Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, MLB Picks for Thursday, June 18

The Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox game is set for a first pitch at 1:35 p.m. ET on Thursday, June 18, with the Red Sox entering as favorites and returning a 1.72x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

The Blue Jays (36-38) seek the three-game sweep in Beantown this afternoon, coming off a 3-0 shutout on Wednesday night. The Red Sox (29-42) continue to struggle at Fenway Park, owning the worst home record in MLB at 12-24.

Below, we'll break down our Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prediction and picks for Thursday's MLB game, including the winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, June 18

The Red Sox have plated 1 run in the opening two losses to the Blue Jays, getting outscored 9-1 overall.

Since Boston blanked Toronto in its first matchup on April 26 at Rogers Center, the Jays have captured each of the last four meetings. The Sox have scored a total of 2 runs in those four defeats, each via a solo home run.

Last October, the Jays were one victory away from capturing their first World Series title since 1993 before falling to the Dodgers in seven games. Toronto hasn’t been able to reclaim that magic through the first three months, as the Blue Jays seek their first sweep since the opening series of the season against the Athletics.

Boston, meanwhile, aims to end an eight-game losing streak in home finales. The last time the Red Sox won the final game of a home series was against Detroit on April 20, an 8-6 triumph that featured today’s starting pitcher, Sonny Gray.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, June 18

The Red Sox enter Thursday’s game as home favorites against the Blue Jays, returning a 1.72x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (2.56x payout)
• Over/Under: 8.5 (1.88x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Blue Jays 2x | Red Sox 1.72x

Play the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction on Over/Under – 6/18/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prediction on the over/under for Thursday, June 18.

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• Both teams rank in the bottom six of MLB in wOBA, with the Blue Jays sitting at .310 and the Red Sox at .309.
• Four of the five matchups in 2026 have finished under the total with 7 or fewer runs scored four times.
• Toronto P Trey Yesavage is a better pitcher on the road, allowing 4 earned runs in 4 starts. He's yielded 16 earned runs in his past 3 home outings.
• Yesavage sits in the 83rd percentile of whiff rate at 29.1%. The Red Sox are in the bottom half of whiff rate against right-handers at 25.2%.
• The Jays may have a hard time receiving free passes from Gray, who averages a 6.3% walk rate. Toronto places in the fourth percentile in walk rate against righties at 7.3%.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 6/18/26

Here are top Blue Jays vs. Red Sox picks to target on Thursday, June 18. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include RF Jesus Sanchez and P Sonny Gray.

Blue Jays RF Jesus Sanchez vs. Red Sox: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

• Sanchez sits in the 89th percentile in xwOBA at .368 and 92nd percentile in xSLG at .516 against right-handed pitching, according to PropsMadness.
• The Dominican Republic native is batting 1-for-8 in his career against Gray.
• Sanchez has driven in 1 run in 10 June contests and compiled only 1 road RBI since May 20.
• The curveball may be Sanchez’s best bet for success against Gray. The Toronto slugger owns a .632 xSLG and .406 xwOBA on that pitch, while Gray is allowing a .510 xSLG on it. 

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Red Sox P Sonny Gray vs. Blue Jays: 4.5 Strikeouts

• Gray’s most effective strikeout pitch is the sweeper, recording 24 Ks and limiting opponents to a .140 batting average, according to Baseball Savant.
• The right-hander has posted at least 5 strikeouts in five of 12 starts. However, he put up 5+ Ks in four of the past six outings.
• Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitless in 7 career at-bats against Gray, striking out twice.
• Toronto sits in the first percentile in chase rate against right-handers at 35%.

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Boston tries to salvage the final contest of its three-game set with Toronto today. Can the Red Sox improve on their lousy home record, or will the Jays continue their domination of AL East rivals?

Don’t wait until lock — make your Blue Jays vs. Red Sox picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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