Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, MLB Picks for Friday, August 7

The first pitch for the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks is set for 9:40 p.m. ET on Friday, August 7, with the Dodgers entering as road favorites, returning a 1.51x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

Tonight's matchup is Game 1 of an important three-game series between these two NL West rivals. The current season series is tied five games apiece, making the winner of this series the victor of the season series.

Will the Dodgers rebound from what's been a brutal stretch against a Diamondbacks team that has played quality baseball since the All-Star break?

Below, we'll break down our Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction and picks for Friday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks on PrizePicks now!

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Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Friday, August 7

The Los Angeles Dodgers are on a six-game losing streak, but despite that, they still own the second-best record (69-46) and run differential (+140) in the majors. This is a team that is built for October and on a quest to become just the third MLB franchise to ever win three consecutive World Series titles.

Tonight, they will hope that SP Roki Sasaki (4.10 xFIP) can play stopper against a Diamondbacks team that has clicked offensively recently.

Sasaki has been a much better pitcher since switching to a larger glove three games ago. He owns a 2.48 FIP in the second half of the season, and it seems the larger glove has done its job of concealing his grip and preventing pitch tipping.

The Diamondbacks are starting to resemble a team that many would not want to play in October. They are 61-55 and have climbed into second in the NL West standings, sitting 8.5 games behind the Dodgers. With just 45 games left in the season, it could be too late to make a push for the divisional lead, but a sweep of L.A. this series could apply some real pressure to the back-to-back champions.

Leading the surge offensively, C Gabriel Moreno has hit .362 in July while having more RBIs (19) than strikeouts (14). Arizona also acquired OF Max Kepler and OF Lars Nootbaar during the trade deadline to help lengthen its talented lineup.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Winner Payout, Over/Under – Friday, August 7

The Dodgers enter Friday’s game as road favorites against the Diamondbacks, returning a 1.51x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks game on PrizePicks.

Make your Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction on Winner – 8/7/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction on the winner for Friday, August 7.

Data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

• The Diamondbacks are 62-54-0 (53.4%) against the spread (ATS) this season, the eighth-best record in baseball.
• Despite the Dodgers' dominance, they actually own the third-worst ATS record in the majors at just 49-66-0 (42.6%).
• Arizona SP Merrill Kelly has some rough numbers on the season (4.98 xFIP), but he improved in the second half of the season with just a 4.08 xFIP.
• Kelly has allowed more than 2 runs just once in his last six starts and has performed well at home this season.
• Sasaki, meanwhile, has certainly improved since changing gloves but still has drastic home/road splits with a 4.56 xFIP on the road compared to a 3.65 xFIP at home.
• Over the last month, the Diamondbacks offense has hit to a tune of a 110 wRC+, the eighth-best mark during that split.
• During that same span, the Dodgers offense has slumped with a wRC+ of just 93 (17th).
• The Dodgers typically should have a major advantage in the bullpen; however, over the last month their bullpen's 4.27 xFIP ranks them only nine spots ahead of the Diamondbacks (4.71 xFIP).

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Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 8/7/26

Here are the top Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks to target on PrizePicks for Friday, August 7. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Roki Sasaki and Merrill Kelly.

Dodgers SP Roki Sasaki vs. Diamondbacks: 92.5 Pitches Thrown

• Sasaki is averaging just 89.4 pitches per game and has been a guy the Dodgers are comfortable pulling from the game after 5 or 6 good innings.
• He has surpassed 92.5 pitches in just 6 of his 19 starts and in just two of his last eight starts.
• As mentioned, Sasaki’s road struggles have been pronounced this season, and running into a hot Snakes offense could lead to a shorter outing for the Japanese righty.
• With the Dodgers on a six-game losing streak, there could be added pressure to secure a victory, potentially leading to a shorter leash for Sasaki should he start struggling around the five-inning mark.

Add Roki Sasaki to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Diamondbacks SP Merrill Kelly vs. Dodgers: 4 Strikeouts

• The Dodgers aren’t a particularly great strikeout matchup, but this is a low bar for Kelly, who has improved in the punch-out department as the season has progressed.
• Kelly has just a 5.98 K/9 on the season but has improved that to 7.4 in the second half of the season.
• A large part of that improvement has been courtesy of throwing his changeup more often in recent starts.
• Kelly has just a 9.7 SwStr% this season, but since utilizing his changeup more, he has registered SwStr% of 13.0%, 12.8%, 10.3%, 11.8%, and 11.3% in five of six starts.
• As mentioned, Kelly has showcased better numbers at home with a 7.38 K/9 in Chase Field compared to a 5.15 K/9 on the road.
• The Diamondbacks bullpen has consistently been one of the worst all season, which could lead potentially extending the leash on Kelly if he is pitching adequately late into this game.

Add Merrill Kelly to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Picks on PrizePicks

The reigning back-to-back champs are on the ropes recently, and it won’t get any easier against a hot division rival in the Diamondbacks, who have played the Dodgers strong over the years.

Will L.A. break its six-game losing streak? Or will the Diamondbacks continue to climb the standings in the NL West?

Don’t wait until lock—makemake your Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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