Sky vs. Sparks Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Friday, July 10

July 10, 2026

WNBA
AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin
Los Angeles Sparks G Rae Burrell dribbles during a game against the Phoenix Mercury.

The Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks game is set to tip off at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, July 10, televised on ION. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Sparks enter as 1.5-point favorites on the spread and would return a 1.85x payout if they win.

With two weeks until the All-Star break, both these teams sit outside the playoff race. The Sparks (9-11) snapped a three-game slide in Wednesday’s 106-92 home victory over the Fever. The Sky (7-14) continue a four-game road swing, looking to capitalize off a 77-66 victory at Phoenix on Tuesday. Chicago has won three of its last five games following a six-game losing streak.

Below, we'll break down our Sky vs. Sparks prediction and picks for Friday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Sky vs. Sparks prediction on PrizePicks now.

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Sky vs. Sparks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, July 10

Chicago has turned in one of the better against-the-spread (ATS) records recently, covering in seven of the last 10 games. Two of those losses came to the defending champion Aces, and they covered in 1-point defeats as heavy underdogs to the Liberty and Wings.

The Sky began the season winning three of their first four road games but dropped six consecutive away contests before knocking off the Mercury. Chicago put together its second-best defensive effort of the season, holding Phoenix to 66 points on 37% shooting from the floor.

The Sparks allow the most points per game (93.6) while yielding a league-worst 47.6% field goal clip. Los Angeles limited Indiana G Caitlin Clark to 9 points in Wednesday’s victory, its first in three tries against the Fever.

L.A. posted its most points in regulation (106) against Indiana, topping the 100-point mark for the third time this season. The Sparks continue to play without leading scorer G Kelsey Plum (23.9 PPG), who is sidelined due to a lower left leg injury.

Sky vs. Sparks Spread, Over/Under – Friday, July 10

The Sparks enter Friday’s game as 1.5-point home favorites against the Sky, returning a 1.85x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Sky vs. Sparks game on PrizePicks.

  • Spread: Los Angeles Sparks -1.5 (2x payout)
  • Over/Under: 176.5 (1.81x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Sky 1.88x | Sparks 1.85x
Make your Sky vs. Sparks prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Sky vs. Sparks Injury Report for Friday, July 10

Let’s dive into the full Sky vs. Sparks injury report for Friday, July 10, via WNBA.com.

Chicago Sky Injury Report

  • G DiJonai Carrington (foot) - OUT
  • G Skylar Diggins (knee) - OUT

Los Angeles Sparks Injury Report

  • F Cameron Brink (ankle) - OUT
  • G Kelsey Plum (leg) - OUT

Sky vs. Sparks Prediction on Winner – 7/10/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Sky vs. Sparks prediction on the winner for Friday, July 10.

  • The Sky won two of three matchups from the Sparks last season, including a 92-85 victory at Crypto.com Arena in June. Chicago is 8-1 in its last nine matchups with L.A. dating back to 2023.
  • All three games last season were high-scoring affairs, each hitting the over on respective totals of 164, 167, and 167.5.
  • The Sparks are 2-5 ATS as a favorite, including outright losses to Toronto, Connecticut, and Seattle — all clubs that own losing records. 
  • Chicago has shot well from deep the last four games, hitting 42 of 99 attempts, including 14 treys against Phoenix.
  • In the last seven games, the Sparks are shooting 48-of-181 (26.5%) from 3-point range.
  • The Sky rank second in the W in defensive 3-point shooting (30.8%). That number improves to 28.5% on the road.
  • Chicago has fared much better against Western Conference teams (6-7) than Eastern Conference squads (1-7).
Lock in your Sky vs. Sparks prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Sky vs. Sparks Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/10/26

Here are the top Sky vs. Sparks picks to target on Friday, July 10. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Kamilla Cardoso and Rae Burrell.

Sky C Kamilla Cardoso vs. Sparks: 23 Pts + Rebs

  • Cardoso is averaging 14.3 PPG, along with pulling down 8.4 rebounds per contest.
  • The former South Carolina standout closed June converting 29 of 35 field goal tries (82.8%), including converting all 13 shot attempts in a 124-94 win over Portland on June 16.
  • Cardoso has eclipsed this projection in three of the last four road contests.  
  • Her scoring average slips on the road (13.3 PPG), but her rebounding numbers improve (9.4).
Add Kamila Cardoso to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Sparks G Rae Burrell vs. Sky: 15 Points

  • Burrell is posting a career-high 12.1 PPG in her fifth season with the Sparks.
  • The ex-Tennessee star scored 22 points in Wednesday’s win over Indiana, her second-highest output of the campaign.
  • Burrell has knocked down at least 2 treys in four of the last six games. She's hit exactly 2 3-pointers in 11 of 20 outings.
  • In the last eight games, Burrell's compiled a 16.2 PPG average, including five outings of 17+ points.
Add Rae Burrell to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Sky vs. Sparks Picks on PrizePicks

Both Los Angeles and Chicago are coming off wins in their last outings. Can the Sky continue their dominance of the Sparks, or will L.A. keep its hot shooting going at home?

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Sky vs. Sparks picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.