Coventry City vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks, XIs for EPL – Monday, October 12

October 12, 2026

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Soccer
AP Photo/Dave Shopland
Newcastles Harvey Barnes during a Premier League match vs. Leeds United.

Coventry City and Newcastle United meet in the Premier League on Monday, October 12 at the CBS Arena in Coventry, England, with kickoff set for 3 p.m. ET on USA Network. Newcastle is favored to win, returning a 2.12x payout on PrizePicks.

Coventry City hope to build on their first Premier League victory in a quarter century, while Newcastle aim to move into fourth place in the table with their third victory of the Premier League campaign. 

Below, we’ll break down our Coventry City vs. Newcastle United prediction and picks for Monday afternoon’s Premier League match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

‍Make your Coventry City vs. Newcastle picks on PrizePicks now.

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Coventry City vs. Newcastle United Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under for Premier League – Monday, October 12

Newcastle enters Monday’s match as road favorites vs. Coventry City, returning a 2.12x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

Meanwhile, Coventry City will hope to get the upset at home, with their 3.12x payout to win outright. PrizePicks has a 3.33x payout for a draw.

Winner Spread Over/Under
Coventry City 3.12x +1.5 | 1.23x o2.5 | 1.63x
Newcastle United 2.12x -1.5 | 3.84x u2.5 | 2.17x

PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Coventry City are back in the Premier League for the first time in 25 years, and it took a while to become reacclimated to the league. They not only lost each of their first four matches, but they also failed to score a single goal in that span.

A 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest just before the international break saw them finally enjoy a bit of success, but Frank Lampard’s side still enters the final day of Matchday 6 second-bottom in the table ahead of Fulham.

Their minus-9 goal differential has them behind Tottenham and Bournemouth despite being level on points.

LM Jay Dasilva leads the club in scoring with their only goal so far in the Premier League. They are struggling to find a scoring threat without injured American ST Haji Wright, who led the side with 17 goals last season in the EFL Championship.

They'll be happy to get RB Milan van Ewijk back from injury, although it remains to be seen if he'll start this soon. ST Taiwo Awoniyi will miss out as he serves the last of a three-match ban after his red card against Brighton. 

Newcastle have had a solid start to the campaign despite quite a few players being sold in the summer and others dealing with injuries. They’ve already picked up a draw against Liverpool, although their 4-1 defeat at Leeds raised some eyebrows.

They picked up 3 points away at Hull via a 2-1 victory before the break, scoring twice in the opening seven minutes. LM Harvey Barnes assisted both strikes; he's one of the few players who remains from last season’s attack.

His first assist set up CM Joe Willock, whose 2 goals lead the club this season. Newly signed ST Matias Fernandez-Pardo is still seeking his first goal for the club, while LB Lewis Hall has emerged as one of the best fullbacks in the Premier League.

Newcastle could be without multiple key players. CM Joelinton, CB Dan Burn, CM Jacob Ramsey, and RB Valentino Livramento are all questionable. One player who isn’t is RW Anthony Elanga, who is still not back from his injury.


Coventry City vs. Newcastle Prediction on Winner for EPL – 10/12/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Coventry City vs. Newcastle United prediction on the winner for the Premier League match on Monday, October 12.

  • Coventry City’s 1.96% conversion rate is by far the lowest in the Premier League, according to Opta. They also rank dead last in shots on target, total shots taken, expected goals, and touches inside the penalty area.
  • While Newcastle ranks second-lowest in penalty box touches and xG, they’ve taken advantage of their opportunities. They rank third with a 17.7% conversion rate and have scored 3.71 more goals than expected.
  • Newcastle are forcing opponents to shoot from distance. Nearly 58% of opposing shots are coming from outside the box, the third-most of any club in the league. They also lead the league with 40 blocked shots.
  • Coventry struggles to link up in attack. Their 62.7% passing accuracy in the final third is third-lowest in the league, as is their 77.3% passing accuracy overall.
Lock in your Coventry City vs. Newcastle United prediction on PrizePicks before kickoff.

Coventry City vs. Newcastle Projected Lineups – Monday, October 12

Here are the projected Coventry City vs. Newcastle United lineups for today's Premier League match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.

Coventry City Lineup vs. Newcastle United: Projected 3-4-2-1

  • Goalkeeper: Carl Rushworth
  • Defense: Stephen Mfuni, Bobby Thomas, Ethan Pinnock
  • Midfield: Milan van Ewijk, Frank Onyeka, Matt Grimes, Jay Dasilva
  • Forwards: Jack Rudoni, Brandon Thomas-Asante, Ephron Mason Clark

Newcastle United Lineup vs. Coventry City: Projected 4-2-3-1

  • Goalkeeper: Lukás Hornícek
  • Defense: Amar Dedić, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall
  • Midfield: Nico González, Lewis Miley, Yoane Wissa
  • Forwards: Jacob Murphy, Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Harvey Barnes

Coventry City vs. Newcastle United Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 10/12/26

Here are the top Coventry City vs. Newcastle United player picks to target on PrizePicks for Monday, October 12. Today’s Premier League picks are headlined by Carl Rushworth and Harvey Barnes.

Coventry GK Carl Rushworth vs. Newcastle: 3 Saves 

  • Rushworth has made exactly 2 saves in four of his five Premier League outings thus far and 9 saves in total on the campaign, according to FBref. 
  • While Coventry have conceded 87 shots through five matches, only 22 have been on target thanks to the defense sitting in a low block throwing bodies in front of every attempt possible. 
  • On the efforts that do make it through, Rushworth isn’t getting the expected stops. He’s posted a goals prevented mark of -0.39 per 90 minutes. That’s the third-worst of any GK in the league, per Opta. 
  • Newcastle’s 10.2 shots per 90 are tied with Coventry for the fewest in the league; they're averaging just 3.6 efforts on target. 
Combine Coventry + Carl Rushworth Premier League picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

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Newcastle LM Harvey Barnes vs. Coventry: 2.5 Shots 

  • Barnes has attempted 8 shots so far in the Premier League campaign. While he’s attempted at least 1 in all five matches, he hasn't tried more than 2 shots in any fixture. 
  • During last season’s Premier League campaign, Barnes attempted more than 2 shots in just eight of his 19 starts. However, going back to last season, he’s now taken 2 shots or fewer in nine consecutive starts for Newcastle.
  • Barnes is averaging only 5.81 progressive carries per 90 minutes, leading to just 0.6 shots attempted. 
  • He has become one of Newcastle’s primary playmakers, which has seen him become more focused at times on setting up teammates vs. looking for shots of his own.
Combine Newcastle + Harvey Barnes Premier League picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Make Coventry City vs. Newcastle United Picks on PrizePicks

Coventry City hopes to end a seven-match losing streak to Newcastle dating back to 1999 when they host the Magpies on Monday afternoon. The Sky Blues are home underdogs but look to take advantage of Newcastle’s long list of injuries and get a second straight win in the league.

Don’t wait until kickoff — you can make your Coventry City vs. Newcastle United picks for Monday’s Premier League match now on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right.

Just pick your Premier League players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on match winners, total goals, and both teams to score – now available in 36 states. 

Stay locked in with the Playbook for continued soccer and Premier League predictions, picks, and analysis.

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Jason Ence has been writing about fantasy sports and sports betting for nearly a decade, working with such publications as Rotowire, SB Nation, and Covers. He is an avid European soccer fan who enjoys breaking down tactics and matchups, while planning which matches he'll attend next. Jason is also a die-hard fan of the Kentucky Wildcats and provides picks and analysis for college football, college basketball, NFL, and MLB.