Tonight at the Chase Center in San Francisco, the Minnesota Timberwolves (40-26) face the Golden State Warriors (32-33) in a Western Conference matchup.
The Timberwolves are sliding down the standings in the West, coming into this game having lost three straight games. The Warriors are also limping, losing five of their last six. The Timberwolves are 6.5-point favorites on the spread vs. the Warriors for tonight’s game at 10:00 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
Below, we’ll break down our Timberwolves vs. Warriors prediction and picks for Friday night’s game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Western Conference playoff picture is tight, and it may come down to the wire. Coming into Friday, just two games separate the 3-7 seeds, meaning those teams could host a playoff round or participate in the play-in tournament.
The Timberwolves are involved in this congested playoff race, and during this recent three-game losing streak, they've fallen to the sixth seed.
The offense is carrying the T-Wolves, as they rank fifth in scoring with 118.6 points per game. That hasn't offset their recent struggles on defense, though — Minnesota is allowing an average of 130.7 points over the last three games, including 153 against the Los Angeles Clippers.
The Warriors occupy the ninth seed, which would put them in the play-in for the third year in a row if the season ended today.
Golden State is trying to survive without PG Stephen Curry, who has missed the last 15 games with a hamstring injury. Even without one of the greatest shooters of all time, the Warriors remain a strong 3-point team, averaging the second-most treys made (16.3) since January 31.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Spread, Over/Under
The Warriors enter Friday’s game as 6.5-point home underdogs, returning a 2.77x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Timberwolves are road favorites with a 1.42x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5
- Over/Under: 228.5
- Game Winner Payout: Warriors 2.77x | Timberwolves 1.42x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread – 3/13/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Timberwolves vs. Warriors prediction on the spread for Friday, March 13 on PrizePicks.
- The Warriors lead the league with 16.3 3-pointers made per game.
- The Timberwolves are eighth in the league with a 116.1 offensive rating.
- Minnesota struggles to cover on the road when listed as the favorite, owning an 8-14 record against the spread.
- The Warriors aren't much better at home as underdogs, having a 2-6 ATS record.
- Golden State does play higher-scoring games at home, with 21 of 33 totals going over.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Timberwolves vs. Warriors injury report for Friday, via NBA.com
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- G Ayo Dosunmu (thumb): Questionable
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- PG Stephen Curry (knee): OUT
- G De'Anthony Melton (adductor): Questionable
- SF-SG Moses Moody (wrist): OUT
- C Quinten Post (foot): Questionable
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/13/26
Here are the top Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks to target for Friday, March 13, on PrizePicks. Timberwolves SG Anthony Edwards and Warriors G Brandin Podziemski headline today’s projections.
Timberwolves SG Anthony Edwards vs. Warriors Projection: 29.5 Points
- Edwards is one of the top scorers in the league, with his 29.4 points per game ranking third among all players.
- In his one matchup against the Warriors earlier this season, Ant-Man led the game with 32 points.
- The former 2020 NBA Draft No. 1 overall pick has exceeded his set points total in 11 of his last 14 road games.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Warriors G Brandin Podziemski vs. Timberwolves Projection: 22.5 Pts + Rebs
- Since January 31, Podziemski leads the Warriors with 6.9 rebounds per game and ranks fourth with 14.3 PPG.
- The Timberwolves struggle against guards, allowing 26.4 points per game to them, the fifth-highest mark in the NBA.
- The third-year man out of Santa Clara has exceeded his set points and rebounds projection in 11 of his last 13 contests.
Make Timberwolves vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
The Timberwolves and the Warriors are coming into this game each with a three-game losing streak. Which side will stop the skid on Friday night?
You can make your Timberwolves vs. Warriors picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news every day until the 2026 NBA Finals.
