Rams vs. Seahawks Spread Prediction, Trends for NFC Championship

Seahawks QB Sam Darnold calls a play during an NFL game.
AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez

The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks seek another epic divisional game in the NFC Championship — this time there's a spot in the Super Bowl on the line. These two teams battled into overtime in Week 16, with Seattle squeaking by in a 38-37 overtime win.

The top-seeded Seahawks cruised past the 49ers, 41-6, in the Divisional Round. However, Seattle lost RB Zach Charbonnet in the second quarter to a torn ACL. 

The Rams will hit the road for a third straight week after holding off the Panthers (34-31) and Bears (20-17).

Let’s look at the Rams vs. Seahawks spread prediction for Sunday’s NFC Championship at Lumen Field in Seattle, kicking off at 6:30 p.m. ET on FOX. We'll give you the latest NFC Championship spread and payouts from PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your NFL spread picks on every game.

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Rams vs. Seahawks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

The two Rams vs. Seahawks matchups this season were decided by three points with the home team winning each time.

The Rams held off the Seahawks, 21-19, at SoFi Stadium in Week 11, aided by four interceptions from Seattle QB Sam Darnold. Seattle managed to cover as 3-point underdogs.

In the second matchup in Week 16, the Seahawks erased a 16-point deficit late in the game to shock the Rams, 38-37 in overtime. Los Angeles scored the first TD in OT, but Darnold hit WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba for a TD followed by a two-point conversion for the victory.


Rams vs. Seahawks Over/Under, Spread

The Seahawks enter this matchup as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.66x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Rams are road underdogs with a 2.08x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (1.85x payout)
  • Over/Under: 47.5 (2.08x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Rams 2.08x | Seahawks 1.66x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.


Rams vs. Seahawks Prediction on Spread for NFC Championship

Here are some stats and trends to know to make your Rams vs. Seahawks prediction against the spread in this afternoon's NFC Championship on PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • The Rams failed to cover the spread in their two playoff victories as a favorite. 
  • Los Angeles compiled an 0-2 record as an underdog, but covered as a 1.5-point dog in the loss at Seattle in Week 16.
  • The Seahawks put together a 13-5 against the spread ledger, but four of the non-covers came at home.
  • Since allowing 37 points to the Rams, Seattle has given up 19 points in the past three victories. 
  • Five of the last six road games for Los Angeles were decided by 3 or fewer points. The Rams posted a 2-3 record in those contests. 
  • Both Darnold and Rams QB Matthew Stafford rank in the top-10 of adjusted EPA/play.
  • Seattle and Los Angeles each went 3-2 against opposing top-10 QBs in EPA/play.
  • After getting held to 13 points against San Francisco in the opener, the Seahawks averaged 41.0 points per game (PPG) in the last three home games against NFC West foes.
  • The Seahawks won three games in which they didn’t cover as a favorite. Two came as a double-digit favorite against the Titans and Colts, with the other against the Rams.
  • Los Angeles owns a 6-2 ATS mark as a playoff underdog during head coach Sean McVay’s tenure.
  • The Seahawks have never lost a home NFC Championship game, going 3-0 with their first appearance since 2014.

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Make NFC Championship Predictions on PrizePicks

Rams vs. Seahawks square off for the third time on Sunday afternoon with a Super Bowl berth on the line in the NFC Championship.

There’s never been a better time to add to the excitement of the NFC Championship with PrizePicks.

PrizePicks is offering an NFC Championship promo on Seahawks QB Sam Darnold's passing yards — set at 0.5 yards; if he passes for just one yard, he'll cash his pick. Just pick More or Less on one more player stat projection to build your Lineup on PrizePicks and earn money if you're right.

Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states!

Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more NFL picks, predictions, and news every day.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

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about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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