The all-important Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries Game 3 tips off at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, October 2, with the Valkyries entering as 6.5-point favorites and offering a 1.26x payout to win and advance on PrizePicks.
A historic performance from Wings G Arike Ogunbowale in Game 2 kept Dallas' season alive as the series returns to San Francisco for a shot at the semifinals.
The Valkyries fell on the wrong side of an overtime thriller and will need to win Game 3 to claim their first playoff series victory in franchise history. The victor faces the defending champion Las Vegas Aces, who clinched their semifinal spot with a win over the Indiana Fever on Thursday evening.
Below, we'll break down our Wings vs. Valkyries prediction and picks for Friday's WNBA Playoff game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Wings vs. Valkyries Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs – Friday, October 2
The Wings needed all 45 of Ogunbowale's points on Wednesday to narrowly beat the league's second seed 108-100 and avoid the sweep. Dallas shot a hyper-efficient 50% from the field and 52.2% from deep, completely shredding the league's top defense in front of a sold-out crowd at College Park Center.
The Wings will aim to give their fans at least one more guaranteed home game but must first pull off an upset in Golden State on Friday evening.
The Valkyries enter Game 3 as considerable favorites and clash with a team they've dominated on their home floor. Dallas has yet to win at the Chase Center across Golden State's two years of existence, averaging just 77.2 PPG in five visits to "Ballhalla."
Despite finishing the regular season with a top-five defensive rating, the Wings have been unable to contain a Valkyries offense that is now averaging 102 PPG — the highest of any team in the postseason.
Dallas must protect the 3-point line if it wants any chance of an upset on the road. Golden State has now hit a postseason-high 30 treys across the first two games, shooting a league-high 47.6% from beyond the arc.
The Valkyries ranked seventh of eight playoff teams in offensive rating during the regular season but have looked unstoppable in this series. If the Wings cannot tighten up defensively, counting on another record-breaking shooting night on the road against the league's best defense is a tall ask.
Expect a valiant effort from Dallas, but Golden State may return to its defensive identity and ultimately have too much for the Wings at home.
Wings vs. Valkyries Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs Today – Friday, October 2
The Valkyries enter Friday’s game as 6.5-point home favorites against the Wings, returning a 1.26x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Wings vs. Valkyries game on PrizePicks.
Make your Wings vs. Valkyries prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks.
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Wings vs. Valkyries Injury Report for Friday, October 2
Let’s dive into the full Wings vs. Valkyries injury report for Friday, via WNBA.com.
Dallas Wings Injury Report
- F Awak Kuier (Wrist) – Probable
- F Alanna Smith (Leg) – Out
Golden State Valkyries Injury Report
- No injuries reported
Wings vs. Valkyries Prediction on Winner for WNBA Playoffs – 10/2/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Wings vs. Valkyries prediction on the winner for Friday, October 2.
- After sweeping the regular-season series 3-0 and winning Game 1, the Valkyries' loss to the Wings on Wednesday was their first of the season. In two years of franchise history, Golden State are now 7-2 in nine games against Dallas.
- Before Wednesday, the Valkyries had held 11 straight opponents to under 50% shooting from the field. This season, Golden State allowed the league's lowest opponent FG% at just 41.4%.
- The Wings closed the 3-point gap after being significantly outshot from beyond the arc in Game 1. Dallas matched Golden State's 3-point output in Game 2, making 12 at an uber-efficient 52.2% clip.
- The Valkyries are a perfect 5-0 against the Wings at home, winning by an average margin of 11.4 points.
- Golden State finished the regular season with a league-best 17-5 home record, winning 77.3% of its contests at the Chase Center while surrendering a league-low 74.9 PPG to visiting foes.
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Wings vs. Valkyries Picks, Player Stats for WNBA Playoffs on PrizePicks: 10/2/26
Here are the top Wings vs. Valkyries picks to target on Friday, October 2. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Paige Bueckers and Gabby Williams.
Wings G Paige Bueckers vs. Valkyries: 18.5 Points
- Bueckers just became the first player to score 20 or more points on 90% or better shooting in a postseason debut in Game 1.
- Prior to Game 2's rough 3-for-13 shooting night, Bueckers had scored 19+ points in five straight games since returning from the FIBA World Cup in mid-September.
- Bueckers is now averaging 16.8 PPG across her five matchups against Golden State this year. She shot 51.2% from the field during the regular season.
- The Wings' All-Star finished in the top five among eligible players with 20.9 PPG this campaign. Her 61.1% true shooting clip ranked eighth among guards.
Add Paige Bueckers + Wings to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Valkyries F Gabby Williams vs. Wings: 23.5 Pts + Asts
- After her 36-point outburst in Game 2, Williams now ranks second among postseason scorers behind only Aces C A'ja Wilson, averaging 28.0 PPG through the first two games of the series.
- Williams has posted 24 or more combined points and assists in both games. The veteran wing is averaging 6.9 more minutes than she did during the regular season and has been far more productive as a result.
- The Wings have had no answer for the French international this season, with Williams averaging 24.6 PPG in five regular-season matchups against Dallas. The 30-year-old is also averaging 4.4 assists in those contests.
- Williams has been particularly dominant at the Chase Center, producing 22.7 PPG against the Wings at home and leading the team with 52 field goal attempts across those three tilts.
Add Gabby Williams + Valkyries to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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The Wings will look to pick up their first-ever win in Golden State and upset the Valkyries to reach the semifinals for the first time since 2023. The Valkyries, meanwhile, aim to avoid the upset at home and clinch their first postseason series victory in franchise history.
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