Wrexham are set to host Chelsea at the Racecourse Ground on Saturday afternoon for Round 5 of the FA Cup. The Welsh side enters the fixture in spectacular form, unbeaten in their last five games, winning four and drawing once in that span.
Phil Parkinson’s squad will hope to continue the stellar play of late when they take on a Chelsea side coming off an impressive victory over Aston Villa during the midweek. Liam Rosenior’s squad hasn’t been in great form recently, posting a 2-2-1 record in their last five games.
This FA Cup matchup is set to kick off Saturday, March 7, at 12:45 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Below, we’ll break down our Wrexham vs. Chelsea FA Cup predictions and picks for Saturday afternoon’s matchup. Make your FA Cup picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on players, goal totals, and more!
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Wrexham vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks for Saturday, March 7
Wrexham will look to defeat yet another EPL side in the FA Cup after reaching the fifth round for the first time since the 1996-1997 season. The Welsh club defeated Nottingham Forest in a penalty shootout in the third round back in January.
However, Chelsea have been a much stronger team than Nottingham Forest and easily the toughest opponent Parkinson’s club has faced to this point. The Blues have dominated in the FA Cup, winning their two games by a combined score of 9-1.
Luckily for Wrexham, Rosenior could opt to at least begin the contest with players who typically would not make the squad’s strongest XI. This includes João Pedro, arguably the most in-form attacking player in world football.
The Brazilian striker is coming off a hat-trick performance on Wednesday and has 5 goals and 1 assist in his last five games. Pedro has yet to appear for Chelsea in the FA Cup this season.
It'll be interesting to see how Rosenior approaches this game, given that Wrexham is a stronger side than any that Chelsea has faced thus far. Wrexham are in the midst of fighting for a promotion spot in the championship and have scored the third-most goals (33) at home in the league.
Should Rosenior decide to utilize his squad depth to start this fixture, Wrexham must jump out to a quick start and hope to find themselves ahead with their home crowd behind them before Chelsea’s star power takes over.
Wrexham vs. Chelsea Spread, Total Goals, Payouts
Chelsea enters Saturday’s matchup as sizable road favorites, returning a 1.36x payout ($100 entry pays out $136) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Wrexham are substantial underdogs, with a 5.55x payout ($100 entry pays out $555) should they upset Chelsea via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.
- Winner Payout: Wrexham 5.55x | Tie 4.76x | Chelsea 1.36x
- Spread: Chelsea -1.5 (2x Payout)
- Total Goals: 3.5 (Over 2.12x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.61x | No 2.20x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.
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Wrexham vs. Chelsea Prediction on Total Goals
Here are some stats you need to know before making your prediction for Wrexham vs. Chelsea total goals on Saturday, March 7.
- Wrexham has outscored its opponents 11 to 6 in its last five games. Seven of those 11 goals have come in the first half of games.
- Chelsea games have featured three or more goals in 80% (8 of 10) of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Wrexham’s 13 games since the start of the new year.
- Chelsea have scored at least once in all but 2 away games across all competitions.
- Wrexham are averaging over 14 shots taken and 1.6 xG per game at home in the championship.
- Hull and Charlton combined for 1.97 xG to Chelsea’s 8.24 xG in the Blues' two FA Cup fixtures.
Wrexham vs. Chelsea Projected Lineups
Take a look at the Wrexham vs. Chelsea projected lineups for today's FA Cup match. Lineups are not official.
Wrexham Lineup vs. Chelsea: Projected 3-4-2-1
- Goalkeeper: Arthur Okonkwo
- Defense: Max Cleworth, Dominic Hyam, Callum Doyle, George Thomason, Issa Kabore
- Midfield: George Dobson, Lewis O’Brien, Oliver Rathbone, Nathan Broadhead
- Forwards: Kieffer Moore
Chelsea Lineup vs. Wrexham: Projected 4-3-3
- Goalkeeper: Robert Sanchez
- Defense: Marc Cucurella, Trevoh Chalobah, Wesley Fofana, Malo Gusto
- Midfield: Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo, Reece James
- Forwards: Cole Palmer, Alejandro Garnacho, Liam Delap
Wrexham vs. Chelsea Picks for FA Cup: Saturday, March 7
Here are the top Wrexham vs. Chelsea picks to target on players for Saturday, March 7, for PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Alejandro Garnacho and Arthur Okonkwo.
Chelsea F Alejandro Garnacho vs. Wrexham
Alejandro Garnacho Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Shots, 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goals + Assists (Demon)
- Garnacho is coming off his strongest showing in a Chelsea shirt, creating 6 chances and finishing the game with an assist on Wednesday.
- The Argentinian is averaging 3 shots and 1 shot on target per game in the two FA Cup fixtures. Garnacho recorded 3 shots and 1 on target during Wednesday’s clash versus Aston Villa.
- Garnacho has 10 G/A in 31 appearances. The left-winger has failed to record a goal or assist in the FA Cup this season but has 5 G/A in his 13 FA Cup appearances prior.
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Wrexham GK Arthur Okonkwo vs. Chelsea
Arthur Okonkwo Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Goalie Saves (Goblin), 2.5 Goals Allowed (Demon)
- Okonkwo is averaging 2.6 saves per game in 32 games in the championship. The Welsh club is averaging just 1.3 goals conceded, with a total of 122 shots on target against.
- Wrexham has conceded over 2.5 goals in just two games that Okonkwo has started.
- Chelsea is averaging 4.8 shots on target and over 3 big chances per game in the Premier League.
Make Wrexham vs. Chelsea FA Cup Picks on PrizePicks
A red-hot Wrexham squad aims to try its luck against an elite Premier League squad when they host Chelsea on Saturday. Chelsea hopes to build off an impressive win this past Wednesday in pursuit of their first trophy under their new manager.
You can make your Wrexham vs. Chelsea picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots and passes, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued soccer and FA Cup predictions, picks, and analysis.
