Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction, MLB Picks for Sunday Night Baseball – 7/26/26

The New York Yankees (59-45) and Philadelphia Phillies (56-49) close a three-game series on Sunday Night Baseball. For tonight’s 7:20 p.m. ET contest on NBC, the Yankees are seeking a sweep after winning the first two games of the series.

New York has enjoyed strong pitching in Philadelphia, winning 1-0 on Friday, followed by a 3-1 victory on Saturday. However, PrizePicks Team Picks lists the Yankees as underdogs for Sunday Night Baseball, featuring a 2.56x payout to win, compared to the Phillies touting a 1.47x payout.

Below, we’ll break down Sunday Night Baseball’s rubber match, including a Yankees vs. Phillies prediction and player picks for projections via PrizePicks.

Make your Yankees vs. Phillies picks for Sunday Night Baseball on PrizePicks now.

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Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Sunday, July 26

New York’s pitching has dominated this series by limiting the Phillies to 1 run over two games. 

In Game 1, Yankees SP Cam Schlittler gave up 3 hits and 0 earned runs over 7.1 innings pitched. On Saturday, Yankees SP Ryan Weathers pitched for 5.2 innings, ceding 6 hits and 1 earned run. New York SP Will Warren (7-4, 3.94 xFIP in 99.0 IP) is the next hurler in line to toe the rubber.

Warren’s regressed over his last five starts with a 5.61 ERA, compared to 4.00 on the season. That includes allowing 5 home runs over his previous three starts. Will the Yankees’ hurler get back on track under the lights?

Philadelphia’s pitching hasn’t been too shabby either, holding New York to just 2.0 runs per game compared to the Yankees’ 4.7 per-game average (10th). The Phillies could be in line for a pitching advantage tonight, courtesy of SP Cristopher Sanchez (12-4, 2.58 xFIP in 132.2 IP). 

According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Sanchez is tied with teammate Zack Wheeler for the second-shortest payout to win the NL Cy Young award (6.66x). Despite his strong 2.65 ERA, 3.30 xERA, and 2.82 SIERA, Sanchez has yielded 13 earned runs and a 7.47 ERA over his last three outings.

With Warren and Sanchez each struggling of late, could we see a high-scoring affair on Sunday Night Baseball?

Yankees vs. Phillies Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, July 26

For Sunday Night Baseball, the Phillies are favored with a 1.47x payout at home vs. the Yankees. In line with 1 and 4 combined runs in the first two games of the series, tonight’s total is only 7.5 runs on PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Yankees vs. Phillies game on PrizePicks.

Make your Yankees vs. Phillies prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction on Over/Under for Sunday Night Baseball – 7/26/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Yankees vs. Phillies prediction on the total for Sunday Night Baseball.

• Phillies SP Cristopher Sanchez allowed 12 hits, 9 earned runs, and 3 home runs vs. the Royals on July 6. His 7.47 ERA in July is boosted by that poor outing, as he gave up only 4 earned runs with a 2.92 ERA over his last two starts.
• Sanchez could be in line for another strong showing — especially with the Yankees logging only 3.1 runs per game over the last 10 games.
• New York leans on power with 1.4 home runs per game (second-most) and a .184 ISO (second-highest). Sanchez holds opponents to 0.81 HR/9, which is under the 1.18 league average, per FanGraphs. 
• Further, the NL Cy Young contender rarely allows lift with a 25.7% fly ball rate, sitting far below the 39.0% league average. 
• Yankees SP Will Warren looks more vulnerable with a 4.49 xERA and 4.07 SIERA, but Philly has tallied only 3.4 runs per game over the last 10 games.
• In the last 30 days, the Phillies carry a .233 batting average (25th), .301 wOBA (24th), and .387 SLG (23rd).
• The under is 8-2 in the Yankees and Phillies’ previous 10 contests.  

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Yankees vs. Phillies Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 7/26/26

Here are top Yankees vs. Phillies picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, July 26. Tonight’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Cody Bellinger and Crisopher Sanchez. 

Yankees OF Cody Bellinger vs. Phillies: 0.5 Singles

• Following Game 2 on Saturday, Cody Bellinger is currently listed as day-to-day due to a hamstring injury. For now, he’s yet to be declared out for Sunday Night Baseball, making him a potential target thanks to a favorable matchup.
• Over 5 career at-bats against Phillies SP Cristopher Sanchez, Bellinger has 2 hits and 1 RBI, featuring a .400 batting average and .500 OBP.
• The Yankees outfielder is currently on a six-game hitting streak, posting 6 singles in the split.
• Bellinger features only 11 home runs and a .419 xSLG (58th percentile), per Baseball Savant. His 40.5% launch angle sweet-spot rate (95th percentile) and 31.5% squared-up rate (88th percentile) are leading to consistent contact, though. 
• Sanchez has allowed plenty of contact of late, giving up 9.7 hits per start in his last three appearances.

Add Cody Bellinger to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Phillies SP Cristopher Sanchez vs. Yankees: 7.5 Strikeouts

• Cristopher Sanchez carries a high 7.5-strikeout projection for Sunday Night Baseball. His exceptional 10.24 K/9 and 27.5% K rate (82nd percentile) fuel that number, but he’s logged 5.0 strikeouts per start in his last three outings.
• Over 21 starts this season, Sanchez has posted 6.3 innings pitched per appearance. That’s dipped to 5.6 innings pitched per outing in his last seven starts, leading to fewer chances for stacking Ks.
• Sanchez’s 38.7% chase rate sits in the 99th percentile, but the Yankees swing at only 31.7% of pitches outside the strike zone (ninth-lowest).
• The Phillies’ southpaw pitcher posts 7.2 strikeouts per start this season and failed to reach 8 Ks in six of his last seven outings.

Add Cristopher Sanchez to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Yankees vs. Phillies Picks for Sunday Night Baseball on PrizePicks

Will the Yankees complete the sweep on Sunday Night Baseball? New York may need to overcome a pitching disadvantage against the Phillies’ Cy Young contender, Cristopher Sanchez.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Yankees vs. Phillies picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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