The Golden State Valkyries are slated to host the Dallas Wings in Game 1 of their first round series in the WNBA playoffs on Sunday, September 27, at 9:00 p.m. ET on USA Network.
Entering the postseason, the Valkyries have won four of their last five games and defeated the Los Angeles Sparks 76-75 in their regular-season finale. Meanwhile, the Wings have been victorious in four of their last five contests, capping off the regular season with a 103-91 win vs. the Seattle Storm.
Below, we'll break down our Wings vs. Valkyries prediction and picks for Sunday’s WNBA Playoffs game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Wings vs. Valkyries Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs
The Valkyries have enjoyed success in a short period despite 2025 being the team’s inaugural season. In fact, Golden State has now reached the WNBA playoffs in each of its first two seasons, falling to the Minnesota Lynx in the first round last season.
In 2026, the Valkyries earned the #2 seed in the playoff field after finishing second in the Western Conference, just one game behind the Lynx, who had the league’s best record at 33-11.
The Valkyries enter the postseason on a seven-game winning streak, taking out opponents with an impressive defensive effort. According to databallr, Golden State owns the WNBA’s top defensive rating (103.1).
Meanwhile, the Wings had lost the WNBA Playoffs in two consecutive seasons before earning the #7 seed in 2026. Dallas finished the regular season in fourth place in the Western Conference.
The Wings are one of the league’s top-scoring teams, averaging 89.4 points per game behind a trio of G Paige Bueckers (20.9 PPG), G Arike Ogunbowale (15.3 PPG), and F Jessica Shepard (14.5 PPG). The 2026 #1 overall pick Azzi Fudd averaged 13.1 PPG in 30 games before suffering a knee injury and undergoing season-ending surgery in August.
Wings vs. Valkyries Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, September 27
The Valkyries are the favorite for Game 1, featuring a 7.5-point spread, while the over/under is set at 153.5.
Make your Wings vs. Valkyries prediction on the spread on PrizePicks.
PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Wings vs. Valkyries Injury Report for Sunday, September 27
Let’s dive into the full Wings vs. Valkyries injury report for Sunday, September 27, via WNBA.com.
Dallas Wings Injury Report
- F Alanna Smith (leg) – OUT
Golden State Valkyries Injury Report
- No injuries reported
Wings vs. Valkyries Prediction on Spread for WNBA Playoffs – 9/27/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Wings vs. Valkyries prediction on the spread for Sunday's WNBA Playoffs matchup for the first round.
- The Valkyries are 3-0 against the spread in their three meetings against the Wings in 2026.
- Golden State allowed the fewest points per game in the WNBA (75.1), while also holding its opponents to a league-low 41.4% shooting clip from the field and 32.6% on 3-pointers.
- The Valkyries held the Wings to 30.4% from triples (21 of 69) over three meetings during the regular season.
- Ranking second behind only the Lynx (+7.1), the Valkyries have recorded a +7.0 point differential in the regular season.
- Offensively, the Valkyries thrive from the perimeter, knocking down 34.4% of their 3-pointers (sixth).
- Golden State has won all three meetings against the Wings by an average margin of +12.3 points this season.
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Wings vs. Valkyries Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 9/27/26
Here are the top Wings vs. Valkyries picks to target on Sunday, September 27. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Paige Bueckers, Jessica Shepard, and Veronica Burton.
Wings G Paige Bueckers vs. Valkyries: 18.5 Points
- Bueckers has scored at least 20 points in five of her last seven games.
- The Wings guard scores 12.5 unassisted points per 100 offensive possessions, which ranks in the 95th percentile.
- Bueckers spends 37.4% of her time on the floor on ball, sitting in the 86th percentile.
- The former UConn star is shooting 50.0% (12 of 24) from beyond the arc in her last five games.
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Wings F Jessica Shepard vs. Valkyries: 11.5 Points
- Shepard has scored at least 12 points in six of her last eight games to close out the regular season.
- The Wings forward is shooting 74.1% on shots at the rim this season, which ranks in the 90th percentile.
- Shepard secures 9.6% of her available offensive rebounds (89th percentile), leading to additional scoring opportunities near the basket.
- The former Notre Dame star scores 6.3 unassisted points per 100 offensive possessions (72nd percentile).
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Valkyries G Veronica Burton vs. Wings: 18.5 Pts + Asts
- Burton has registered at least 19 points and assists in four of her last eight contests.
- The former first-round pick spends 44.9% of her time on the court on-ball (93rd percentile).
- Burton registers 5.7 assists per game (ninth in the WNBA), while also tallying 4.14 assists per turnover (99th percentile).
- The Valkyries’ guard is shooting 35.5% on 3-pointers and attempts 3.9 triples per contest (78th percentile)
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The Valkyries got the best of the Wings in the regular-season series. Can Golden State take care of business on its home floor to begin the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?
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