The San Antonio Spurs (37-16) will look to make it six wins in a row as they roll into Chase Center in San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors (29-25) on Wednesday night on ESPN at 10 p.m. ET.
The Warriors hold a 2-0 season series lead over the Spurs, but with both games in mid-November, these are two vastly different teams for Wednesday's matchup.
The Warriors will be without SG Jimmy Butler (ACL) and PG Steph Curry (knee), two players who combined for 144 points across their two wins vs. the Spurs earlier in the season.
Below, we’ll break down our Spurs vs. Warriors prediction and Wednesday NBA picks for PrizePicks, including a pick on the spread. Use PrizePicks NBA to make picks on player projections or the spread, over/under, and more to earn real money if you're right.
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Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Spurs are the hottest team in the NBA right now, winners of five-straight games and most recently a 28-point beatdown of the Los Angeles Lakers last night.
That game saw C Victor Wembanyama pour in 25 first-quarter points on route to a 40-point, 12-rebound night in just 26 minutes of play. These young Spurs seemingly do it every night as this monster Wemby game followed up SG Stephon Castle’s 40-point triple-double masterclass vs. the Mavericks two games ago.
Meanwhile, the Warriors are in a vastly different position as a franchise. Golden State’s roster has the second-oldest average age in the NBA (27.53 years), and without PG Steph Curry, they have shown zero offensive punch.
The Warriors are coming off a rallying win vs. the tanking Memphis Grizzlies. Finding themselves trailing by 13 at home, they showed tremendous resolve in the fourth quarter to come back and snatch a victory. Their leading scorer in that outing was PG Pat Spencer — the former No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 Premier Lacrosse League draft — with 17 points.
“No” on the Golden State Warriors to qualify for the 2026 NBA Playoffs is currently returning a 2.38x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Spurs vs. Warriors Spread, Over/Under for Wednesday, Feb. 11
The Spurs enter Wednesday’s game as 4.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.44x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors are home underdogs with a 2.7x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (2x payout)
- Over/Under: 219.5 (1.92x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Spurs 1.44x | Warriors 2.7x
Team Picks payouts are live as of publishing and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Warriors Injury Report for Wednesday, 2/11/26
Let’s dive into the full Spurs vs. Warriors injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.
Spurs Injury Report
- SG Stephon Castle (Pelvic Contusion): Questionable
- SF Lindy Waters (knee): OUT
Warriors Injury Report
- SF Jimmy Butler (ACL): OUT
- SG LJ Cryer (Hamstring): OUT
- SG Seth Curry (Sciatic): OUT
- PG Steph Curry (Foot): OUT
- C Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles): OUT
- PG De’Anthony Melton (Glute): Questionable
- SG Will Richard (Knee): Questionable
Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to help you make your Spurs vs. Warriors prediction on the spread today on PrizePicks Team Picks, available in 34 states.
- The Spurs are 29-23-2 (55.8%) against the spread (ATS) this season. They are covering the spread by an average of 2.3 points per game, tied for the fourth-best mark in the league.
- The Warriors check in at 25-29-0 (43.6%) ATS.
- Over their last 10 games, the Spurs have the fifth-best net rating in the league (+8.7).
- The Warriors in that same timespan have the 20th overall net rating (-3.8).
- The biggest advantage for the Spurs will likely come on the glass. The Warriors are ranked 22nd in the NBA in rebounding percentage at 49%, while the Spurs check in sixth overall at 51.5%.
- The Warriors are 6-9 straight up without Steph Curry this year, and 2-4 over their last six.
- Their last win without Steph was a one-point victory vs. a tanking Grizzlies squad on Monday night.
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Spurs vs. Warriors Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are two of the top Spurs vs. Warriors picks to consider for PrizePicks today, where you can win real money by picking More or Less on player stats.
Spurs C Victor Wembanyama vs. Warriors Projection – 10.5 Rebounds
- Wembanyma is averaging 11.1 rebounds per game this season.
- Across the Spurs' five-game win streak, Wemby has had more than 10.5 rebounds in four of those games.
- Over their last 10 games, the Warriors are ranked 28th in the NBA in rebounding percentage at 47.2%.
- The Spurs have the third-best defensive rating in the NBA (110.9) this season.
- That should lead to a lot of missed shots for Golden State and, in turn, a lot of rebounding opportunities for Wembanyama.
Warriors PF Draymond Green vs. Spurs Projection – 19.5 Pts+Reb+Asts
- Draymond is averaging 19.1 points, rebounds, and assists per game this season and just 16.5 so far in February.
- The Spurs defense is allowing the fourth-lowest field goal percentage this season at 45.6%.
- Across their five-game win streak, the Spurs are holding their opponents to just 39.2 rebounds per game, the fourth-fewest in the league.
- On the road, the Spurs defense is allowing just 113 points per game, the fifth-fewest in the NBA.
- Green averaged 17.4 PRA in two games vs. the Spurs this year.
Make Spurs vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
Two NBA franchises trending in vastly opposite directions meet up in San Francisco tonight on ESPN. Wembanyama looks to have an edge on the glass vs. a Warriors team that is missing its top two stars.
Spurs vs. Warriors picks aren't the only way hoops fans can get in on the NBA action as we near the All-Star break.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
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