Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction, MLB Picks for Saturday, May 23

The Los Angeles Dodgers (31-20) and the Milwaukee Brewers (30-18) collide in the primetime spotlight on FOX, with Saturday, May 23’s first pitch slated for 7:15 p.m. ET.

Despite dropping Game 1 with a 5-1 loss, the Dodgers are favored with a 1.75x payout if they win tonight, per PrizePicks Team Picks. The Brewers came out hot on Friday night, producing 4 runs in the first inning. Should we expect more early fireworks for Saturday’s primetime showdown?

Below, we'll break down our Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction and picks for Saturday’s MLB game, including the winner payouts, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Dodgers vs. Brewers picks on PrizePicks for tonight's game.

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Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Friday, May 22

Following Friday’s win, Milwaukee has leaped the Dodgers for second place in the National League standings. The Braves still carry a comfortable four-game cushion in first place, though. Los Angeles would jump Milwaukee with a win tonight.

According to FanGraphs, the Brew Crew sports a 3.30 xERA (first), compared to the Dodgers’ 3.49 xERA (third). However, each team is scraping the bottom of the barrel tonight, with Dodgers SP Roki Sasaki (5.09 ERA, 4.34 xFIP in 8 starts) and Brewers SP Robert Gasser (4.50 ERA, 7.44 xFIP in 1 start) toeing the rubber on Saturday night.

Sasaki has yet to deliver on high expectations, touting a 4.14 SIERA and concerning 1.99 HR/9. However, he comes off his best start of the season by allowing 4 hits and 1 earned run over 7.0 innings of work on May 17.

For Milwaukee, Gasser is the club’s 16th-best prospect and has only eight major league starts under his belt since 2024. After logging an impressive 2.94 xERA over five starts in 2024, he regressed to a 4.97 xERA and 7.00 xFIP in two starts a season ago. He made a short-lived 2026 debut on May 17, pitching for 4.0 innings while yielding 3 hits, 3 runs, and 2 earned runs.

Now that we know who is on the mound tonight, let’s make a Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction, capped with player projections on PrizePicks.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Saturday, May 23

The Dodgers enter Saturday’s matchup as a road favorite against the Brewers, returning a 1.75x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Dodgers vs. Brewers game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (2.27x payout)
• Over/Under: 8.5 (1.72x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Dodgers 1.75x | Brewers 2x

Make your Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction for the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction on Winner – 5/23/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction on the winner for Saturday, May 23.

Lock in your Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction on PrizePicks before the first pitch.

• Brewers SP Robert Gasser has a tall task ahead, with Los Angeles sporting 258 runs scored (third), a .259 batting average (third), and a .341 wOBA (first). 
• The Dodgers slow down against left-handed pitching, though, proven by 49 runs scored (tied for 27th).
• However, L.A. touts 115 wRC (sixth) and a .336 wOBA (tied for sixth) against southpaws, suggesting positive regression could be ahead in this split.
• Baseball Savant gave Gasser a low 27.8% ground ball rate over two starts last season, and he posted a 16.7% rate in his first appearance of 2026.
• That’s dangerous against a Dodger crew that leads baseball with a 21.3% line drive rate and a 37.2% hard-hit percentage, per FanGraphs.
• For Dodgers SP Roki Sasaki, he’s allowed only 2 HRs over three starts in May, improving from 7 big flies allowed in four April starts. 
• Plus, the Brewers have a 31.1% hard-hit rate (27th) and post only 0.7 homers per game (30th).
• Sasaki’s slider (28.6%) and splitter (22.4%) carry his best put-away rates, and Milwaukee ranks 12th and 28th in runs above average against the pitches.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/23/26

Here are top Dodgers vs. Brewers picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, May 23. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Roki Sasaki and Jake Bauers.

Dodgers SP Roki Sasaki vs. Brewers: 5 Strikeouts

• Sasaki’s best start of the season on May 17 was paired with a career-high 8 strikeouts. For context, his previous high was 6 Ks on April 12.
• After logging a 6.94 K/9 and 17.4% strikeout rate in 2025, the second-year big leaguer has improved to 8.63 and 21.5% through eight starts.
• He’s mainly doing it on the back of a 29.0% whiff rate (75th percentile).
• However, the Brewers have an 8.9% swinging-strike rate (second-lowest), aiding their 20.1% strikeout rate (fourth-lowest).
• Milwaukee has tallied a minuscule 5.8 Ks per game over the last five games, compared to 7.8 per game on the season (fifth-fewest).
• Furthermore, Sasaki has reached 6 strikeouts in only two of 16 career starts dating back to last season.

Add Roki Sasaki to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Brewers 1B Jake Bauers vs. Dodgers: 4.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Sasaki’s fastball carries an average 97.0 velocity (87th percentile), but that hasn’t yielded success with opponents carrying an 11.5% barrel rate (15th percentile) and a 46.7% hard-hit rate (10th percentile).
• Jake Bauers rakes against fastballs, proven by a strong .392 batting average and 5.6 runs above average against the pitch.
• Baseball Savant also credits Milwaukee’s first baseman with a 12.5% barrel rate (79th percentile) and a 54.0% hard-hit rate (95th percentile).
• The left-handed hitter bats .291 against righties compared to .286 when facing southpaws, which is relevant against the right-handed Sasaki.
• Bauers is batting an absurd .346 in May, paired with a 12-game hit streak.
• In the last five games, Bauers has totaled an 11.0 fantasy score per game.

Add Jake Bauers to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Dodgers vs. Brewers Picks on PrizePicks

Following a 5-1 defeat in Game 1, will the favored Dodgers bounce back on Saturday night? Roki Sasaki comes off perhaps the strongest start of his young MLB career. Will he continue to ride that momentum in the primetime spotlight on FOX?

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Dodgers vs. Brewers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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