Braves vs. Mets Prediction, MLB Picks for Friday, June 12

The Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets game is set to get underway at 7:15 p.m. ET on Friday, June 12, with the Mets returning a 1.85x payout if they are victorious, per PrizePicks.

The Mets recently salvaged the final game of their three-game set against the St. Louis Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Braves dropped the opening two games of their three-game series against the Chicago White Sox before the finale was rained out.

Below, we'll break down our Braves vs. Mets prediction and picks for Friday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Braves vs. Mets picks on PrizePicks now.

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Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Friday, June 12

In Friday’s opener, Braves SP Spencer Strider (4.15 xFIP across 36.0 innings) and Mets SP Nolan McLean (3.51 xFIP in 72.1 innings) will go head-to-head on the mound.

Strider didn’t make his season debut until early May due to an oblique injury, but he has been extremely productive since returning to the mound. The Braves’ right-hander hasn’t yielded more than 3 earned runs in any of his outings, and Atlanta has won all but one of his seven starts.

Elsewhere, McLean had a rough stretch in which he surrendered 13 earned runs across two starts in late May. However, the Mets’ right-hander has bounced back by giving up just 1 earned run apiece in each of his last two outings entering Friday. 

The Braves have been one of the more electric lineups in the majors this season, producing the third-best wRC+ (109), per FanGraphs. On the other hand, the Mets rank 28th in wRC+ (86) in 2026.

Braves vs. Mets Winner Payout, Over/Under – Friday, June 12

The Mets enter Friday's game as a home favorite against the Braves, returning a 1.78x payout if they win outright via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Braves vs. Mets game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: New York Mets -1.5 (2.63x payout)
• Over/Under: 8.5 (2x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Braves 1.92x | Mets 1.78x

Play the Braves vs. Mets winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Braves vs. Mets Prediction on Winner – 6/12/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Braves vs. Mets prediction on the winner for Friday, June 12.

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• The Braves are 3-2 in their last five games against the Mets, including winning two games at Citi Field.
• According to Baseball Savant, Strider has held opposing batters to a .198 xBA, which ranks in the 98th percentile.
• Strider has also registered a 29.1% strikeout rate, ranking in the 88th percentile among pitchers in 2026.
• The Braves have scored the fourth-most runs (350) in the majors, trailing only the Washington Nationals (372), Los Angeles Dodgers (365), and Milwaukee Brewers (352).
• McLean has yielded a 35.7% hard-hit rate, which ranks in the 71st percentile.
• The Mets have averaged just 3 over their last five contests, with just two wins during that span.
• According to FanGraphs, the Mets own the second-worst wOBA (.292) this season.

Braves vs. Mets Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 6/12/26

Here are the top Braves vs. Mets picks to target on Friday, June 12. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Braves 1B Matt Olson and Mets SP Nolan McLean.

Braves 1B Matt Olson vs. Mets: 5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Olson is hitting .355 (11-for-31) with 3 home runs and 5 RBI over his last eight games.
• Olson has recorded a 53.5% hard-hit rate, which ranks in the 96th percentile among hitters.
• The Braves’ slugger has excelled against right-handed pitching with a slash line of .281/.356/.575, per FanGraphs. Olson has also belted 12 of his 19 home runs against right-handers.
• In 32 career road games against the Mets, Olson has hit .298 (34-for-114) with 8 home runs and 26 RBI.

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Mets SP Nolan McLean vs. Braves: 0.5 Singles

• McLean has registered 5 or fewer strikeouts in three of his last four starts.
• The Braves are striking out just 20.5% of the time, the fifth-lowest rate in the league.
• McLean hasn’t been keeping the ball on the ground nearly as much in 2026. He's tallied a 45.6% ground ball rate, which is the second-lowest of his career at any level.
• The second-year SP has struggled at home, posting a 2-3 record to go along with a 4.46 ERA and 48 strikeouts in seven starts.

Add Nolan McLean to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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The Braves have recorded the most wins in the majors up to this point in the season. After a few tough games, can Atlanta top its National League East rivals on the road on Friday evening?

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Braves vs. Mets picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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