Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction, Summer League Picks: Cameron Carr Bounces Back?

Following the Bulls vs. Grizzlies at 8:00 p.m. ET, the Thunder vs. Lakers cap Prime Video’s quadruple-header for Friday, July 10’s NBA Summer League action. The game tips off at 10:00 p.m. ET, with the Thunder favored by 3.5 points with a 1.58x payout to win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

We got an early look at both teams before the 2026 NBA Summer League in Las Vegas, as the Lakers participated in the California Classic Summer League, while the Thunder featured at the Salt Lake City Summer League.

Tonight’s matchup is headlined by Oklahoma City’s 2026 first-round picks, C Aday Mara and G Bennett Stirtz, facing off against Los Angeles’ No. 24 pick, G Cameron Carr.

Below, we'll break down our Thunder vs. Lakers prediction and picks for Friday’s NBA Summer League game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Thunder vs. Lakers prediction on PrizePicks for today’s Summer League game.

{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, July 10

Most eyes are on the rookies in the early stages of the NBA Summer League, and that’s headlined by Thunder G Bennett Stirtz, G Otega Oweh, C Aday Mara, and Lakers G Cameron Carr tonight. 

Thanks to a wealth of draft picks, OKC had another impressive draft haul, using the 12th pick on Mara, the 16th pick on Stirtz, and the 44th selection on Oweh. The Thunder were fortunate to see Mara slide in the 2026 NBA Draft, addressing the center position. Plus, Stirtz should solve Oklahoma City’s need for another ball handler off the bench.

Los Angeles had only one 2026 draft pick to work with, and it may have landed a gem in Baylor G Cameron Carr. He was a potential lottery pick but fell to the 24th pick, where the Knicks selected Carr and traded his draft rights to the Lakers.

Carr has been one of the most impressive rookies thus far, logging 19 and 26 points in his first two showings at the California Classic Summer League. 

Anchored by the 7-foot-3 center, Oklahoma City’s starting lineup is expected to feature a form of positionless basketball from the point guard to power forward spots, as Stirtz (6’4”), Oweh (6’4”), Brooks Barnhizer (6’5”), and Josh Dix (6’6”) all stand between 6’4” and 6’6” with wing skills.

The Lakers will likely be at a height disadvantage in this one, as Anton Watson (6’8”) and Adou Thiero (6’8”) are expected to man the frontcourt in the starting lineup. 

Thunder vs. Lakers Spread, Over/Under – Friday, July 10

According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Thunder enter Friday night’s matchup as a 3.5-point favorite, paired with a 1.58x payout if they win.

Here are the full payouts for the Thunder vs. Lakers NBA Summer League game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 (1.85x payout)
• Over/Under: 173.5 (1.69x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Thunder 1.58x | Lakers 2.27x

Make your Thunder vs. Lakers prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Thunder vs. Lakers Expected Starting Lineups for Friday, July 10

Let’s dive into the expected starting lineups for Thunder vs. Lakers on Friday night. Lineups aren’t official and are based on recent playing time trends, injuries, schedule dynamics, and more.

Thunder Expected Starting Lineup vs. Lakers

• PG: Bennett Stirtz
• SG: Brooks Barnhizer
• SF: Otega Oweh
• PF: Josh Dix
• C: Aday Mara

Lakers Expected Starting Lineup vs. Thunder

• PG: Davo Hickey
• SG: Peter Sudar
• SF: Cameron Carr
• PF: Adou Thiero
• C: Anton Watson

Thunder vs. Lakers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/10/26

Here are some top Thunder vs. Lakers picks to target on Friday, July 10. Tonight’s NBA Summer League picks for PrizePicks include Aday Mara, Cameron Carr, and more.

Thunder C Aday Mara vs. Lakers: 6.5 Rebounds

• Aday Mara was the top center in the 2026 NBA Draft, and he may feast thanks to a height advantage tonight.
• Standing at 7-foot-3, Mara could face a Lakers frontcourt led by two 6-foot-8 pieces in Anton Watson and Adou Thiero.
• In the 2025-26 season at Michigan, Mara totaled 6.8 rebounds per game (RPG). 
• According to Bart Torvik, the 7-foot-3 big finished the season with a 20.4% defensive rating — which ranked 10th among eligible players in the Big Ten.
• After posting only 3 rebounds in his debut on July 4, the No. 12 pick bounced back with 9 boards and a 21.2% defensive rebounding rate (82nd percentile) on July 6 vs. the Hawks, per The 5th Factor.

Add Aday Mara to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Thunder G Bennett Stirtz vs. Lakers: 13.5 Points

• Frankly, the Thunder’s three-player draft class struggled in the Salt Lake City Summer League. That includes Bennett Stirtz averaging 9.5 PPG in his first two appearances.
• Through two games, Stirtz has a 44.0% true shooting percentage (36th percentile) and a 42.5% effective field goal percentage (37th percentile).
• He’s converted only 3 of 10 3-point attempts (30.0%) in Salt Lake City as well. That’s a concern for a prospect highly regarded due to his ability to shoot the rock.
• Stirtz was a player who benefited from a high volume in collegiate play, logging 13.4 and 14.2 field goals attempted per game in his final two seasons. He still managed to log 19.8 PPG in the 2025-26 season for Iowa, but his 39.5% 3-point percentage from the 2024-25 campaign dropped to 35.8% last season.
• The Thunder’s rookie guard was playing Division II basketball in the 2023-24 season. Following a meteoric rise to the highest stage, Stirtz could experience an adjustment period to NBA-level athletes, potentially harming his efficiency in the early going.

Add Bennett Stirtz to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Lakers G Cameron Carr vs. Thunder: 19.5 Points

• In Cameron Carr’s first two games in the California Classic Summer League, the rookie posted 19 and 26 points while shooting 45.2% from the field and draining 9 of 20 3-point looks (45.0%). 
• He came back to Earth with 5 points, making only 2 of 7 field goal attempts (28.6%) over 13 minutes in his final California Classic appearance.
• As the Lakers begin play in Las Vegas, another limited showing from Carr is unlikely. The former Baylor Bear is the top player on Los Angeles’ Summer League roster, which may also mean plenty of shots. We saw just that with 15.5 field goal attempts per game in his first two appearances.
• After going 0 of 2 from 3-point land on July 7, I’m not expecting lightning to strike twice, as Carr showcased his 3-point repertoire with a 37.4% mark from deep on 6.1 attempts per game during the 2025-26 season at Baylor. 

Add Cameron Carr to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Thunder vs. Lakers Picks for Vegas Summer League on PrizePicks

Will Cameron Carr return to his dominant Summer League form against a Thunder roster that could outmatch the Lakers? Oklahoma City is expected to feature an exciting brand of basketball with four wings surrounding its top pick of the 2026 NBA Draft, Aday Mara.

Don’t wait until lock — make your Thunder vs. Lakers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily NBA Summer League predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 NBA Finals.