PrizePicks
2026 F1 Belgium GP Podium Picks, Payouts
Below are the 2026 F1 Belgium Grand Prix podium finisher payouts for Sunday’s race, headlined by Mercedes and Verstappen, followed by the Ferrari duo and Norris.
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2026 F1 Belgium Grand Prix Predictions, Driver Picks for Sunday, July 19
Let's rev those engines on high for our top F1 Belgium Grand Prix predictions, with drivers expecting a heated Sunday at Spa.
Find all F1 picks below on PrizePicks — and choose More or Less on driver stats to win real money when you are right.
George Russell – 3.5 Finishing Position
George Russell to Win Belgium Grand Prix: Yes 10x | No 1.03x
- George Russell qualified fourth for Sunday’s race, 0.508 seconds behind teammate Antonelli.
- The Mercedes driver has two wins this season and is only 25 points behind Antonelli.
- Russell could anticipate an improvement over last year’s fifth-place result, where he started sixth.
- Russell had better handling and late-sector 2 and 3 speed, finishing fourth in FP3.
- The British driver won at Spa in 2024 with an incredible one-stop strategy. However, Russell was disqualified due to being 1.5 kg under the 798 kg limit.
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Lando Norris – 6.5 Finishing Position
Lando Norris to Finish Top 3 at Belgium Grand Prix: Yes 5.88x | No 1.11x
- McLaren showed quite a bit of speed and pace at Spa last year, culminating with an Oscar Piastri win.
- Norris showed great sector speed, control, and handling en route to qualifying third (starts 13th again due to penalty).
- The 2025 World Champion has a payout to win at Yes of 33.33x and finished second last year.
- Given the ample amount of overtakes and the three prime passing zones, Norris could have a chance to gain significant positive place differential.
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Liam Lawson – 9.5 Finishing Position
Liam Lawson to Finish Top 10 at Belgium Grand Prix: Yes 1.51x | No 2.43x
- Liam Lawson did wind up eighth at Spa in 2025 after qualifying ninth.
- Lawson is starting 11th on Sunday but has an average finish of 7.2 in his latest five-race rolling average.
- The Racing Bulls driver already has more points in 2026 (39) than all of 2025 (38).
- Lawson has finished ninth or better in seven of his last eight races.
Add Liam Lawson to your PrizePicks Formula 1 Picks.
Make 2026 F1 Belgium Grand Prix Picks on PrizePicks
The expectation is that the 2026 F1 Belgium Grand Prix could be run under cooler conditions over 44 laps. With dry, breezy weather, there may still be chaos due to pit strategy and a yellow flag or two from that Turn 18-19 combination.
Mercedes still ranks 1-2 in the standings, but Lewis Hamilton and Lando Norris are hunting for big points. Finally, Gabriel Bortoleto might be in line for a top-10 result. He did finish ninth in 2025 and will start ninth on Sunday.
Get those F1 Belgium GP predictions made on PrizePicks Team Picks before Sunday's 9 a.m. ET race start — and scout out our F1 predictions hub for winner and podium picks plus more across all races this season.
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