2026 World Cup Group G Winner Predictions, Preview, Favorites

June 3, 2026

Soccer
AP Photo/Geert Vanden Wijngaert, file

The 2026 World Cup is going to dominate sports discussions over the coming weeks, and Group G features a couple of notable teams: Belgium and Egypt. Behind Belgium and Egypt, Iran and New Zealand are hoping to find any way to play beyond the group stage.

Before and during the 2026 World Cup group stage, you can make real-money predictions on countries to win their group or advance to the knockout stage on PrizePicks.

To set the stage for the World Cup Group Stage, we’ll break down all four teams in Group G for the World Cup and highlight which teams have the best shot to win the group and advance.

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2026 World Cup Group G Teams & Favorites to Win

Here are the teams in Group G at the 2026 World Cup, in order of highest implied chance to win the group.

  • Belgium
  • Egypt
  • Iran
  • New Zealand

The top two teams from every group and the top eight third-place teams across all groups will advance in the World Cup knockout stage.

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2026 World Cup Group G Winner Payouts, Favorites

Here are the payouts for each team to win Group G, per PrizePicks Team Picks. Belgium is a decent-sized favorite to win the group, Egypt is expected to finish second, and Iran and New Zealand are desperate to get any result to advance.

The payouts below indicate real-money earnings if a prediction is correct on PrizePicks; for example, a 2x on a $100 entry would pay out $200 on PrizePicks Team Picks.

The lower the payout multiplier, the higher the chance of the outcome occurring, according to user picks. Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Belgium to Win Group G: Yes 1.4x | No 2.77x

Egypt to Win Group G: Yes 4.76x | No 1.16x

Iran to Win Group G: Yes 6.25x | No 1.09x

New Zealand to Win Group G: Yes 16.66x | No 1.01x

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2026 World Cup Group G to Qualify Payouts

Here are the payouts for each team to advance to the knockout stage in Group G. 

Once again, Belgium and Egypt appear to be in position to advance, while Iran and New Zealand have higher payouts to secure a spot in the knockout stage.

Belgium to Qualify from Group G: Yes 1.04x | No 7.69x

Egypt to Qualify from Group G: Yes 1.25x | No 2.85x

Iran to Qualify from Group G: Yes 1.63x | No 2x

New Zealand to Qualify from Group G: Yes 2.77x | No 1.36x

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2026 World Cup Group G Winner Prediction: Belgium

Belgium to Win Group G: Yes 1.4x | No 2.77x

Belgium to Win 2026 World Cup: Yes 33.33x | No N/A

Of the teams in Group G, Belgium could be in the best spot to make a deep run in the World Cup despite having just a 33.33x payout to win the tournament on PrizePicks Team Picks.

With manager Rudi Garcia making his World Cup debut, his side is led by F Jeremy Doku, MF Kevin De Bruyne, and GK Thibaut Courtois. During World Cup qualification, Belgium had an unbeaten campaign, tallying a 5-3-0 record to make their fourth consecutive tournament (2014, 2018, 2022, 2026).

After seeing an early exit in the group stage in Qatar for the 2022 World Cup, Belgium seems primed to win Group G.

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Egypt – World Cup Group G Prediction, Preview

To Win Group G: Yes 4.76x | No 1.16x

To Qualify for Knockout Stage: Yes 1.25x | No 2.85x

Egypt is still seeking their first win at the World Cup ahead of their fourth appearance in the tournament. The Pharaohs missed out on the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, but they cruised to a spot in this year’s iteration by placing first in their group via CAF (Confederation of African Football) by outscoring their opponents 20-2 over 10 matches.

Most people tuning into Egypt will know F Mohamed Salah, but F Omar Marmoush helps form a Premier League attacking duo up front. Salah recorded an assist in what was potentially his last match for Liverpool, though his future at Anfield could be reconsidered upon the news of manager Arne Slot being sacked.

If Egypt’s back line can hold up and Salah still has gas left in the tank, they have enough firepower to earn results and make their deepest World Cup run yet.

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Iran – World Cup Group G Prediction, Preview

To Win Group G: Yes 6.25x | No 1.09x

To Qualify for Knockout Stage: Yes 1.63x | No 2x

Much has been made about whether Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup following a joint airstrike attack on Iran from the US and Israel back in February. Iran has since had to move their World Cup training camp from Arizona to Mexico amid uncertainty surrounding their visas and safety.

Along with the distraction of whether they can safely play in the World Cup, Iran is seeking to achieve their first advancement out of the group stage. At the same time, Iran has made four consecutive World Cups, and they’ve managed to win a game in back-to-back tourneys.

It’s been a turbulent experience for Iran on the road to the 2026 World Cup, and advancing to the knockout stage will not be an easy feat with Belgium and Egypt in the same group.

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New Zealand – World Cup Group G Prediction, Preview

To Win Group G: Yes 16.66x | No 1.01x

To Qualify for Knockout Stage: Yes 2.77x | No 1.36x

At the bottom of Group G, New Zealand is appearing in their first World Cup since 2010, and they’re seeking their first win in the tournament.

New Zealand qualified for the 2026 World Cup via the OFC (Oceania Football Confederation) qualification process. Despite going a perfect 3-0-0 in World Cup qualification and outscoring their opponents 19-1, they are ranked 85th in the FIFA World Rankings, while none of the other teams in Group G are below 29th.

Anything close to a result — win or draw — would call for a celebration for New Zealand supporters across the globe.

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Pick The World Cup Group G Winner on PrizePicks

Belgium is the top dog in Group G of the 2026 World Cup, with Egypt shaping up to be the biggest threat behind the favorite to win the group. Iran is hoping to overcome distractions off the pitch, while New Zealand is just glad to be invited to the party.

You can make your World Cup Group G and 2026 World Cup picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on World Cup games. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. 

With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued World Cup predictions, picks, and analysis through the end of the tournament.

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Skyler Carlin is an experienced writer with nearly 10 years of experience writing and editing NFL, NBA, MLB, CFB, CBB, & soccer content for FanDuel Research & USA Today. When he's not writing, he enjoys cooking, watching movies, & playing video games.