Two teams that are both 5-5 over their last 10 games clash tonight as the Houston Rockets (44-28) head to the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (43-28) at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Rockets are 1.5-point favorites on the spread on PrizePicks Team Picks for the second of three meetings this season between these two teams. The Rockets took game one in Houston in mid-January, 110-105.
Below, we’ll break down our Rockets vs. Timberwolves prediction and Wednesday NBA picks for PrizePicks. Use PrizePicks NBA to make picks on player projections and win real money if you’re right.
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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
With the Timberwolves sitting just half a game ahead of the Rockets in the Western Conference standings, this game is pivotal to both teams' playoff seeding.
With just 10 games remaining this season, the four-game gap between the Rockets and the No. 7-seeded Phoenix Suns may be wide enough to keep Houston and Minnesota out of the play-in. Both sides could be just one hot streak away from potentially nabbing the No. 3 seed from the Los Angeles Lakers.
Minnesota has recently been without its face of the franchise, SG Anthony Edwards, but has managed to go 3-1 anyway and is coming off an incredibly impressive win in Boston against an excellent Celtics team. The Wolves held the C’s to just 92 points, while G Bones Hyland came off the bench to lead the team with 23 points.
The Rockets have been a tough puzzle to solve. They have one of the more talented starting fives on paper, yet their cohesiveness has seemingly been an issue.
This was evident in their last outing, when their two best players, F Kevin Durant and C Alperen Sengun, combined for 73 points, 20 rebounds, and 15 assists, yet Houston still lost to the tanking Chicago Bulls.
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Spread, Over/Under
The Rockets enter Wednesday’s game as 1.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.75x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Timberwolves are home underdogs with a 1.96x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states!
- Spread: Houston Rockets -1.5 (1.81x payout)
- Over/Under: 223.5 (1.81x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Rockets 1.75x | Timberwolves 1.96x
Team Picks payouts are live as of writing and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Rockets vs. Timberwolves injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- No injuries listed.
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- G Ayo Dosunmu (calf): Questionable
- SG Anthony Edwards (knee): OUT
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Prediction on Spread – 3/25/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Rockets vs. Timberwolves prediction on the spread for Wednesday, March 25, on PrizePicks.
- Houston is a pitiful 30-41-0 (42.3%) against the spread (ATS), the third-worst cover record in the NBA.
- Over their last 10 games, the Timberwolves have the 17th-best net rating (-0.4). This is still 2.9 points better than the Rockets over that same timespan (-3.3).
- Houston's 116.6 defensive rating over their last 10 games is 18th. That slots below poor defenses like those of the New Orleans Pelicans, Chicago Bulls, and Brooklyn Nets.
- The Rockets have covered the spread just once in their last seven games.
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/25/26
Here are two of the top Rockets vs. Timberwolves to consider for Wednesday, March 25, on PrizePicks. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by F Kevin Durant and PF Julius Randle.
Rockets F Kevin Durant vs. Timberwolves Projection: 35.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- KD is averaging 35.8 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) per game, but on the road, that number spikes up to 39. He scores 3.5 more PPG away from home while shooting 4.8% better from the field and 2.7% better from deep.
- This is a solid tempo-up matchup for Durant and the Rockets, who rank 22nd in the league in pace compared to the Timberwolves, who are 12th.
- Durant went for 39-4-7 (50 PRA) in his only outing against Minnesota this season.
- The Timberwolves send opponents to the charity stripe 25.1 times per game, fifth-most in the NBA. Durant is an 87.9% free throw shooter.
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Timberwolves PF Julius Randle vs. Rockets Projection: 32.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Randle is producing 32.9 PRA per game but has been playing some underwhelming basketball as of late.
- In March, the big man averages just 28.8 PRA and has finished with less than this projection in nine of his 12 games this month, including his last three in a row.
- For the season, the Rockets allow the second-fewest rebounds (39.5) and third-fewest assists (24.7) per matchup.
Make Rockets vs. Timberwolves Picks on PrizePicks
In a game that is crucial regarding playoff seeding, who will come out on top? Rockets vs. Timberwolves picks aren’t the only way hoops fans can get in on the daily NBA action.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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