The Golden State Valkyries visit the Minnesota Lynx on Thursday, June 4, with tipoff set for 9 p.m. ET live on Prime Video.
The Lynx enter as 2.5-point favorites on PrizePicks, carrying the WNBA’s best record, despite missing their top player, Napheesa Collier. The Valkyries are 6-3 after an 18-point Commissioner’s Cup win over the Portland Fire.
Below, we'll break down our Valkyries vs. Lynx prediction and picks for Thursday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Valkyries vs. Lynx Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, June 4
An early-season favorite in the WNBA has been established. The Minnesota Lynx have the league’s best record despite missing former league MVP Napheesa Collier (ankle) following a surgical procedure in March.
Rookie Olivia Miles has joined existing explosive scorers like Courtney Williams and Kayla McBride to form an offense that is second in the WNBA in PPG (90.1). With Collier’s pending return later this month, the Lynx defense will receive a huge boost, too.
Yet, it’s the perpetually overperforming Golden State Valkyries that are short road underdogs, as these two teams vie for positioning in the Commissioner’s Cup — the W’s in-season tournament.
Golden State is 6-3 and has integrated offseason signing Gabby Williams with ease.
Valkyries vs. Lynx Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, June 4
The Lynx enter Thursday’s game as 2.5-point home favorites against the Valkyries, returning a 1.66x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Valkyries vs. Lynx game on PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx -2.5 (1.81x payout)
- Over/Under: 165.5 (1.72x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Valkyries 2.17x | Lynx 1.66x
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Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
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Valkyries vs. Lynx Prediction on Winner – June 4, 2026
Here are the key WNBA stats and trends behind our Valkyries vs. Lynx prediction on the winner for Thursday, June 4.
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- Golden State has a +7.6 net rating on the road, which is the fourth-best mark in the WNBA. Minnesota’s +9.8 net rating at home is third-best in the league.
- Tuesday’s game was the Valkyries’ fourth this year in which they won by 15 points or more.
- Following those blowout wins, Golden State is 1-2 with a -12 point differential
- Minnesota’s 45-11 record represents the best home winning percentage (80.4%) of any team in the WNBA since the start of 2024.
- Minnesota is fifth in the league in pace (97.7) while Golden State (93.6) is third from the bottom.
- The Valkyries lead the WNBA in bench points per game (36.9).
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Valkyries vs. Lynx Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks WNBA Today
Here are the top Valkyries vs. Lynx picks to target on PrizePicks for Thursday, June 4. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Gabby Williams and Kayla McBride.
Valkyries F Gabby Williams vs. Lynx: 22 PRA
- Williams is the Valkyries’ leading scorer, coming off just her third game scoring single-digit points all season.
- In the previous two instances, she averaged 17.0 points per game in the following contest.
- Williams is averaging 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game — 6.2 total — this season
- Despite the Lynx’s elite overall defense (96.9 rating), Minnesota allows the 12th-most points (26.2), 11th-most rebounds (10.6), and 11th-most assists (6.3) to opposing forwards, representing no outlier matchup in any category.
- The forward’s 25.5% usage rate is 21st in the WNBA among players averaging at least 20.0 minutes per game.
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Lynx G Kayla McBride vs. Valkyries: 12.5 Points
- McBride is in the middle of a shooting slump, posting 10-for-30 (33.3%) from the field over her last three games.
- Her 38.3 effective field goal rate (eFG%) in this time is considerably below her 2025 mark, 53.6 eFG%.
- Games at Target Center have seen McBride be more aggressive, with a 19.5% usage rate at home compared to 16.5% usage on the road.
- McBride is still the Lynx’s leader in minutes per game (31.7), logging at least 33 minutes in each of the team’s games decided by 10 or fewer points.
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Make Your WNBA Predictions Today on PrizePicks
As two of the hottest teams in the WNBA square off with Commissioner’s Cup seeding on the line, will Golden State or Minnesota make an early-season statement on Prive Video Tonight
Don’t wait until tip-off at 9 p.m. ET — make your Valkyries vs. Lynx picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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