Sun vs. Sparks Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Saturday, August 22

As the second of back-to-back games broadcast on Prime Video, the Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks matchup isn’t one with any playoff implications for either side. Still, it could carry some weight for the 2027 WNBA Draft order, making it an intriguing battle nonetheless.

Ahead of tip-off at 9 p.m. ET, Los Angeles is a home favorite over visiting Connecticut and returns a 1.51x payout with a victory in front of its fans. Which side could come out on top in this one? 

Below, we'll break down our Sun vs. Sparks prediction and picks for Saturday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Sun vs. Sparks prediction on PrizePicks now.

{{wnba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Sun vs. Sparks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, August 22

After going 11-33 in head coach Rachid Meziane’s debut campaign, the Sun haven’t done anything much different in 2026. The club’s winning percentage is almost the same this year, including a 5-11 mark since the month of July began.

C Brittney Griner paces the team with 13.2 points and 5.8 rebounds each night, but she’s set to miss Saturday’s contest with an injury. Instead, it’ll be down to the duo of G Leila Lacan and F Aneesah Morrow to keep what might be the league’s worst offense afloat on the road.

Hosting are the Sparks, who flirted with a .500 record in 2025 but have been in free fall mode for over two months. Following a 7-6 start, Los Angeles has managed just five wins in 23 opportunities and no longer has star G Kelsey Plum after shipping her off to the Phoenix Mercury at the WNBA trade deadline. 

Some promising pieces remain, such as F Nneka Ogwumike, F Dearica Hamby, and G-F Rae Burrell. With that said, Ogwumike is in the last year of her career, Hamby is on the wrong side of 30, and Burrell is an unrestricted free agent this offseason. This is an organization in need of an injection of youthful, high-upside talent. 

Surprisingly, Connecticut has captured each of the two meetings between these teams thus far in the season. May 30’s clash ended in an 84-81 triumph that preceded an 85-77 victory on Tuesday. Could the Sun complete the season sweep here, or is shifting the set to L.A. going to tilt things in the Sparks’ favor? 

Both the Sun and Sparks are eliminated from WNBA playoff contention with less than 10 games to go in the year. According to Tankathon, Connecticut holds a 35% chance of earning the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 WNBA Draft based on the league’s weighted system. L.A. sits at fifth with a 7% estimated probability. 

Sun vs. Sparks Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, August 22

The Sparks enter Saturday’s game as 3.5-point home favorites against the Sun, returning a 1.51x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Sun vs. Sparks game on PrizePicks.

Make your Sun vs. Sparks prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states!

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Sun vs. Sparks Injury Report for Saturday, August 22

Let’s dive into the full Sun vs. Sparks injury report for Saturday, August 22, via WNBA.com.

Connecticut Sun Injury Report

• F Aaliyah Edwards (ankle): OUT
• C Brittney Griner (knee): OUT

Los Angeles Sparks Injury Report

• G Ariel Atkins (head): Probable

Sun vs. Sparks Prediction on Spread – 8/22/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Sun vs. Sparks prediction on the spread for Saturday, August 22’s game. 

• Los Angeles is just 2-5 against the spread as a home favorite in 2026. When playing the road underdog role, Connecticut has a 6-11 ATS record.
• Whichever team starts slow could dig itself into a hole here. Unfortunately for the Sparks, they’re known to do just that, sitting second-to-last in first-quarter scoring on offense (20.4 PPG) and dead last on defense (24.8 PPG).
• While Connecticut underwhelms in many regards, it’s still a pretty scrappy team. Meziane’s crew, per databallr, is fifth in net rating stemming from turnovers and rebounding/second chance efforts. 
• The Sparks are notoriously careless with the ball on the offensive end, sitting 12th in turnovers per game with 14.9. The Sun rank fourth with an average of 7.7 steals each time out.
• If there’s any matchup that sees Connecticut get going, it may be this one. L.A. allows its opponents to shoot a league-high 69.6% at the rim and a 14th-ranked 42.8% on midrange attempts. 

Lock in your Sun vs. Sparks prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Sun vs. Sparks Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/22/26

Here are the top Sun vs. Sparks picks to target on Saturday, August 22. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include G Leila Lacan, G-F Rae Burrell, and F Nneka Ogwumike.

Sun G Leila Lacan vs. Sparks: 17.5 Pts + Asts

• On the year, Lacan produces an average of 16.3 combined points and assists. In the month of August, that mark is all the way down to 13.3. 
• After thriving on midrange attempts as a de facto rookie, canning 58.7% of her looks from 3-10 feet and 50% from 10-16 feet, Lacan’s efficiency is down to 45.8% and 38.9%, respectively, as a sophomore. 
• The 2024 No. 10 overall draft pick has a -5.1% relative true shooting percentage, slotting into the 30th percentile. 
• Lacan is prone to being inaccurate with some of her more ambitious feeds, evidenced by her 2.6 bad-pass turnovers per 100 possessions (fifth percentile). 

Add Leila Lacan to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{wnba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Sparks G-F Rae Burrell vs. Sun: 16.5 Points

• Burrell is pouring in 14.6 PPG in 36 games this year, including reaching at least 12 points in all but one game since July 22.
• An improved 3-point shot has Burrell’s overall efficiency on the rise, as she’s taking a career-high 4.2 shots from deep every night and draining 38.7% of them. 
• The 26-year-old has implemented the short-range push/floater shot into her diet, going to a field goal from 3-10 feet 30.7% of the time and making 44.4% of them, both new personal bests.
• Connecticut surrenders the third-highest 3-point percentage (35.7%) and the most free throws (24.0) per game of any team. 

Add Rae Burrell to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Sparks F Nneka Ogwumike vs. Sun: 22.5 Pts + Rebs

• Ogwumike’s seasonal average for scoring and rebounding is 25.4. Since the aforementioned Plum trade, it’s an even 23.0.
• The soon-to-be retiree remains a premier sniper from deep, shooting 38.1% from 3-point land in 116 regular-season contests spanning the last three seasons.
• Ogwumike’s offensive (6.3%) and defensive (23.8%) rebounding rates slot into the respective 69th and 97th percentiles.
• Given that the Sun own the lowest net rating from true shooting in the league by a wide margin, Ogwumike could wind up with more opportunities to crash the boards. 

Add Nneka Ogwumike to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Sun vs. Sparks Picks on PrizePicks

It’s safe to say this hasn’t been the season Connecticut or Los Angeles wanted to have. Despite that, both sides will aim to snag a weekend win in prime time on Saturday in one of Ogwumike’s final outings as a pro. 

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Sun vs. Sparks picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick WNBA players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily WNBA predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 WNBA Finals.