The Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers game is set to get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, June 11, with the Tigers returning a 1.72x payout if they win the matchup, per PrizePicks.
The teams have split the first two games of the three-game set, with the Twins recording a 6-4 win on Wednesday night. Which side will get the last laugh in this American League Central clash on Thursday afternoon?
Below, we'll break down our Twins vs. Tigers prediction and picks for Thursday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, June 11
In Thursday’s series finale, Tigeres SP Keider Montero (4.89 xFIP across 66.0 innings) and Twins SP Zebby Matthews (4.19 xFIP in 30.1 innings) will face off on the mound.
Montero has struggled at times recently, as he’s surrendered at least 4 earned runs in three of his last five starts. However, according to Baseball Savant, the Tigers’ right-hander has still produced a 3.79 xERA.
Meanwhile, Matthews began the season at Triple-A St. Paul but was recalled last month. Since joining the major league roster, the right-hander has yielded 2 or fewer earned runs in three of five outings.
The Tigers and Twins have both produced under .500 records through the first half of the season, with both offenses struggling to maintain any level of consistency. They both have a wRC+ of 97, which ranks 17th.
Minnesota earned the victory on Wednesday, which was highlighted by a 3-run home run from star OF Byron Buxton that gave his side a 4-1 advantage. It was a lead that the Twins ultimately wouldn’t relinquish.
Twins vs. Tigers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, June 11
The Tigers enter Thursday's game as a home favorite against the Twins, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Twins vs. Tigers game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers -1.5 (2.43x payout)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (2.43x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Twins 2x | Tigers 1.72x
Play the Twins vs. Tigers winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Twins vs. Tigers Prediction on Winner – 6/11/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Twins vs. Tigers prediction on the winner for Thursday, June 11.
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- The Twins are 4-1 in their five meetings against the Tigers this season, outscoring Detroit 32-26.
- Minnesota ranks 14th in total hits (550), while the Tigers have struggled at the plate with 528 (25th).
- Twins SP Zebby Matthews has excelled for the most part since being recalled. Aside from a 7 earned run anomaly, Matthews has allowed 3 or fewer in his other starts and lasted at least 6 innings each time.
- Matthews has held opposing batters to just a .218 xBA, which ranks in the 76th percentile.
- Meanwhile, Tigers SP Keider Montero has struggled keeping the ball on the ground, yielding a 52.5% fly ball rate, according to FanGraphs. Montero has surrendered 5 home runs across his last five starts.
- Montero has allowed 8 earned runs in his last three outings.
Twins vs. Tigers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 6/11/26
Here are the top Twins vs. Tigers picks to target on PrizePicks for Thursday, June 11. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Twins OF Byron Buxton and Tigers SS Kevin McGonigle.
Twins OF Byron Buxton vs. Tigers: 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Buxton is hitting .259 (7-of-27) in his last seven games, including going 2-for-4 with the aforementioned homer on Wednesday.
- According to Baseball Savant, Buxton has registered an 18.5% barrel rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile.
- The Twins’ star outfielder has recorded 43 of his 61 hits vs. right-hand hitting throughout the 2026 season, per FanGraphs.
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Tigers SS Kevin McGonigle vs. Twins: 0.5 Singles
- McGonigle is hitting .269 (7-of-26) across his last seven games.
- The Tigers' shortstop has registered a single in four contests during that span.
- According to Baseball Savant, McGonigle has tallied a .463 xSLG, ranking in the 75th percentile.
- McGonigle has recorded 34 of his 48 singles against right-handed pitching, per FanGraphs.
Add Kevin McGonigle to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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The Tigers and Twins have split the opening two games of their three-game set. Does Minnesota have what it takes to pull off another upset road win to close out the series on Thursday afternoon?
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Twins vs. Tigers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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