Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction, Spread: Steph Curry Hits Utah

Warriors G Steph Curry guards Jazz G Keyonte George in an NBA basketball game.
AP Photo/Justine Willard

The Golden State Warriors (26-22) travel to Salt Lake City on Wednesday night to face the Utah Jazz (15-32) in a Western Conference matchup. 

Golden State looks to climb the playoff ladder, while Utah aims to play spoiler and develop its young core. Tip-off is set for 9:00 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass.

Below, we’ll break down our Warriors vs. Jazz prediction and spread for Wednesday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction, Spread

The Warriors enter Wednesday’s matchup after an uneven 2024–25 campaign and another up-and-down start to this season that has them sitting eighth in the West. Golden State struggles with consistency, particularly on the road, where they have not matched their form at Chase Center. The Warriors are also managing injuries, notably losing F Jimmy Butler III for the season with a torn ACL.

Utah, meanwhile, remains in a rebuilding phase after a 31–51 finish last year and sits 13th in the conference at 15–32.

This is the teams’ second regular-season meeting of the year, with Golden State holding the edge. The Jazz still lead the all-time series 116–91.


Warriors vs. Jazz Over/Under, Spread

The Warriors enter Saturday’s game as 9.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.23x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Jazz are home underdogs with a 3.7x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Golden State Warriors -9.5
  • Over/Under: 238.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Warriors 1.23x | Jazz 3.7x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Warriors vs. Jazz Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Warriors vs. Jazz injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.

Warriors Injury Report

  • SF Jimmy Butler III (ACL) – OUT
  • SF Li Cryer (hamstring) – Questionable
  • G Seth Curry (sciatic nerve) – OUT
  • PG Stephen Curry (patellofemoral) – Probable
  • PF-C Draymond Green (back) – Probable
  • G Gary Payton II (calf) – Probable

Jazz Injury Report

  • C Jusuf Nurkic (illness) – Questionable
  • G Elijah Harkless (hamstring) – OUT
  • F Georges Niang (foot) – OUT

Warriors vs. Jazz Numbers to Know

Here are some facts and figures to help you make your Warriors vs. Jazz PrizePicks prediction on Wednesday, January 28.

  • The Warriors cover the spread 47.9% of the time with a 23-25-0 record.
  • The Jazz sit 25-22 ATS (53.2%), making them one of the more profitable teams in the Association.
  • Golden State has been less reliable away from home (9-15-0 ATS) compared to their performance at Chase Center (14-10-0 ATS).
  • Utah has been solid against the spread at home this season (15-10-0 ATS), whereas they struggle away from the Delta Center (10-12-0 ATS).
  • The Warriors' offense has been a strong point this season, averaging 116.0 PPG, which should create mismatches
  • Utah’s defense has struggled, allowing 127.8 PPG, the worst mark in the NBA.
  • The Dubs covered the spread in three of their last five meetings with Utah, and have an 8-2 straight-up record against the Jazz in their last 10.

Warriors vs. Jazz Picks for PrizePicks Today: Wednesday, January 28

Warriors PG Stephen Curry vs. Jazz Projection: 30.5 Points

  • Curry averages 27.3 PPG this season on 46.8% shooting and 39.0% from beyond the arc while logging 31.6 minutes per contest.
  • The future Hall lf Famer averaged 31.3 PPG in his last three against Utah.
  • The star guard's 31.0% usage rate ranks him among the top in the league, while he takes 19.3 field-goal attempts per game and boasts an elite 93.1% free-throw percentage.
  • Utah's perimeter defense remains one of the league's worst, allowing point guards to average 27.9 PPG with a 122.4 team defensive rating.
  • In the Warriors' most recent matchup against the Jazz on January 3, 2026, Curry exploded for 31 points on 8-18 shooting and 6-12 from three.

Jazz PG Keyonte George vs. Warriors Projection: 31.5 Pts+Asts

  • Utah PG Keyonte George averages 30.8 combined points and assists this season (24.2 PPG, 6.6 APG).
  • George's 27.8% usage rate (27.4%) and efficiency have skyrocketed this season, shooting 45.5% from the field while drawing 7.2 free throw attempts.
  • The Warriors allow point guards 26.7 PPG and 7.6 APG.
  • Golden State commits 20.0 personal fouls per game, which could give George ample opportunities at the charity stripe.
  • Utah’s point averages 20.4 PPG and 5.1 APG versus Golden State in 9 career games; in two matchups this season, he posted 50 combined points and 16 total assists (25.0 PPG, 8.0 APG).

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Make Warriors vs. Jazz Picks on PrizePicks

Warriors vs. Jazz on Wednesday isn’t the only way basketball fans can make their NBA picks for player projections. 

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states. 

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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about the author

Garrett Kerman is a seasoned sports writer who has written for numerous outlets over the years from ClutchPoints, to Ballislife, to OutKick Sports. He also goes by the name The Fight Analyst where he has been a prominent voice in combat sports. However, he still maintains his voice in all sports like NFL, NBA, and MLB bringing viewers the best in coverage and analysis.

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