After the NBA was idle for Election Day, the league returns with a 14-game slate on Wednesday. The Houston Rockets will host the Minnesota Timberwolves on November 4 at 8:30 p.m. ET. According to PrizePicks, the Rockets are 7.5-point favorites on the spread.
Houston has been one of the NBA’s hottest teams thus far, racing out to a 7-1 start, including a 109-93 win against the Boston Celtics on Monday. Meanwhile, Minnesota has started 5-3 and topped the Milwaukee Bucks 112-100 in its most recent game on Monday.
Below, we'll break down the matchup for our Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction and NBA picks, including on the winner, spread, over/under, and key player projections on PrizePicks.
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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, November 4
The Rockets enter Wednesday’s matchup as 7.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.31x payout if they win outright.
Here are the full payouts for the Timberwolves vs. Rockets matchup. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Make your Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction on the spread on PrizePicks.
Stats used in this article are from Basketball Reference, NBA.com, or databallr unless stated otherwise.
The Rockets have been on fire out of the gate, with their only defeat coming against the Dallas Mavericks on October 30 in a 116-111 decision. Houston is one of the NBA’s highest-scoring teams, as it averages 119.3 points per game (sixth).
Houston has plenty of scoring up and down its roster, but it got a huge boost with the return of G Fred VanVleet. VanVleet missed the entire 2025-26 season due to a torn ACL and has rebounded with averages of 12.2 PPG, 6.8 APG, and 3.7 RPG.
F Kevin Durant remains one of the league’s most dangerous scorers, but C Alperen Sengun leads the Rockets in PPG (23.3) and RPG (8.7). Sengun has an incredibly efficient game against the Celtics, scoring 26 points on 12-of-15 shooting and grabbing 10 rebounds.
The Rockets could be missing some frontcourt depth against the Timberwolves. C Steven Adams is out with a calf injury, and C Clint Capela (ankle) is listed as questionable for Wednesday’s contest, per the NBA injury report.
Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have put together a 2-2 record since losing star G Anthony Edwards from the lineup. Edwards underwent an arthroscopic procedure on his right knee last month and could be sidelined for up to two months, per ESPN’s Shams Charania.
Before the procedure, Edwards averaged 33.3 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 3.5 APG while shooting 40.0% from beyond the arc.
The Timberwolves made a huge splash in the offseason when the franchise traded for G LaMelo Ball to pair with Edwards. Now Ball is expected to shoulder much of the offensive workload with Edwards out. Without Edwards, Ball has scored 24+ points in two of his four games.
In addition to Edwards, Minnesota is still missing G Donte DiVincenzo, who is recovering from a torn Achilles tendon that he suffered during the 2026 postseason.
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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Prediction on Spread – 11/4/26
Here are the key stats behind our Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction on Wednesday, November 4, including a pick for the spread on PrizePicks.
- The Rockets are 7-1 against the spread this season, including covering all four home games.
- Houston is shooting 49.8% from the field this season, second-best among all NBA teams. Additionally, the Rockets are also knocking down 39.1% of their shots from beyond the arc (third).
- The Rockets have excelled in transition, with the sixth-most fast break points per contest (17.9).
- Houston has played lockdown perimeter defense, holding its opponents to the second-lowest clip from three (29.9%).
- Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have seen their scoring average dip to 116.0 PPG (below their 119.0 PPG season average) and have lost two of their four games since G Anthony Edwards got hurt.
- Houston has covered the spread in two of its last three home games against Minnesota.
Lock in your Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction on PrizePicks before tipoff.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets Picks, Player Stats on PrizePicks: 11/4/26
Our top Timberwolves vs. Rockets player picks for Wednesday, November 4, on PrizePicks include F Jaden McDaniels and C Alperen Sengun.
Timberwolves F Jaden McDaniels vs. Rockets: 16.5 Points
- McDaniels has averaged 16.8 PPG this season, while shooting a career-best 52.8% from the field.
- The veteran wing is knocking down 36.4% of his 3 -point shots and has drilled 4 of 9 long-range shots in his last two games.
- McDaniels has scored 17+ points in three of his last four contests.
- The Timberwolves have a +17.1 net rating when McDaniels is on the floor this season.
Add Jaden McDaniels + Timberwolves to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.
Rockets C Alperen Sengun vs. Timberwolves: 28.5 Pts + Rebs
- Sengun has recorded at least 29 points and rebounds in four of his last six games in 2026-27.
- The Rockets’ center has pulled down 50.0% of his contested rebounds this season.
- Sengun has averaged 25.6 true shot attempts per 100 possessions, ranking in the 96th percentile.
- The two-time All-Star averaged 25.7 PPG and 8.7 RPG in three games against the Timberwolves in 2025-26.
Add Alperen Sengun + Rockets to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Make Timberwolves vs. Rockets Picks on PrizePicks
The Rockets have looked like an unstoppable force through the opening two weeks of the 2026-27 season. With the Timberwolves without G Anthony Edwards, the Rockets could keep thriving on their home floor Wednesday night.
Don't wait until tipoff — make your Timberwolves vs. Rockets picks on PrizePicks now!
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