Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks for Game 3 ALDS: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., More

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a baseball in an MLB game.
AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

The Blue Jays have the Yankees on the brink of elimination in the American League Divisional Series. Game 3 of the ALDS will begin at 8:08 p.m. ET and it will air on FS1.

Toronto's hitters have dominated the series, scoring 23 runs over the first two games. The starting pitching matchup Tuesday will see a pair of veterans in Blue Jays SP Shane Bieber and Yankees SP Carlos Rodon taking the mound. Let’s break down what their respective presence could mean for our Blue Jays vs. Yankees Game 3 ALDS picks on PrizePicks

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Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks for Game 3 ALDS

In addition to those 23 runs scored, the Jays have totaled 29 hits and 8 home runs. After being held to 1 run in Game 1, the Yankees scored 7 runs in Game 2. However, the Yankees were down 12-0, so the game was already in hand for the Blue Jays.

Blue Jays

It shouldn’t come as a surprise that the Blue Jays dominated the first two games of this series, since they were played in Toronto: The Jays went 54-27 at the Rogers Centre this season, the second-best home record in baseball. On the road, they managed just 40 wins.

Yankees

The New Yorkers also had better numbers at home, posting a 50-31 record at Yankee Stadium, while on the road, they went 44-37. After leading baseball in home runs this season, the Bronx Bombers have gone deep just once in the ALDS.


Blue Jays vs. Yankees Picks & MLB DFS

Here are three of the top Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks on PrizePicks for Game 3 of the ALDS, including Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Yankees SP Carlos Rodon.

Yankees SP Carlos Rodon vs. Blue Jays Projection: 5 Strikeouts

  • For the third time in the last four seasons, Rodon made at least 31 starts. He racked up 195+ strikeouts in all three of those campaigns.
  • It was a heavy workload that helped Rodon eclipse 200 strikeouts during the regular season — his K rate was a modest 25.7%.
  • The Blue Jays are an excellent contact-hitting team. During the regular season, they struck out the second-fewest times in baseball.
  • Over the first two games of the ALDS, the Blue Jays have whiffed a total of just 7 times.
  • The Yankees' star lefty faced the Blue Jays twice during the regular season, finishing with 4 strikeouts in both outings.

Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs. Yankees Projection: 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

  • Guerrero is 6-for-9 with 2 home runs, 6 RBIs, and 3 runs scored in the first two games of the ALDS.
  • The slugging first baseman has shown a sharp eye at the plate, posting a 13.8% strikeout rate and an 11.9% walk rate during the regular season.
  • While he had a .354 wOBA against right-handed pitchers this season, he thrived with a .404 wOBA versus southpaws.
  • For his career against Rodon, Guerrero is 10-for-17 with 1 home run, 3 doubles, and 5 RBIs.

Blue Jays OF George Springer vs. Yankees Projection: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • After a disappointing 2024 campaign, Springer bounced back this year to produce a .408 wOBA and a .251 ISO.
  • The veteran outfielder raised his barrel rate to 15.8% and his hard-hit rate to 46.7% this year, compared to his barrel rate of 9.2% and hard-hit rate of 37.2% in 2024.
  • In the first two games against the Yankees, he went 2-for-8 with 1 home run, 1 RBI, 3 runs scored, and 2 walks.
  • Over 13 regular season games against the Yanks, Springer hit 16-for-46 (.348) with 4 home runs, 12 RBIs, and 15 runs scored.

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The Blue Jays will have three chances to close out the Yankees and move on to the ALCS. Their first opportunity will come in Game 3 of the ALDS on Tuesday with Bieber facing off against Rodon. Not only could Rodon have a difficult time accumulating strikeouts against the contact-oriented Blue Jays, but he’ll have his hands full with the streaking Guerrero and Springer.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Game 3 ALDS brings plenty of projections to consider on PrizePicks. Just pick More or Less for at least two MLB player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks and win real money if your picks are correct.

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about the author

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.

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