Buccaneers vs. Bears Prediction, Spread, NFL Picks for Sunday Night Football

November 8, 2026

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NFL
AP Photo/Erin Hooley
Bears WR Luther Burden III and TE Colston Loveland celebrates a touchdown vs. the Steelers.

Two of the NFC’s hottest teams will go head-to-head when the Chicago Bears host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC. Chicago is a 6.5-point favorite on the spread, via PrizePicks.

The Bears are riding a three-game winning streak and topped the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks on Monday night in Week 8. Meanwhile, the Bucs have won two straight games, including a muddy 16-0 win over the Atlanta Falcons last week. 

Below, we’ll break down our Buccaneers vs. Bears prediction and picks for Week 9’s Sunday Night Football game, including the spread, over/under, and top player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Buccaneers vs. Bears prediction and picks on PrizePicks now!

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Buccaneers vs. Bears Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Sunday Night Football – Sunday, November 8

The Bears enter Sunday’s game as 6.5-point home favorites against the Buccaneers, returning a 1.33x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks — or an estimated $133 on a $100 entry if you're right.

Here are the full payouts for the Buccaneers vs. Bears game. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. 

Win Spread Over/Under
TB Buccaneers 3.12x +6.5 | 1.81x o47.5 | 1.85x
CHI Bears 1.33x -6.5 | 1.92x u47.5 | 1.88x
Make your Buccaneers vs. Bears prediction on the spread on PrizePicks!

The Bears weathered the storm when QB Caleb Williams was sidelined with a hamstring injury earlier this season. Since Williams returned in Week 6 against the Atlanta Falcons, the Bears have won three straight games and look like one of the NFL's more dominant teams.

Before the Week 8 contest against Seattle, Chicago got even stronger with a blockbuster move. The team acquired All-Pro DT Jeffrey Simmons in a trade with the Tennessee Titans that cost multiple first-round picks.

Simmons made an immediate impact, totaling 6 tackles, 2 tackles for loss, and a sack in a 34-17 win against the Seahawks. The talented DT joins a defense that possesses a very stout run defense, allowing the third-fewest rushing yards per game (86.8). 

The Simmons acquisition, paired with strong play, is pushing Chicago's Super Bowl agenda. According to PrizePicks, the Bears have the third-shortest payout to win Super Bowl LXI (6.25x).

Offensively, the Bears relied heavily on their rushing attack, as RB D’Andre Swift rushed for 69 yards and 3 TDs. Swift currently leads the league in rushing TDs this season.

Meanwhile, the Bucs have faced plenty of adversity, with QB Baker Mayfield sidelined by a thumb injury. Tampa Bay was forced to turn to rookie signal-caller Jalon Daniels for three games but recently got Mayfield back in the lineup. 

The Bucs have ridden a stingy defense that has allowed the third-fewest yards per game (285.9) and just 18.9 points per game (fifth). Tampa Bay has also possessed the NFL’s top run defense, allowing just 80.0 rushing yards per contest.

However, the Bucs haven’t been the most electric offensive unit this season and could be missing WR Mike Evans, who signed with the San Francisco 49ers in free agency. Tampa Bay has only averaged 22.3 PPG and ranks dead last in passing yards per game.

Perhaps the biggest key will be if the Bucs can put together enough offense to keep pace with the Bears in this primetime matchup.

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Buccaneers vs. Bears Prediction on Spread for Sunday Night Football – 11/8/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Buccaneers vs. Bears prediction on the spread for Sunday, November 8.

  • The Bears are 6-2 against the spread this season, while the Bucs have covered the spread in just three of their eight contests.
  • Chicago has averaged 387.3 total yards per game (third), while racking up 26.8 PPG (eighth). 
  • The Bears excel on the ground, tallying the second-most rushing yards per game in the league (150.8). Additionally, Chicago ranks 11th in rush EPA this season (- 0.044), per RBSDM.
  • Meanwhile, the Bucs are on the opposite end of the spectrum. Tampa Bay tallies only 22.3 PPG, including 20 or fewer points in five games.
  • The Bucs have posted a -0.151 dropback EPA this season, ranking 30th in the league.
  • The Bears are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games.
Make your Buccaneers vs. Bears picks now for Sunday’s NFL game.

Buccaneers vs. Bears Picks, Player Stats for SNF on PrizePicks: 11/8/26

Here are the top Buccaneers vs. Bears picks to target on Sunday, November 8. Today’s NFL picks for PrizePicks include Luther Burden III and Bucky Irving.

Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving vs. Bears: 63.5 Rush Yards 

  • Irving has carried the ball 147 times for 728 yards (5.0 yards per carry) and 5 TDs this season.
  • According to Sumer Sports, Irving has registered 522 yards after contact, ranking fifth among RBs.
  • Irving has rushed for 100+ yards in three of his last four games. 
  • The Bears’ defense has posted a -0.106 rush EPA this season (13th).
Add Bucky Irving + Buccaneers to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Bears WR Luther Burden III vs. Buccaneers: 65.5 Rec Yards

  • Burden has caught 42 passes for 547 yards and 3 TDs in eight games this season.
  • The second-year WR has recorded a 26.9% target rate (14th among WRs), per PlayerProfiler.
  • Burden has recorded 95+ receiving yards in two of his last three games.
  • Despite only allowing 205.9 passing yards per game (ninth), the Bucs’ defense has allowed an opposing WR to record 90+ receiving yards in two of their last four contests. 
Add Luther Burden III + Bears to win on PrizePicks.

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Make Buccaneers vs. Bears Picks on PrizePicks

The Bears have been one of the most well-rounded teams on both sides of the ball this season. While the Bucs are riding a two-game winning streak, they’re not nearly as dangerous on offense. Can Chicago come away with a key primetime win on Sunday? 

Don't wait until kickoff — make your Buccaneers vs. Bears picks on PrizePicks now for Week 9 and earn real money if you're right.

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Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.