Two-thirds of the NBA is in action on Monday, with Peacock featuring a doubleheader of intriguing matchups. The nightcap sees the Oklahoma City Thunder hit the road to take on the Los Angeles Lakers.
The late-night bout (10:00 p.m. ET) puts a pair of projected Western Conference playoff teams under the bright lights. One side needs a win to get back on track, whereas the other seeks to make the most of a chance to climb up the ranks.
Below, we’ll break down our Thunder vs. Lakers prediction and picks for Monday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
There isn’t much about last year’s Thunder squad that hasn’t already been said. Although they were tested in the postseason following a 68-14 effort, they hoisted the Larry O’Brien Trophy at the end of the campaign. With that said, they’re 40-13 this year, including a 5-5 record in their last 10.
The Lakers, meanwhile, won 50 games a season ago and are tracking for one more win this year. Head coach JJ Redick’s crew is 7-3 in its last 10, sitting seven games behind OKC in the West standings but just one game out of the No. 3 seed.
Monday marks the 272nd all-time regular-season meeting between Oklahoma City and Los Angeles. The Lakers own the series lead 157-114, but the Thunder won the opening matchup of this season on November 12.
Thunder vs. Lakers Over/Under, Spread
The Thunder enter Monday’s game as 7.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.36x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Lakers are home underdogs with a 2.85x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5
- Over/Under: 223.5
- Game Winner Payout: Thunder 1.36x | Lakers 2.85x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Thunder vs. Lakers Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Thunder vs. Lakers injury report for Monday, via NBA.com.
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal): OUT
- SG Ajay Mitchell (abdominal): OUT
Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report
- C Deandre Ayton (knee): Probable
- PG Luka Doncic (hamstring): OUT
- F Adou Thiero (knee): OUT
Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Thunder vs. Lakers prediction on Monday, February 9.
- As a home underdog this year, the Lakers are just 2-4 against the spread, one of the worst marks in the NBA. The Thunder are a respectable 12-12 ATS as road favorites.
- Oklahoma City scores more points per game (119.9) than all but one NBA team, also boasting the third-best shooting percentage (48.7) on offense.
- Defensively, the Thunder suffocate opponents, yielding the lowest 2-point percentage (48.1), overall shooting clip (43.3), and scoring mark (107.9 PPG).
- Los Angeles’ offense isn’t firing on all cylinders, slotting in at just 13th in scoring (116.1 PPG) and 29th in field goal attempts nightly (83.5).
- Redick’s defense, lacking personnel, is nothing to write home about. It sits 17th in scoring (115.8 PPG) and 26th in opponent effective field goal clip (56.2%).
Thunder vs. Lakers Picks for PrizePicks Today: Monday, February 9
Here are three top Thunder vs. Lakers picks to target for Monday, February 9 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by G-F Jalen Williams, F LeBron James, and SG Austin Reaves.
Thunder G-F Jalen Williams vs. Lakers Projection: 27.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Williams is making his return to the lineup after a 10-game absence due to a hamstring strain. It remains to be seen whether he’ll be on a strict minutes restriction.
- In 24 games this year, J-Dub is posting career-low marks from the field (47.0%) and from deep (30.0%) while averaging just 16.8 points.
- Los Angeles’ defense surrenders the second-fewest rebounds per game (48.6) to opponents.
- According to databallr, in 1,492 minutes without Williams this season, the Thunder’s net rating jumps by 5.7 points.
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Lakers F LeBron James vs. Thunder Projection: 29.5 Pts + Asts
- James averages 28.6 combined points and assists this season. Since the turn of the calendar to January, that number is up to 30.1.
- The King is canning 50.1% of his field goal tries, the sixth consecutive year in a row he’s been over the 50% mark.
- Floater range is James’ wheelhouse in 2025-26. His 50.4% efficiency from 3-10 feet is the second-highest of his 23-year career, trailing only 2013-14 (55.4).
- In 449 minutes without Doncic in the lineup, James’ usage rate and assist rate climb 7.9% and 3.7%, respectively.
Lakers SG Austin Reaves vs. Thunder Projection: 29.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Despite logging fewer than 23 minutes per game in his three outings since returning, Reaves is still putting up 30.7 combined points, rebounds, and assists on average.
- Even on a career-high 29.2% usage rate, AR-15 maintains an excellent 67.0 true shooting percentage.
- Reaves’ 13.5% defensive rebounding clip is in the 95th percentile. Per FantasyPros, the Thunder allow the third-most nightly rebounds (7.11) to the SG position.
- Without Doncic, Reaves’ usage rate jumps from 22.7% all the way to 35.4%. He also sees a 2.9% increase in assist clip.
Make Thunder vs. Lakers Picks on PrizePicks
Thunder vs. Lakers picks aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily NBA action.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
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