This may be a light NBA slate in terms of volume, but the schedule isn’t lacking for quality. As the Emirates NBA Cup rolls on, a pair of Western Conference matchups take center stage.
The early game between the Suns and Thunder (7:30 p.m. ET on Prime Video) contains plenty of firepower. With Phoenix being better than many expected and Oklahoma City off to a red-hot start, the NBA Cup Quarterfinals could bring a fun clash between both squads.
Below, we’ll break down a Suns vs. Thunder prediction and picks to consider for Wednesday night’s NBA Cup Quarterfinals. Use PrizePicks NBA to make player picks and win money if you’re right.
Suns vs. Thunder NBA Cup Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Wednesday marks the 261st all-time meeting between the Suns and Thunder. Although Phoenix boasts a solid 136-124 series lead, Oklahoma City has rattled off an impressive seven wins in a row dating back to 2023.
The injury report for Wednesday is a mixed bag. On one hand, Phoenix is still without SG Jalen Green (hamstring), but fellow SG Devin Booker (groin) was upgraded to questionable. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, should get reigning MVP PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander back but won’t have C Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) or G Isaiah Joe (knee).
Suns vs. Thunder Over/Under, Spread
The Suns enter Wednesday’s game as 15.5-point underdogs, returning a 6.25x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Thunder are favorites with a 1.09x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5
- Total: 227.5
- Game Winner Payout: Suns 6.25x | Thunder 1.09x
Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.
Suns vs. Thunder Prediction: Over/Under 227.5
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Suns vs. Thunder in the NBA Cup Quarterfinals.
- Wednesday presents a matchup of two top-12 offenses. The Suns rank 12th in offensive rating at 115.5, whereas the Thunder sit fifth at 120.0.
- Phoenix ranks eighth in 3-point attempts per game (39.7), sitting sixth in makes (14.6).
- Both teams have contrasting rebounding strengths. The Suns’ is offensive (12.8 per game, sixth), with the Thunder’s being defensive (35.7 per game, first).
- Oklahoma City nets more made field goals per game (44.1) than all but two teams.
- The Thunder’s +16.2 average scoring margin paces the entire league.
- The over has hit seven times in the last 10 Suns-Thunder meetings, including each of the last three.
Suns vs. Thunder NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are three top Suns vs. Thunder NBA Cup Quarterfinals picks to target on Wednesday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by C Mark Williams, PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and G-F Jalen Williams.
Suns C Mark Williams vs. Thunder Projection: 18.5 Pts + Rebs
- Williams averages 21.8 combined points and rebounds per game this season. In his last six outings, that number jumps to 25.
- The fourth-year big’s 69.6 true shooting percentage ranks 10th in the NBA.
- Phoenix’s offseason trade pickup snags 22.2% of his team’s misses and 12.2% of his own. Oklahoma City yields a higher offensive rebounding clip (23.6%) than all but four teams.
- In five games without Hartenstein this year, the Thunder average 1.9 fewer boards.
Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Suns Projection: 42.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Despite averaging just 33.3 minutes per game, Gilgeous-Alexander produces a combined 43.9 points, rebounds, and assists a night.
- On half a shot less each outing, the defending MVP is pouring in 0.1 more points thanks to career-high efficiency from the field (55.6%) and from 3-point land (44.3%).
- Per databallr, SGA’s 11.9% defensive rebounding clip ranks in the 86th percentile.
- Gilgeous-Alexander’s 33.3% assist rate is the highest of his eight-year NBA career.
Thunder G-F Jalen Williams vs. Suns Projection: 24.5 Pts + Asts
- In his five-game sample since making his season debut, Williams averages 24.2 points and assists.
- Per 100 possessions, J-Dub is posting career-highs in shot attempts (25.3), rebounds (8.6), and assists (10.6).
- Williams’ cold start from deep (27.3% on just 2.2 attempts per game) doesn’t seem like a candidate to last. In three years prior, he was a 38.2% shooter on 3.7 tries a night.
- According to NBARAPM, Williams’ 24.4 assist points per 100 blows his previous best average of 18.6 out of the water.
Make Suns vs. Thunder Picks on PrizePicks
Suns vs. Thunder isn’t the only avenue basketball fans have to make NBA picks. With PrizePicks, you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right.
Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit.
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