Valkyries vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, WNBA Playoffs Picks for Friday, October 9

The WNBA Playoffs continue on Friday, October 9, as the Golden State Valkyries visit the Las Vegas Aces in Game 3 of their best-of-five WNBA Semifinals series, featuring a 9:30 p.m. ET tip-off on Peacock. PrizePicks lists the Aces as a 3.5-point favorite for the spread.

The Valkyries are one win away from eliminating the defending champions and from advancing to the WNBA Finals in their second season of existence. The Aces return home in a 2-0 hole, coming off an 83-81 defeat in San Francisco on Wednesday.

Below, we'll break down our Valkyries vs. Aces prediction and picks for Friday's WNBA Playoffs game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Valkyries vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks now.

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Valkyries vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs – Friday, October 9

The Aces enter Friday’s game as 3.5-point home favorites against the Valkyries. If Golden State wins outright, it returns a 2.5x payout via PrizePicks — or an estimated $250 on a $100 entry.

Here are the full payouts for the Valkyries vs. Aces game on PrizePicks. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.     

Make your Valkyries vs. Aces prediction on the spread on PrizePicks!

Golden State turned into a wonderful story during its expansion campaign of 2025, making the playoffs before falling to Minnesota in the opening round.

The Valkyries finished with the second-best record in the league at 32-12, one game ahead of the Aces. Golden State lost all three regular season matchups with Las Vegas but took care of business in the first two games of this semifinal series.

In Sunday’s series opener, the Valkyries held the Aces to a season-low 60 points on 34.0% shooting from the floor. It was an incredible defensive performance for Golden State, which allowed an average of 89.0 points per game in its three regular-season losses to Las Vegas.

The scoring picked up for Game 2, as the Valkyries held on for an 83-81 victory, finishing over the 157.5 total. 

Golden State jumped out to a 17-point lead, but Las Vegas rallied to take a 76-74 advantage with 1:36 remaining. Valkyries G Veronica Burton drilled a 3-pointer with 42 seconds remaining to give Golden State the lead for good as the teams combined for 48 points from the foul line.

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Valkyries vs. Aces Injury Report for Friday, October 9

Let’s dive into the full Valkyries vs. Aces injury report for Friday, October 9, via WNBA.com.

Golden State Valkyries Injury Report

• None

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

• G Jewell Loyd (leg) – Questionable
• F Stephanie Talbot (leg) – Questionable

Valkyries vs. Aces Prediction on Spread for WNBA Playoffs – 10/9/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Valkyries vs. Aces prediction on the spread for Friday, October 9, in the WNBA game on Peacock.

• The Aces are 3-0 in elimination games since the last postseason, capped off by beating Indiana 94-83 in Game 3 of the first round.
• The Valkyries are seeking their first-ever win in Las Vegas, dropping the previous four matchups.
• According to WNBA.com, Las Vegas has a 59.0% effective field goal percentage (eFG%) at home in the playoffs, compared to 46.6% on the road.
• The Valkyries live and die by the 3-pointer, as 44.6% of their field goal attempts were from downtown this season. That number has taken a slight dip to 41.3% in the playoffs.
• Golden State has covered six of the last seven games in the underdog role.
• The Aces are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in four home games against the Valkyries.

Lock in your Valkyries vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks before tip-off.

Valkyries vs. Aces Picks, Player Stats for WNBA Playoffs – 10/9/26

Here are the top Valkyries vs. Aces picks to target on PrizePicks for Friday, October 9. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Gabby Williams and A’ja Wilson.

Valkyries F Gabby Williams vs. Aces: 19 Points

• Williams went through a 15-game stretch from July 18 to September 24 when she failed to score more than 20 points in 14 contests.
• However, the former UConn standout has topped the 20-point mark in four of the last five games, including a 25-point effort in Game 1.
• Williams shot 7 of 15 from 3-point range in the first two wins over the Aces. Las Vegas is holding opponents to 33.6% from deep in the playoffs.
• In four of the five matchups with the Aces this season, Williams compiled at least 20 points.

Add Gabby Williams to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Aces C A’ja Wilson vs. Valkyries: 37.5 Pts + Rebs

• The five-time MVP has been held below this projection in the first two games, posting 28 P+R in Game 1 and 31 P+R in Game 2.
• In her first two home playoff performances against Indiana, Wilson compiled 54 and 46 P+R efforts.
• In the last 12 home games, the former South Carolina star has cashed this projection eight times. 
• Wilson averaged 12.6 rebounds per game in the three regular season matchups with Golden State. However, she has pulled down a total of 11 boards in the two losses to the Valkyries this series.

Add A’ja Wilson to your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Make Valkyries vs. Aces Picks on PrizePicks

Golden State seeks its first WNBA Finals appearance with a victory tonight. Can the Valkyries pull off the sweep, or will the defending champion Aces hold serve and extend this series to a Game 4?

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Valkyries vs. Aces picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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