Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Tuesday, July 28

There are more matchups than usual in the MLB world on Tuesday, as the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds’ doubleheader chips in for a 16-game slate. Some of the bigs’ top talents take the field today, but how many home runs will be hit by night’s end? 

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to add to your MLB picks today. Many hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run projections for Tuesday, July 28, including what makes each player a potential target for home run predictions. 

Make your MLB home run picks for Tuesday, July 28 on PrizePicks now.  

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Tuesday, July 28

There’s been no shortage of power thus far in the season, as 33 players have topped the 20-homer mark entering Tuesday’s play. Five of them are already at 30+, and it’s a contested race to see who will be the home run king this campaign.

It takes more than just sheer strength to swat a ball over the fences. Matchups are important, as are the weather and ballpark dimensions. Beyond that, there are certain things hitters can do to put themselves in prime positions for power upside, such as maximizing barrels, optimizing swing path, simply swinging faster, and much more. 

Which players could be in good positions to swat a homer on Tuesday? Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

1. Yankees 1B Ben Rice
2. Twins CF Byron Buxton
3. Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong
4. Rays 3B Junior Caminero
5. Red Sox 1B Willson Contreras
6. Cardinals RF Jordan Walker
7. Athletics 1B Nick Kurtz
8. White Sox 1B Munetaka Murakami

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today. Let’s dive into the list, including a weather report from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

Yankees 1B Ben Rice

Yankees vs. White Sox – 7:40 p.m. ET

White Sox Starting Pitcher: Anthony Kay

MLB Weather Report: 71 degrees, clear skies, 14 mph north wind

• Rice is clobbering the ball to the tune of career highs in home runs (31), ISO (.310), and wRC+ (160). 
• Eliminating weak contact from his batted-ball diet has helped Rice log more extra-base hits, including homers. After posting a 13.8% soft contact share in 2024, that number dropped to 13.3% last year and is 9.1% this season.
• The slugging first baseman ranks in the 96th percentile in both xSLG (.523) and launch angle sweet-spot percentage (40.8%). 
• In his return to MLB, Kay is ceding 1.28 HR/9 and a career-high 26 barrels on the year.
• The 31-year-old sits in just the 32nd percentile in barrel rate (8.6%) and the 18th percentile in strikeout rate (18.0%), meaning players make contact against him often.

Add Ben Rice to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Twins CF Byron Buxton

Royals vs. Twins – 7:40 p.m. ET

Royals Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo

MLB Weather Report: 88 degrees, clear skies, 4 mph south wind

• While he hasn’t always been available in the last three years, Buxton’s production is consistent. From 2024-2026, he has a .273 ISO and a 138 wRC+. In 81 games this year, those respective marks are .283 and 137.
• Buxton’s 21.3-degree average launch angle is the third-highest of his career and his highest since 2022. His 17.7% barrel rate is a personal best. 
• That barrel rate slots into the 97th percentile, and the star outfielder’s .511 xSLG is in the 93rd.
• Lugo is struggling relative to his last couple of years, ceding a 44.5% hard-hit rate and a 15.0-degree launch angle.
• The 36-year-old hurler is in the 23rd percentile in barrel clip (9.4%) and isn’t missing any bats, evidenced by an ugly 18.8% induced whiff rate (seventh percentile). 

Add Byron Buxton to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong

Cubs vs. Cardinals – 7:45 p.m. ET

Cardinals Starting Pitcher: Michael McGreevy

MLB Weather Report: 88 degrees, clear skies, 8 mph north wind

• The Crow-Armstrong ascension continues, as the Cubs’ electric center fielder has upped his ISO and wRC+ by .019 and 45 points year-over-year.
• PCA has improved his hard-hit share every year of his career with at least 10 batted-ball events, going from 36.8% in 2024 to 41.6% in 2025 and now 48.2% in 2026.
• The MVP candidate is swinging harder than ever, boasting a 74.8 mph bat speed and a 50.5% fast-swing percentage — both his best since tracking started in 2024.
• Crow-Armstrong is an 80th-percentile hitter or better in bat speed (81st), launch angle sweet-spot split (82nd), and hard-hit ratio (85th). 
• McGreevy’s 90.2 mph average exit velocity resides in just the 17th percentile, and his hard-hit rate (42.2%) isn’t much better at the 25th percentile. 

Add Pete Crow-Armstrong to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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With so many teams and players taking the field on Tuesday, there could be a multitude of home runs hit. The trio of Rice, Buxton, and Crow-Armstrong rises above the rest as potential candidates to go yard today.

Don’t wait until first pitch — make your MLB home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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