The Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs game is set for a first pitch at 7:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday, September 15, at Wrigley Field, with the Cubs entering with a 1.66x payout to win, via PrizePicks.
The Cubs (84-67) jumped into the top Wild Card spot in the National League after routing the Braves (88-63) on Monday, 7-3. Chicago posted four innings of multiple runs and cruised to a comfortable 7-0 lead.
Atlanta scored 3 late runs, but it wasn’t enough as the NL East leaders fell to 6-11 on the road since the start of August.
Below, we'll break down our Braves vs. Cubs prediction and picks for Tuesday's MLB game, including the winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Braves vs. Cubs Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Tuesday, September 15
The Cubs won’t catch the Brewers for the NL Central crown, but Chicago can put itself in a position for home-field advantage in the Wild Card round. Manager Craig Counsell’s squad sits 0.5 games ahead of the Phillies and 1.5 games clear of the red-hot Padres for the top Wild Card spot.
Atlanta remains 4.5 games ahead of Philadelphia for first place in the NL East despite Monday’s defeat. The Braves own a batting average of .273 against right-handed pitching over the last 20 games, but a .239 xBA draws concern, according to Props Madness.
Since August 3, the Cubs are 13-8 at Wrigley Field, including a three-game sweep of the Dodgers and a four-game split with the Brewers. Chicago owns a solid 13-5 home record against the five other teams currently in the NL playoff picture, although all five losses are to Milwaukee.
The Cubs sit atop the league in wOBA (.338) and are third in xWOBA (.324), per Baseball Savant. Atlanta is 11 points higher than Chicago in xSLG, as the Braves rank fifth overall in that category (.409). However, the Braves have gotten off to slow starts recently, leading through the fifth inning only once in the last 10 games.
Braves vs. Cubs Winner, Over/Under – Tuesday, September 15
The Cubs enter Tuesday’s game with a 1.66x payout to win vs. the Braves, who carry a 2.12x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks.
Here are the full payouts for the Braves vs. Cubs game on PrizePicks.
Make your Braves vs. Cubs prediction on the winner on PrizePicks.
PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Braves vs. Cubs Prediction on Winner – Tuesday, September 15
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Braves vs. Cubs prediction on the winner for Tuesday, September 15.
- The Cubs are 5-2 in SP Kevin Gausman’s seven starts since getting traded from Toronto in August.
- Since the All-Star break, Chicago owns a 12-5 mark against left-handed starting pitchers.
- The Braves have lost five straight road starts made by SP Martin Perez.
- Chicago sits in the 82nd percentile in both xBA (.242) and xwOBA (.320) against left-handed pitchers.
- Since late July, the Braves have lost the first two games of a road series four times.
- The Cubs are the top team in wRC+ against southpaw pitching (124), according to FanGraphs.
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Braves vs. Cubs Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – Tuesday, September 15
Here are top Braves vs. Cubs picks to target on PrizePicks for Tuesday, September 15. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include 1B Matt Olson and SP Kevin Gausman.
Braves 1B Matt Olson vs. Cubs: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Olson is 6-of-19 batting against Gausman, including 3 HRs and 4 RBIs.
- Since September 2, Olson has finished below this projection in 10 of 12 games, including an 0 of 3 performance last night.
- In the last 14 road games, Olson is averaging a 0.6 HRR, hitting this projection twice.
- Over the last 10 games against right-handed pitching, the four-time All-Star is batting .182 along with an xwOBA of .333. This season, Olson has compiled an xwOBA of .366 against righties.
Add Matt Olson to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Cubs SP Kevin Gausman vs. Braves: 3.5 Strikeouts
- Gausman sits in the 88th percentile in chase rate (34.1%), facing an Atlanta lineup that ranks in the eighth percentile in the metric against right-handed pitching (33.2%).
- In his last six outings, Gausman is averaging 6.6 strikeouts per start, including 16 Ks in his past two home appearances.
- The Braves have struck out at least 5 times against opposing starting pitchers in eight straight road games.
- Gausman’s best pitch has been the split-finger fastball, producing a 41.9% whiff rate on a 38.3% usage.
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Make Braves vs. Cubs Picks on PrizePicks
The Cubs rolled past the Braves in Monday’s series opener at Wrigley. Can Atlanta get on track on the road against Gausman in Chicago?
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