The Oklahoma City Thunder (52-15) wrap up a four-game homestand vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (41-26) in a Western Conference battle on Sunday, March 15.
The Timberwolves and Thunder have faced off on three occasions this season, with Minnesota winning two of those matchups. Tip-off for Sunday’s showdown is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET on ABC, with the host team listed as 7.5-point favorites.
Below, we’ll break down our Timberwolves vs. Thunder prediction and picks for Sunday afternoon’s game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Thunder currently sits atop the Western Conference standings with a three-game lead over the San Antonio Spurs. Entering Sunday, Oklahoma City is on a seven-game winning streak and most recently defeated the Boston Celtics, 104-102, on Thursday in a battle between the NBA’s top two teams.
Thunder star G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is in the midst of having another phenomenal season, as he is currently second in the NBA in scoring (31.8 PPG). According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Oklahoma City guard is the favorite to win the NBA MVP award with a 1.09x payout.
The Timberwolves sit sixth in the Western Conference standings and are fighting to stay out of the Play-In Tournament. Minnesota lost three consecutive games before getting back into the win column with a 127-117 win vs. the Golden State Warriors on Friday.
Timberwolves SG Anthony Edwards is having a career year, ranked third in the scoring race with 29.7 PPG. Edwards, who is dealing with knee soreness, has topped the 30-point mark in three of his last four contests.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Spread, Over/Under
The Thunder are 7.5-point home favorites today, returning a 1.25x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Timberwolves are road underdogs and return a 4x payout if they win outright, per PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 (1.72x payout)
- Over/Under: 225.5 (1.85x payout)
- Game Winner Payout: Timberwolves 4x | Thunder 1.25x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Timberwolves vs. Thunder injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com.
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- SG Anthony Edwards (knee): Questionable
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- C Isaiah Hartenstein (calf): Questionable
- SF Jalen Williams (hamstring): OUT
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Prediction on Spread – 3/15/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Timberwolves vs. Thunder prediction against the spread for Sunday, March 15, on PrizePicks.
- The Thunder are 0-7 against the spread in their last seven games, despite winning all of those contests outright.
- The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS vs. the Thunder in the last six meetings.
- According to NBA Advanced Stats, Oklahoma City owns an offensive rating of 117.0, ranking seventh in the NBA. The Thunder average 118.6 PPG (sixth), paired with a 55.8% effective field goal percentage (fifth).
- While the Thunder are impressive on offense, the Timberwolves have slightly outperformed the unit by averaging 118.7 PPG (fifth) and connecting on 37.1% of 3-point shots (fifth).
- The Timberwolves shot 46% or better in two of their three games against the Thunder this season.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/15/26
Here are two of the top Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks to consider for Sunday, March 15. Today's PrizePicks NBA player picks feature Thunder F Chet Holmgren and Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert.
Thunder F Chet Holmgren vs. Timberwolves Projection: 27.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Since the All-Star break, Holmgren has averaged a combined 29.3 points, rebounds, and assists per game over his last eight contests.
- Holmgren registered at least 28 points, rebounds, and assists in four of his last eight appearances.
- The Thunder PF averaged 11.1 RPG during that eight-game span.
- According to databallr, Holmgren sports a 21.5% defensive rebound percentage, ranking in the 77th percentile.
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Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert vs. Thunder Projection: 11.5 Rebounds
- Gobert averaged 12.2 RPG across his last 10 games.
- The Timberwolves center tallied at least 12 rebounds in seven of his last 10 contests.
- According to NBA Advanced Stats, Gobert secures 39.3% of his contested rebound opportunities.
- Gobert averaged 12.3 RPG in three games vs. Oklahoma City in the 2025-26 season.
Make Timberwolves vs. Thunder Picks on PrizePicks
The Thunder own the best record in the NBA and are riding a seven-game winning streak entering Sunday’s contest. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have dropped three of their last four games and are looking to get back on track.
You can make Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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