Sparks vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Thursday, August 13

As the WNBA playoff picture continues to materialize, one of its expected participants will host a squad that’s squarely on the outside looking in. Thursday sees the Los Angeles Sparks hit the road to take on the New York Liberty, serving as the middle game of the night’s slate.

Entering the 8 p.m. ET bout on Prime Video, New York is a considerable favorite on PrizePicks Team Picks, returning a 1.23x payout with a victory. Can the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup champs defend home court and move up the standings, or is L.A. putting them on upset alert?

Below, we'll break down our Sparks vs. Liberty prediction and picks for Thursday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Sparks vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks now.

{{wnba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Sparks vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, August 13

At one point, it seemed that the Sparks were on track to improve over their 21-23 record from a season ago. Since a 7-6 start to the year, however, head coach Lynne Roberts’ crew has experienced an ugly 5-14 skid, capped off by trading star G Kelsey Plum to the Phoenix Mercury at the deadline.

The forward duo of Nneka Ogwumike (17.1 PPG) and Dearica Hamby (15.3 PPG) has attempted to pick up the pieces, but things just aren’t going well for L.A. The group has lost nine of its last 11 contests and owns one of the W’s worst defensive units.  

On the other side of the floor, the Liberty sit 20-14 on the year and are eyeing a postseason appearance under first-year head coach Chris DeMarco. Since the All-Star break, New York is 5-2, including a pair of double-digit victories. The leader of the pack is F Breanna Stewart, whose 21.3 PPG sits fourth in the league. 

Heading into Thursday’s play, the Liberty occupy the eighth and final projected playoff spot but are in a three-way tie with the Washington Mystics and Dallas Wings. They’re also within 1.5 games of the Atlanta Dream and Indiana Fever, so climbing up the ranks isn’t out of the question.  

This is the third and final time L.A. and New York will have squared off in the 2026 WNBA season. The two sides split their bouts on June 21 and July 28, with the Sparks taking the first bout 98-97 and the Liberty emerging with a 113-109 triumph late last month. 

Sparks vs. Liberty Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, August 13

The Liberty enter Thursday’s game as 7.5-point home favorites against the Sparks, returning a 1.23x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Sparks vs. Liberty game on PrizePicks.

Make your Sparks vs. Liberty prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states!

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Sparks vs. Liberty Injury Report for Thursday, August 13

Let’s dive into the full Sparks vs. Liberty injury report for Thursday, August 13, via WNBA.com.

Los Angeles Sparks Injury Report

• G Monique Akoa Makani (ankle): OUT

New York Liberty Injury Report

• F Leonie Fiebich (foot): OUT
• F Satou Sabally (head): OUT

Sparks vs. Liberty Prediction on Spread – 8/13/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Sparks vs. Liberty prediction on the spread for Thursday, August 13’s game. 

• New York has done an impressive job protecting its own court in 2026, ranking third with an 8-7 against-the-spread record as home favorites. 
• The Liberty routinely take advantage of good looks offensively and prevent them from opening up defensively. Per databallr, their net rating from shooting efficiency (+5.4) is fourth leaguewide to the Sparks’ No. 12 ranking (-2.8). 
• DeMarco’s crew is uber-efficient inside the arc, evidenced by a 55.1% 2-point conversion rate. That’s second in the Association, which could be quite problematic against the sport’s worst 2-point defense (56.5%). 
• Although L.A. is a respectable free throw shooting team at 78.4%, no team sends opponents to the line at a smaller frequency than New York (26.0% FT rate). 
• Los Angeles could have a tough time securing boards on Thursday. It sits 13th in average rebounds (39.6) and 10th in per-game allowance (42.7), but New York is third (43.6) and first (38.6). 

Lock in your Sparks vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Sparks vs. Liberty Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/13/26

Here are the top Sparks vs. Liberty picks to target on Thursday, August 13. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include F Nneka Ogwumike, F Breanna Stewart, and G Sabrina Ionescu.

Sparks F Nneka Ogwumike vs. Liberty: 28.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Ogwumike is putting up 29 combined points, rebounds, and assists per game on the season.
• The veteran forward remains a sniper from long range, taking 3.7 each time out and making an even 40% of them.
• An All-Star once again this year, Ogwumike has only been more of a factor on the defensive glass once. Her 27.4% defensive rebounding rate trails just 2023’s 28.7% mark in her career.
• Ogwumike spends just 15.1% of her time on-ball but boasts a stellar 22.4% usage rate (75th percentile, via databallr). 

Add Nneka Ogwumike to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{wnba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Liberty F Breanna Stewart vs. Sparks: 31 Pts + Rebs

• Stewart’s scoring and rebounding average of 29.7 has decreased to 27.4 in her last five contests.
• The two-time WNBA MVP has never been a premier 3-point shooter, but her 26.7% mark in 2026 is well below her career clip of 34.3%. 
• A top foul-drawer in the sport, Stewart goes to the line 7.0 times per game. That number may not be quite as high vs. Los Angeles, which ranks seventh with a free throw to field goal attempt ratio of 0.293.
• Stewart’s 6.3% offensive rebounding share is the highest of her illustrious WNBA tenure, topping her previous best of 6.0% in 2017 with the Seattle Storm. 

Add Breanna Stewart to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Liberty G Sabrina Ionescu vs. Sparks: 29 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Ionescu’s production hasn’t quite been up to par this year, with her season PRA average being just 24.3 entering Thursday’s play. 
• Lackluster efficiency from floater range (3-10 feet) is a thorn in her side, as she’s making just 37.5% of those field goal attempts.
• Ionescu is a middling defensive rebounder (11.8%, 50th percentile) but a relative non-factor on the offensive glass (2.9%, 33rd percentile). 
• The veteran guard is prone to coughing up the rock, backed up by her scoring turnovers (2.7) and bad-pass turnovers (1.6) per 100 possessions slotting into the respective 22nd and 25th percentiles. 

Add Sabrina Ionescu to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Sparks vs. Liberty Picks on PrizePicks

With the bottom of the playoff standings being crowded mid-month, this remains a critical game for New York despite facing an inferior opponent. After trading Plum away, Los Angeles has continued its fall, but this team can never be fully counted out in hostile territory. 

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Sparks vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick WNBA players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily WNBA predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 WNBA Finals.