Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Monday, July 27

The last week of July begins with a 12-game MLB slate, including one day game in Arlington. With there being plenty of movement from the afternoon into the night, how many home runs could be hit?

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to make your MLB picks today. Some hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run projections for Monday, July 27, including what makes each player a potential target for home run predictions.

Make your MLB home run picks for Monday, July 26 on PrizePicks now.  

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Top Home Run Picks Today – Monday, July 27

There are many factors to consider when looking to see who will leave the yard. One can look at the opposing pitcher, ballpark, weather, as well as an individual's bat speed, swing path, barrel quality, and overall strength. 

Which players could be in good positions to swat a homer on Monday? Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

1. Astros DH Yordan Alvarez
2. Yankees 1B Ben Rice
3. Braves 1B Matt Olson
4. White Sox DH Andrew Benintendi 
5. Orioles OF Tyler O’Neill
6. Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
7. Orioles 1B Pete Alonso
8. Cardinals OF Jordan Walker
9. Red Sox 1B Willson Contreras
10. Giants 1B Rafael Devers

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today. Let’s dive into the list, including a weather report from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

Red Sox 1B Willson Contreras

Red Sox vs. Athletics – 9:40 p.m. ET

Athletics Starting Pitcher: Jack Perkins

MLB Weather Report: 82 degrees, clear skies, 7 to 9 mph winds

• Red Sox slugger Willson Contreras leads the team and is eighth in the American League with 22 home runs.  
• Those homers, in only 97 games, already surpassed his 20-HR season last year with the St. Louis Cardinals. He is two away from his career-high of 23, reached in 2019 with the Chicago Cubs. 
• Contreras has an ISO of .256, the 12th-best mark in the majors and tops on the Red Sox. 
• The Athletics send Jack Perkins to the mound. Perkins has allowed at least one HR in three straight starts and in seven of his last eight appearances. 
• The Athletics play at Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A stadium in Sacramento, until they move to Las Vegas. They've allowed 99 home runs at home, the most in the sport. 

Add Willson Contreras to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber

Phillies vs. Marlins – 6:40 p.m. ET

Marlins Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips

MLB Weather Report: 84 degrees, 20% chance of rain (retractable roof)

• Kyle Schwarber leads the National League and is second in MLB with 33 home runs. He also finished second in the Home Run Derby earlier this month, losing in the finals to the Cardinals’ Jordan Walker.  
• He finished last year with a career-high and NL-leading 56 home runs. His 89 combined homers since the beginning of last year are the most in baseball. 
• Schwarber’s .306 ISO is the best in the National League and third best in MLB, only trailing the New York Yankees' Ben Rice and the Houston Astros' Yordan Alvarez.
• The Marlins, losers of 12 straight games, send Tyler Phillips to the mound. Phillips has given up at least one HR in five of his last seven starts, including 3 vs. the Phillies in the last matchup on June 16. One of those was hit by Schwarber. 
• The former Cub routinely hits the ball hard, as evidenced by his 44.9% hard-hit percentage (ninth) and his barrel percentage of 19.3% (third). 

Add Kyle Schwarber to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Astros DH Yordan Alvarez

Astros vs. Angels – 9:38 p.m. ET

Angels Starting Pitcher: Walbert Urena

MLB Weather Report: 78 degrees, clear skies, 4 to 5 mph winds

• With 3 home runs vs. the fading Miami Marlins last week, Astros star Yordan Alvarez took over the league lead in home runs with 34. He’s also third in batting average at .323 and second in RBI with 77. 
• Alvarez’s .315 ISO is second behind Rice, and he leads all players with a 1.059 OPS.
• His barrel percentage of 18.6% is fifth, while his 53.2 hard-hit percentage is sixth. 
• While he doesn't have a home run vs. Angels starter Walbert Urena, he is 2-for-2 lifetime against him. He has 6 career jacks at Angels Stadium.

Add Yordan Alvarez to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

Who will go deep on Monday? Can Kyle Schwarber retake the lead over Yordan Alvarez while playing the Marlins, or will Alvarez continue his hot streak and expand that lead?

Don’t wait until first pitch — make your MLB home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can also make predictions on today's MLB game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news throughout the 2026 MLB season.