Tonight from the Target Center in Minneapolis, SG Anthony Edwards and his Timberwolves (28-19) stare down G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-10). The game tips at 9:30 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
OKC’s sports the best record in the league and is 8-3 in their last 11. For their part, the Timberwolves defense is failing them, as they've allowed more than 120 points in three of their last six.
Let’s look at the Thunder vs. Timberwolves prediction and spread. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Spread
The season series is tied at one win apiece, with Oklahoma City triumphing 113-105 on November 26, 2025, and Minnesota claiming the 112-107 dub on December 19, 2025.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Over/Under, Spread
The Thunder enter this matchup as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.38x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Timberwolves are road underdogs with a 2.56x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5
- Over/Under: 234.5
- Game Winner Payout: Thunder 2.17x | Timberwolves 1.61x
(Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change)
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Thunder vs. Timberwolves injury report for Thursday, via NBA.com.
Thunder Injury Report
- SG Cason Wallace (calf) – Questionable
- G Alex Caruso (thigh) - OUT
- F-C Thomas Sorber (knee) - OUT
- SG Ajay Mitchell (abdomen) - OUT
- G-F Jalen Williams (hamstring) - OUT
- PG Nikola Topic (groin) - OUT
Timberwolves Injury Report
- None
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Numbers to Know
Here are some facts and figures to get you set for Thunder vs. Timberwolves tonight, including insights on our Thunder vs. Timberwolves prediction.
- Despite the Thunder’s 38-10 record being tops in the NBA, they are just 23-25 against the spread, tenth-worst in the league.
- In each of the past two years, the Thunder-Timberwolves season series has ended in a 2-2 tie.
- The Timberwolves’ .444 (4-5) winning percentage against Northwest opponents is the second-lowest in the division.
- The Thunder are 7-2 (.778) against Northwest opponents and are the only team in the NBA with fewer than three losses against division foes.
- According to Dunks & Threes, Oklahoma City is the only team to rank in the top-five in both adjusted offensive efficiency (fifth) and adjusted defensive efficiency (first).
- Since January 17, the Timberwolves rank 17th in points allowed per game (113.4).
- The previous two matchups went under the set point total.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves NBA Player Picks
Here are three top Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks to target on Thursday. Timberwolves SG Anthony Edwards and Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander headline key PrizePicks player projections.
Timberwolves SG Anthony Edwards vs. Thunder Projection: 25.5 Points
- Edwards ranks third in the league with 29.7 points per game.
- The 2020 first overall pick has 26 contests scoring 30+ points, fifth-most in the NBA.
- Ant-Man averages 40.4 minutes vs. OKC this season, the most against any opponent.
- January was Edwards' best month, as he racked up up 31.2 PPG.
Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Timberwolves Projection: 30.5 Points
- The reigning MVP's 32 points per game ranks second in the league.
- SGA leads the NBA with 49 games scoring 30+ points.
- The former 2018 first-round pick averages 37.5 PPG against the Timberwolves, third-highest vs. any Western Conference opponent.
- The Kentucky product is heavily involved in the offense against the T-Wolves — his 35% usage percentage is the third-highest among Western Conference opponents.
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