Wednesday, July 29 features a doubleheader between the Atlanta Braves (62-44) and New York Mets (45-62), as Tuesday’s matchup was postponed due to weather. The first game begins at 1:10 p.m. ET, followed by a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch for the final contest of this three-game series.
The Mets dominated Game 1 in a 14-3 final on Monday, but they will be in the underdog role in both games today. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, New York has a 1.88x payout if it wins at 1:10 p.m. ET, followed by a 2.27x payout for tonight’s 7:10 p.m. ET start.
Below, we’ll look at our Braves vs. Mets prediction and picks for today’s MLB matchup beginning at 1:10 p.m. ET, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 29
After Tuesday’s game was postponed due to heavy rain, today’s forecast is calling for more rain in Queens. According to RotoGrinders’ MLB Weather Report, there’s a chance of rain (47% to 52%) from 2:00 p.m. ET to 7:00 p.m. ET, potentially impacting both games.
Tonight’s contest may feature the more favorable wind for sluggers, with 8 mph winds pushing toward first base. If that shifts to right field, that’s good news for left-handed sluggers — such as Braves 1B Matt Olson and C Drake Baldwin.
Meanwhile, New York is missing its home run leader, as OF Juan Soto (21 home runs) was placed on the 10-day injured list due to a Grade 2 calf strain on Saturday.
Despite the absence, the Mets’ batting order has erupted for 11.0 runs per game over their last two matchups. Atlanta has experienced a slump with 2.7 runs per contest over the last three games.
For today’s matchup at 1:10 p.m. ET, Braves SP AJ Smith-Shawver (3-2, 4.36 xFIP in 44.1 IP in 2025) is making his return from Tommy John surgery in his first start of the season. Mets SP Sean Manaea (2-5, 4.20 xFIP in 85.2 IP) will be on the mound for the home team.
Braves vs. Mets Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 29
The Braves are favored in both matchups on Wednesday, featuring a 1.85x payout to win for the 1:10 p.m. ET game, followed by a 1.58x payout for the final contest at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Further, today’s 8.5 over/under for Game 2 beginning at 1:10 p.m. ET is a step above 7.5 for tonight’s makeup game.
Check out the spread, over/under, and game winner payouts for today’s Braves vs. Mets matchup on Wednesday, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Braves -1.5 (2.38x payout)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (1.92x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Braves 1.85x | Mets 1.88x
Make your Braves vs. Mets prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction on Over/Under – 7/29/26
Here’s what you need to know for your Braves vs. Mets prediction on the total for PrizePicks.
- In the last 10 games, the over is 7-3 for the Braves, while the Mets hold a 7-3 under record. Which side will give on Wednesday afternoon?
- Braves SP AJ Smith-Shawver had an alarming 6.28 xERA and weak 4.60 SIERA last season, per FanGraphs.
- Coming off a major injury, we could see limited innings for Smith-Shawver, and the Braves bullpen has a 4.37 xERA over the last 30 days (21st).
- Mets SP Sean Manaea has a solid 3.97 ERA in his last four starts, but he’s posted xFIPs above 4.60 in three of his last five starts.
- Further, Manaea has surrendered 6 home runs in his past four outings, and the Braves have recorded 1.6 home runs per game over their last five contests.
- Over the previous 10 games, both teams have posted a healthy 4.8 runs per game.
- The over is 6-2 in eight head-to-head matchups this season.
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Braves vs. Mets Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are the top Braves vs. Mets picks to target on PrizePicks on Wednesday, July 29. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Michael Harris II and Sean Manaea.
Braves OF Michael Harris II vs. Mets: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Michael Harris II is on a five-game hitting streak, totaling 7 hits over his past 21 at-bats (.333).
- However, Harris has only 1 hit over 8 career at-bats against Sean Manaea (.125).
- Atlanta’s center fielder bats .287 against left-handed pitchers, compared to .305 vs. righties.
- According to Baseball Savant, Manaea’s second-most used pitch is a sweeper (31.3%), and Harris bats a mediocre .257 against this pitch.
- Despite his recent hit streak, Harris has posted 5, 5, and 3 hitter fantasy scores over his past three games.
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Mets SP Sean Manaea vs. Braves: 5 Strikeouts
- The Braves total only 8.1 strikeouts per game (eighth-fewest), but that’s increased to 8.8 over the last five games.
- In the last 30 days, Atlanta has a 22.4% strikeout rate (tied for 14th) compared to 21.4% on the season (tied for eighth).
- Over two matchups with the Braves this season, Sean Manaea totaled 10 Ks (5.0 per start).
- He’s surpassed this strikeout projection in two of his last three appearances.
- Further, Manaea has tallied 5.6 innings pitched per start over his previous five appearances, increasing from 3.9 on the season.
- Manaea’s sweeper holds his top K rate (30.7%), and Atlanta ranks 27th in runs above average against the pitch over the previous 30 days.
Add Sean Manaea to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Following a dominant showing on Monday, will the Mets secure a series win on Wednesday afternoon? The series wraps up with Game 3 at 7:10 p.m. ET capping a doubleheader.
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