The Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) have gotten back to their winning ways after losing back-to-back games. They’ll look to secure their fourth consecutive contest against the Golden State Warriors (18-16) at the Chase Center on Friday.
In a battle featuring one of the league's most dynamic PGs, reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, basketball fans could be in for an exciting matchup. Tip-off is at 10:00 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
Below, we'll dive into a Thunder vs. Warriors prediction and picks for Friday. We'll also list some top PrizePicks player projections and PrizePicks Team Picks trends to consider.
Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The defending champs are still playing like they have something to prove. OKC’s ability to maintain an elite level on both sides of the ball sets it apart from other contenders.
The Thunder give up a league-low 107.9 points per game, and opponents make just 43.5% of their shot attempts against them. Their arsenal of capable perimeter defenders and shot blockers is second to none, giving their leader plenty of freedom to continue operating as one of the league’s most efficient stars.
Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points while notching career-highs in field goal percentage (56.3) and 3-point percentage (42.0). He's also matching his career-high of 6.4 assists per game.
The Warriors have managed to climb back above .500, but PG Stephen Curry is carrying a heavier workload than he should be in his age-37 season. The sharpshooter is posting the most points (28.7) that he has since 2022-23 while hoisting more than 12 triples per contest for just the second time.
C Isaiah Hartenstein (calf), F-C Jaylin Williams (heel), PG Nikola Topic (cancer), and C Thomas Sorber (knee) are out for OKC. PF Draymond Green (rest) is out for Golden State, in addition to Curry (ankle) and F Jimmy Butler (illness).
F-C Al Horford (sciatica) and F-C Trayce Jackson-Davis (knee) are probable for Golden State.
Thunder vs. Warriors Over/Under, Spread
The Thunder are 9.5-point favorites, returning a 1.26x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors return a 3.57x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5
- Over/Under: 228.5
- Gamer Winner Payout: Thunder 1.26x | Warriors 3.57x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Thunder vs. Warriors today.
- Golden State has covered in four of its previous five games.
- OKC has covered in two of its last seven games.
- The Thunder are 7-8 against the spread on the road this season.
- The Warriors have gone 11-9-1 ATS as home underdogs since 2023-24.
Thunder vs. Warriors NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here is a top Thunder vs. Warriors player projection to consider from PrizePicks today.
Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Warriors Projection – 30.5 Points
- SGA has averaged 41.3 points per contest in his last four road games against the Warriors.
- The Thunder’s leading scorer is attempting 33.0 shots per 100 possessions, per databallr. That’s a 99th-percentile figure.
- The reigning MVP generates 9.6 free-throw attempts per 75 possessions.
- The Kentucky product spends 37.3% of his time on the ball, putting him in the 87th percentile.
Make Thunder vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
The Thunder and Warriors are set to meet for the third time this season on Friday as both teams deal with key injuries in the front court.
You can make your Thunder vs. Warriors picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
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