Rams vs. Bears Prediction, Picks for Sunday Divisional Round Game

The 2026 NFL Divisional Round wraps up with the Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears in frigid Chicago at 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday night on NBC, with a spot in the NFC Championship at stake.

The fifth-seeded Rams finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, earned the top Wild Card spot, and defeated the Carolina Panthers on the road last week. The second-seeded Bears won the NFC North and are hosting their second straight playoff contest after rallying to beat the rival Packers last week.

Below, we'll break down our Rams vs. Bears prediction on the spread and player picks for PrizePicks for the NFC Divisional Round Game, including Rams QB Matthew Stafford, WR Puka Nacua, and Bears QB Caleb Williams. 

Divisional Round: Rams vs. Bears Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

The Rams and Bears have played 97 previous times, including two postseason games. The Bears hold a 55-39-2 all-time advantage.

The teams met in the 1985 NFC Championship game, won by the Bears, 24-0, on the way to their lone Super Bowl victory. 

The teams last played in the 2024 season, a 24-18 win by the Bears. In that game rookie QB Caleb Williams passed for 157 yards and a TD.

Rams vs. Bears Over/Under, Spread for Divisional Round Game

The Rams enter the NFC Divisional Round as 3.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.49x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Bears are once again home underdogs with a 2.5x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Spread: Los Angeles Rams -3.5

Total: 47.5

Game Winner Payout: Rams 1.49x | Bears 2.5x

Rams vs. Bears Prediction on Spread

• This is the second straight week that the Rams have been a road favorite. They did not cover the 10.5 points last week in Carolina.  
• The Rams finished the regular season 12-5 against the spread (ATS), tied with the Seahawks and Jaguars for the best ATS record. 
• Counting postseason, L.A. is now 11-5 to the spread as a favorite this season.
• The Rams have a 4-3 record as a road favorite this year.
• The Rams led the NFL in scoring at 30.5 PPG, total offense at 394.6 yards per game, and passing offense (268.1).
• In the Wild Card round, the Rams' 34 points were the most of any of the 12 teams; their 411 yards were the third most. 
• Per FTN’s DVOA, the Rams offense finished first and the defense finished fourth — the only team to have both units in the top five. 
• The Bears were 10-7 against the spread in the regular season, their best ATS record since 2018 (12-5). They covered vs. the Packers last week in the Wild Card Round, closing as a 2-point underdog at home. 
• It’s a complete turnaround for the Bears, as they had the third-worst cover percentage (41.1%) from 2019-24. 
• Including postseason, Chicago is 6-4 ATS as an underdog this season. They won outright in both games as a home underdog, vs. Dallas in Week 3 and last week vs. the Packers. 
• The Bears finished the regular season ninth in the NFL in scoring offense at 25.9 PPG and sixth in total offense at 369.8 yards per game.
• The Bears recorded the most yards of any team in the Wild Card round with 445. Their 31 points tied Carolina for second. 

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Rams vs. Bears Picks for PrizePicks in NFL Divisional Round

Here are three Rams vs. Bears player picks for the Divisional Round for PrizePicks real money NFL game, including Rams QB Matthew Stafford, WR Puka Nacua, and Bears QB Caleb Williams.

‍Pick More or Less on these projections on PrizePicks — plus thousands more — to win real money this NFL season.  Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states. 

Rams QB Matthew Stafford Projection vs. Bears: 269.5 Pass Yards

• Rams QB Matthew Stafford has reached this passing projection in 12-of-18 games this season. 
• Stafford has passed for 250+ yards in six straight games, with his fifth 300-yard game last week vs. the Panthers.  
• He also has 2+ pass TDs in 12 straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL, and in 16-of-18 games. Ten of those games have been 3+ TDs, including each of the last two games (7 TDs total).
• The Rams signal caller had the most passing TDs in the NFL this season with 46 and passing yards with 4,707.

Rams WR Puka Nacua Projection vs. Bears: 98.5 Receiving Yards

• Rams WR Puka Nacua has reached his receiving yards projection in 11 of his 17 games, including last week’s 111-yard effort vs. the Panthers.  
• The listed projected receiving projection of 98.5 yards is the sixth straight game in which the projection for Nacua has been over 90.
• He hit his PrizePciks projection in three of those five previous games. 
• The Rams All-Pro WR recorded 6+ targets and 5+ receptions in all 15 full games he played during the regular season.
• Nacua had 10 receptions on a league-high 18 targets last week vs. the Panthers.
• Nacua finished the season with the most receptions in the NFL with 129 and was second in the NFL in receiving yards at 1,715 yards, despite missing one full game and the second half of another. 
• Over the last two games, the Lions and Packers WRs averaged 285 receiving yards per game; the Packers WRs also tacked on four TDs.

Bears QB Caleb Williams Projection vs. Rams: 220.5 Pass Yards

• Bears QB Caleb Williams has reached this passing yards projection in nine of 18 starts this season, including his 361-yard game last week vs. the Packers. 
• Williams has exceeded his passing projection in four of the last five games, all by at least 40 yards. 
• The USC product’s 361 yards vs. the Packers were the most of any QB in NFL history in their playoff debut.
• It marked Williams’ second 300-yd game in his last three games and sixth of his young career. 
• The Bears QB finished the regular season with 3,942 yards, the most in franchise history.
• Since Week 10, the Rams defense has given up at least 240 yards in seven of the last 10 games, including five of the last six weeks.
• Recent QB performances vs. the Rams include Jacoby Brissett for 271 yards, Sam Darnold for 270 yards, Brissett again for 243 yards, and Bryce Young for 264 yards.

Make Rams vs. Bears Predictions on PrizePicks

Can the Bears continue their storybook season and punch a ticket to the NFC Championship Game? Or will the Rams continue their march to a Super Bowl with another road playoff win as one of the top Super Bowl favorites?

‍The Rams and Bears NFC Divisional Round game kicks off Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC, to wrap up NFL Divisional Round weekend.

As the NFL playoffs continue, there's no better place to get real money action with your NFL predictions than on PrizePicks.

There is a wide variety of player stat projections on the NFL board, so you can make predictions on whatever you'd like — from yards to field goals. Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in on your predictions if you're right. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states. 

It's the simplest way to get real-money action on NFL action. 

Stay locked in on Playbook all the way through the Super Bowl for NFL predictions, picks, and news.

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