Five games populate Friday night’s NBA slate, and Spurs vs. Hawks is the lone inter-conference bout on the docket.
The high-profile matchup (7:30 p.m. ET) sees 19-7 San Antonio hit the road to take on 15-13 Atlanta. With the Spurs surging and the Hawks sliding, the onus is on stars like C Victor Wembanyama and F Jalen Johnson to produce under the bright lights.
Below, we’ll break down a Spurs vs. Hawks prediction and picks to consider for Friday night’s game. Use PrizePicks NBA to make player picks and win money if you’re right.
Spurs vs. Hawks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Friday marks the 107th time the Spurs and Hawks will meet in the regular season. With San Antonio boasting a 61-45 series lead, including three straight triumphs, the gap is fairly significant.
Fortunately for these teams, there aren’t many major injuries to report. For Atlanta, star C Kristaps Porzingis (illness) won’t play on Friday night.
Spurs vs. Hawks Over/Under, Spread
The Spurs enter Friday’s game as 2.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.63x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Hawks are home underdogs with a 2.12x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: San Antonio Spurs -2.5
- Over/Under: 239.5
- Game Winner Payout: Spurs 1.63x | Hawks 2.12x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Spurs vs. Hawks Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Spurs vs. Hawks.
- The Spurs are 14-11-2 against the spread this year, good for a 56% cover rate that sits ninth in the NBA.
- Atlanta has covered in just 36.4% of its 2025 home games, the seventh-worst clip in the sport.
- Despite missing Wembanyama for a dozen games earlier, San Antonio still has a top-10 offense (118.1 rating, seventh) and defense (113.1 rating, 10th).
- Under head coach Mitch Johnson, the Spurs’ +4.7 average scoring margin is eighth. The Hawks’ +0.3 mark with Quin Snyder is just 17th.
- A strength-on-strength matchup to monitor: Atlanta is fourth with 17.8 fastbreak points per game, but the Spurs’ defense is second-best in that realm (12.4).
Spurs vs. Hawks NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are three top Spurs vs. Hawks picks to target on Friday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by C Victor Wembanyama, PG De’Aaron Fox, and F Jalen Johnson.
Spurs C Victor Wembanyama vs. Hawks Projection: 27.5 Pts + Rebs
- Wembanyama could be on a minutes restriction on the second night of a back-to-back, but that hasn’t stopped him from being efficient. Since returning from injury, he’s averaged 18.3 points and 7.7 rebounds in three games.
- The Alien big man’s 61.3 true shooting percentage, 40.3 free throw rate, and 21.0% total rebounding clip are all career-high marks.
- Per databallr, Wembanyama’s 28.0 points per 75 possessions put him in the 96th percentile.
- Wemby ranks 10th among all NBA players in rebound chances per game (18.6).
Spurs PG De’Aaron Fox vs. Hawks Projection: 26 Pts + Asts
- In 18 games this season, Fox averages 28.9 combined points and assists.
- The one-time All-Star and 2023 steals champ’s 103 league-adjusted true shooting percentage matches 2022 as a personal best.
- Via databallr, Fox spends 36.8% of his time on the ball and logs 15.8 potential assists per 100 possessions.
- Per FantasyPros, the Hawks give up the fourth-highest fantasy point total to opposing PGs (52.91) on a nightly basis.
Hawks F Jalen Johnson vs. Spurs Projection: 41.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Johnson has been on an absolute tear, averaging 23.6 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 8.2 assists this season. He just rattled off four straight triple-doubles before coming up an assist shy on Thursday.
- In his last eight games, Johnson’s PRA average is a staggering 51.5.
- After netting 26.2 assist points per 100 in 2024, the former 20th overall pick is all the way up to 26.2 this year, per NBARAPM.
- Johnson’s 19.2 potential assists per 100 and 22.8% defensive rebounding rate are 100th- and 99th-percentile marks.
Make Spurs vs. Hawks Picks on PrizePicks
Spurs vs. Hawks isn’t the only avenue basketball fans have to make NBA picks. With PrizePicks, you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right.
Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit.
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