Sky vs. Mercury Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Tuesday, July 7

Tuesday night’s WNBA slate presents two matchups, with the late bout featuring the Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury at 10 p.m. ET.

Phoenix enters the Tuesday, July 7 clash as a 3.5-point favorite on the spread, via PrizePicks Team Picks. The Mercury return a 1.61x payout with a victory at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix. 

Below, we’ll break down our Sky vs. Mercury prediction and picks for Tuesday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Sky vs. Mercury picks on PrizePicks now on tonight’s WNBA game.

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Sky vs. Mercury Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Tuesday, July 7

It’s been a tough first half of the season for both the Sky and Mercury, as both sit in the bottom half of the league standings. 

The Mercury, however, have shown a pulse of late, currently on a three-game winning streak with road victories over the Fever and Tempo and a home win last Thursday vs. the Storm. G/F Kahleah Copper has led the team in scoring in each of the last four games.

Overall, Phoenix is still 10th in offensive rating at 107.4, up from 12th before the winning streak. Over the previous two weeks, the Phoenix offensive rating is 123.4, trailing behind the Indiana Fever. On defense, the Mercury are 11th (109.1) overall and seventh over the last two weeks at 108.5.

After playing one game over the past seven days, the Mercury have four games over the next week, which should serve as a good barometer of where they're at and could be going.

As for the Sky, they continue to fall, suffering losses in eight of the past 10 and 13 of the past 16 games since a promising 3-1 start. Their latest defeat came after blowing a late lead against the defending champion Aces in overtime — they went the final 2:12 of regulation without a point.  

Chemistry issues may be coming into focus as star G Skylar Diggins, who's started all 19 of her games, will be coming off the bench tonight and took to social media to express her frustration.

Courtney Vandersloot, coming off an ACL injury, will start in Diggins' spot. 

Sky vs. Mercury Spread, Over/Under – Tuesday, July 7

The Mercury enter Tuesday’s game as 3.5-point favorites against the Sky, returning a 1.61x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for Sky vs. Mercury on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Phoenix Mercury -3.5 (1.88x payout)
• Over/Under: 175.5 (1.96x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Mercury 1.61x | Sky 2.17x

Play the Sky vs. Mercury spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Sky vs. Mercury Injury Report for Tuesday, July 7

Let’s dive into the full Sky vs. Mercury injury report for Tuesday, July 7, via WNBA.com.

Chicago Sky Injury Report 

• G DiJonai Carrington (Foot) - OUT

Phoenix Mercury Injury Report

• F Noemi Brochant (Ankle) - Probable
• F Natasha Mack (Foot) - OUT
• G Sami Whitcomb (Knee) - OUT

Sky vs. Mercury Prediction on Over/Under – 7/7/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Sky vs. Mercury prediction on the over/under for Tuesday, July 7.

Lock in your Sky vs. Mercury prediction on PrizePicks.

• The Sky are tied for the most overs this season with 13. Chicago is 13-7 to the over, the second-highest percentage of all teams. 
• Each of the last four and seven of the past eight Sky games have gone over the total, with Chicago averaging 192.8 combined PPG.
• The Sky allow 90.0 PPG, fourth-worst in the league, while the Mercury give up 85.9.
• Chicago gets to the line the second-most of any team in the league, averaging 26 free throw tries. They make 19.7 of them, which leads the W.
• According to databallr.com, the Sky and Mercury have defensive ratings ranked 11th and 12th out of the 15 WNBA teams.
• During Mercury’s recent three-game winning streak, they're averaging 96.7 PPG, 12.5 points above their season average. 

Sky vs. Mercury Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/7/26

Here are some of the top Sky vs. Mercury picks to target on Tuesday, July 7. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include G/F Kahleah Copper, G Skylar Diggins, and C Kamilla Cardoso.

Sky G Skylar Diggins vs. Mercury: 17.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Diggins scored 19 points with 4 assists and 1 rebound in the Sky’s latest loss, shooting 7-of-13 from the field. However, in the previous five contests, Diggins only made 32.6% of her shots and was 5-of-17 from beyond the arc. 
• In her only matchup this season with the Mercury, Diggins was held scoreless, missing all five shots in 12 minutes of action. 
• Dating back to her return from a knee injury in 2016, Diggins has started the last 277 games. Could her frustration with being a reserve impact her production?

Add Skylar Diggins to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Sky C Kamilla Cardoso vs. Mercury: 33 Fantasy Score

• Sky C Kamilla Cardoso leads the team with a 14.6 PPG scoring average, dropping 16+ points in five of the last six games. 
• She also has at least 8 rebounds in the last six games and is currently eighth in the WNBA with an average of 8.7 per game. 
• Cardoso has seen an increase in minutes, shots, and field goal percentage from May to June and started July with her seventh double-double of the campaign.  

Add Kamilla Cardoso to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Mercury G/F Kahleah Copper vs. Sky: 20.5 Points

• Copper has led the recent Phoenix surge, scoring 20+ points in four straight contests and in six of the last seven. 
• Copper poured in a career-high 41 points (16-of-30 shooting), with 10 rebounds on June 13 vs. the Sparks and scored 30 in the team’s 23-point win over the Storm last week. 
• The 10-year veteran is sixth in the WNBA in scoring at 20.6 PPG and has hit 20+ nine times this year.
• After starting the season averaging 17.1 points on 32.8% shooting, Copper is producing 27.0 PPG on 44% over the last seven games. 

Add Kahleah Copper to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Sky vs. Mercury Picks on PrizePicks

Can the Mercury continue their attempt to turn around their season with a fourth straight win, or will the Sky start heading in the right direction with an upset on the road?

Don’t wait until lock — make your Sky vs. Mercury picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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