Sun vs. Fever Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Wednesday, July 22

The Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever game is set to tip off at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 22, with the Fever entering as 9.5-point favorites on the spread and returning a 1.2x payout to win, via PrizePicks. 

The Sun (7-19) head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Fever (16-10) in the final game before the All-Star break. Connecticut has struggled throughout the first half of the season and arrives in Indiana as significant underdogs in its second meeting with the Fever.

Indiana, meanwhile, has the chance to enter the break as the Eastern Conference's No. 1 seed with a win on Wednesday evening. The league's highest-scoring offense has won four of its last five games and will look to close out a four-game homestand on a high note heading into the break.

Below, we'll break down our Sun vs. Fever prediction and picks for Wednesday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Sun vs. Fever prediction on PrizePicks for tonight’s game.

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Sun vs. Fever Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 22

Indiana ranks just 0.1 points behind Minnesota in offensive rating and sits within the top five in nearly every offensive category at the midway point of the season. The dynamic backcourt of Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell has been a nightmare for opponents, and Indiana has looked like a genuine championship contender.

The Fever now face the league's lowest-ranked offense in the 14th-place Sun. Connecticut enters Wednesday's contest as the seventh seed in the Eastern Conference with a 3-9 road record.

No team averages fewer PPG away from home than the Sun at 77.8, and they now take on a group that puts up just under 100 PPG at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

These teams met once earlier this season back in June, with the Fever handling the Sun 85-75 in Connecticut. Indiana will look to replicate that performance tonight after finding its offensive rhythm of late, scoring 108+ points in three of the last four games.

Mitchell leads the way with 23.3 PPG on the year and has averaged 27.3 over the last 10 games. The veteran guard hasn't scored below 20 points since June 20 and now carries the third-highest scoring average in the league heading into the break.

The Sun may simply be unable to keep pace with the red-hot Fever offense, even accounting for their defensive improvements at various points this season. Connecticut ranks last in effective field goal percentage at 47.3% and now sees the third-most efficient offense in the league.

Sun vs. Fever Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 22

The Fever enter Wednesday’s game as 9.5-point home favorites against the Sun, returning a 1.2x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Sun vs. Fever game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Indiana Fever -9.5 (1.96x payout)
• Over/Under: 178.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Sun 4.34x | Fever 1.2x

Make your Sun vs. Fever prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Sun vs. Fever Injury Report for Wednesday, July 22

Let’s dive into the full Sun vs. Fever injury report for Wednesday, via WNBA.com.

Connecticut Sun Injury Report 

• F Aaliyah Edwards (Knee) – Out
• C Brittney Griner (Knee) – Questionable
• G Saniya Rivers (Ankle) – Questionable

Indiana Fever Injury Report

• G Caitlin Clark (Back) - Probable
• C-F Damiris Dantas (Knee) - Out

Sun vs. Fever Prediction on Over/Under – 7/22/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Sun vs. Fever prediction on over/under for Wednesday, July 22.

Lock in your Sun vs. Fever prediction on PrizePicks now.

• The Fever's 94.4 PPG would be a WNBA record if they maintain that pace. On the other end, the Sun's 99.5 offensive rating would be the lowest for any team since 2022.
• No team has scored more points from beyond the arc over the last three games than the Fever, who are averaging 33 per game from deep during that stretch — accounting for 33.8% of their total scoring.
• The Sun have been the worst 3-point shooting team in the league, connecting on just 27.7% of their 18.04 attempts per game. A league-high 61.6% of Connecticut's points this season have come from 2-point territory.
• Opponents attack Indiana inside more than any other team in the league to the tune of a 69.1% 2-point rate against the Fever. Indiana's allowing teams to shoot 51.9% from inside the arc.
• Indiana has the highest offensive efficiency of any home team in the league this season at 1.117 points per 100 possessions, while Connecticut concedes 1.036 points per 100 possessions on the road.

Sun vs. Fever Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/22/26

Here are the top Sun vs. Fever picks to target on Wednesday, July 22. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Leila Lacan and Caitlin Clark.

Sun G Leila Lacan vs. Fever: 12.5 Points

• Lacan has taken on the role of the Sun's primary ballhandler in her sophomore WNBA season. The French international is averaging 12.9 PPG and could see increased opportunities tonight with the team's leading scorer, Griner, listed as questionable.
• Primarily known for her defensive ability, Lacan ranks third in the league with 2.1 steals per game. Indiana turns the ball over the fourth-most in the league at 14.42 per game; Lacan recorded 4 steals in their most recent meeting.
• The 22-year-old leads the team in 3-point attempts at 3.76 per game, shooting 31.3% from outside. In games without Griner, that number jumps to 5.0 attempts per game.
• Lacan's scoring average rises slightly to 13.5 PPG in the four games Griner has missed. She's averaging 12.3 PPG in three career outings against Indiana.

Add Leila Lacan to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Fever G Caitlin Clark vs. Sun: 26 Pts + Asts

• Clark is averaging 28.5 combined points and assists per game, ranking in the top 10 in the league in both categories individually.
• Only Alyssa Thomas averages more assists than Clark's 7.77. The Fever guard has recorded 6+ assists in four straight games despite playing on a minutes restriction.
• Clark's 20.73 PPG ranks seventh, with the Indiana star attempting the third-most treys per game at 7.5, connecting at a 33.3% clip from beyond the arc.
• Clark posted 25 points and 5 assists in 36 minutes against the Sun back in June. In 13 of her 22 games played this year, she's exceeded 26 combined points and assists.

Add Caitlin Clark to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Sun vs. Fever Picks on PrizePicks

The Fever will look to take care of business at home against one of the league's worst teams in the final game before the All-Star break. The Sun, meanwhile, aim to head in on a positive note by pulling off a significant upset against one of the East's top sides. 

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Sun vs. Fever picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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