Every team’s path to the Super Bowl always looks obvious in hindsight. But right now, it’s anything but obvious who will be playing in Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, Calif.
With eight teams still standing in the NFL Playoffs bracket as the Divisional Round begins, the margins are getting tighter, as are the Super Bowl futures on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Every team that has made it this far has aspects that makes them special — but do they have what it takes to win it all?
Below, we’ll break down each of the remaining teams in contention for Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, ranked by their current Super Bowl futures payouts on PrizePicks. For every team, we’ll highlight the aspects that make them a Super Bowl contender.
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2026 Super Bowl Futures: What Teams Are Most Likely to Win SB LX?
There are eight teams left in the NFL Playoffs as we head into the NFL Divisional Round; four in each conference are still in the hunt to win the 2026 Super Bowl. Download the full 2026 NFL Playoffs bracket here, including schedule, spreads, over/unders, and more.
Here are the teams in order of most likely to win the 2026 Super Bowl in Santa Clara, Calif., according to PrizePicks Team Picks payouts.
2026 Super Bowl Futures on PrizePicks
All payouts to win the Super Bowl listed are via PrizePicks Team Picks at the time of writing and are subject to change.
Seattle Seahawks (14-3) | Super Bowl Winner Payout: 3.57x
Los Angeles Rams (13-5) | Super Bowl Winner Payout: 4.34x
Buffalo Bills (13-5) | Super Bowl Winner Payout: 5.55x
New England Patriots (15-3) | Super Bowl Winner Payout: 5.88x
Denver Broncos (14-3) | Super Bowl Winner Payout: 7.14x
Houston Texans (13-5) | Super Bowl Winner Payout: 7.69x
Chicago Bears (12-6) | Super Bowl Winner Payout: 11.11x
San Francisco 49ers (13-5) | Super Bowl Winner Payout: 11.11x
Why the Seattle Seahawks Can Win the 2026 Super Bowl
Seahawks’ Last Super Bowl Win: 2014, 43-8 vs. Denver Broncos
- The Seahawks finished the regular season ranked No.1 in defense and overall DVOA; four of the other teams to do the same have gone on to win the Super Bowl.
- As the No. 1 seed in the NFC, the Seahawks will have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs — they have not lost at home since Oct. 5.
- In the three previous years they have won the No. 1 seed, the Seahawks have reached the Super Bowl — 2005, 2013, and 2014.
- Sam Darnold ranks second in the NFL in yards per attempt (8.5).
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Why the Los Angeles Rams Can Win the 2026 Super Bowl
Rams’ Last Super Bowl Win: 2022, 23-20 vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- WR Davante Adams will return for the Wild Card Round; his 14 receiving TDs are first in the NFL.
- QB Matthew Stafford leads the NFL in passing yards with 4,707 yards.
- The Rams also have the seventh-best rushing offense, averaging 126.6 yards per game on the ground.
- The Rams can control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball; the Rams rank top 10 in pass-rush win rate (8), run-stop win rate (1), pass-block win rate (5), and run-block win rate (5), per ESPN — the Broncos are the only other team to rank top 10 in all four categories.
Why the Buffalo Bills Can Win the 2026 Super Bowl
Bills’ Last Super Bowl Win: Never Won
- The Bills are as battle-tested as any current playoff club, boasting the longest active postseason streak at seven years running.
- As long as dual-threat QB Josh Allen is on the field, Buffalo may have a chance. The reigning MVP amassed more rushing EPA (38.77) than any QB this year, via SumerSports.
- Operating as a model of efficiency, the Bills rank first in time per drive on both sides of the ball.
- Of the 11 wild card teams to make the Super Bowl, seven of them won it. The most recent club to do so was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2020.
Why the New England Patriots Can Win the 2026 Super Bowl
Patriots Last Super Bowl Win: 2019, 13-3 vs. Los Angeles Rams
- New England’s been one of the NFL’s most efficient teams, carrying 0.13 EPA per play on offense (first) while allowing -0.05 on defense (11th).
- The Pats total 28.8 points per game (second) and surrender 18.8 points per contest (fourth).
- PrizePicks Team Picks list Patriots QB Drake Maye with a 2.43x payout to win the MVP Award (second favorite).
- The second-year signal-caller leads the league with 169.96 total EPA (second-most is 120.84).
- ESPN ranks New England in the top 13 of run stuff (10th), pass block (13th), and run block win rates (12th). Controlling the trenches is vital in the playoffs, and the Pats’ 35% pass rush win rate stands out as the sole concern (19th).
- As the No. 2 seed in the AFC, the Patriots will have the home-field advantage in at least two postseason contests, and their 8-0 record in away games provides confidence for a potential AFC title clash with the No. 1 seed Broncos.
Why the Denver Broncos Can Win the 2026 Super Bowl
Broncos’ Last Super Bowl Win: 2016, 24-10 vs. Carolina Panthers
- Each of the previous four times the Broncos started a season 10-2, they went on to reach the Super Bowl.
- Since the start of last season, the Broncos are 14-3 at home, the second-best record in the NFL (Bills are first at 17-2). Sean Payton & Co. have one of the best home-field advantages at Mile High.
- According to SumerSports, no team has allowed a lower percentage of sacks (3.42%) or racked up a greater share of them (9.74%) than the Broncos.
- Denver’s defense remains elite, ranking in the top three in per-drive yardage (second) and scoring (third). It’s also third in yards per rush and leads the NFL in net yards per pass.
Why the Houston Texans Can Win the 2026 Super Bowl
Texans’ Last Super Bowl Win: Never Won
- The Texans finished the regular season ranked No.1 in total defense, No. 2 in scoring defense, and No. 2 in defensive DVOA
- Houston enters the postseason on a nine-game winning streak; the Texans are 12-2 since starting 0-3.
- The two losses in the last 14 weeks came to Denver and Seattle (both No. 1 seeds) by a combined 11 points.
- The Texans’ offense scored 20+ in each of the last seven games after failing to reach that mark in four of the first six games.
Why the Chicago Bears Can Win the 2026 Super Bowl
Bears’ Last Super Bowl Win: 1986, 46-10 vs. New England Patriots
- Under new offensive-minded head coach Ben Johnson, the Bears rank top 10 offense in pass (ninth) and rush EPA (fourth), per Sumer Sports.
- Bears QB Caleb Williams has taken a huge leap forward in his sophomore season, passing for 3,942 yards and 27 TDs — both top 10 marks among NFL QBs.
- The Bears have home-field advantage through the playoffs (outside of a potential matchup vs. the Seahawks).
- Chicago’s offensive line has kept Williams upright all season long, ranking first in pass-block win rate, and fourth in run-block win rate, per ESPN.
- That’s helped Williams navigate the pocket with the third-best pressure-to-sack rate among NFL QBs (10.8%), per PFF.
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Why the San Francisco 49ers Can Win the 2026 Super Bowl
49ers’ Last Super Bowl Win: 1995, 49-26 vs. San Diego Chargers
- The 49ers are seventh in the NFL in total yards, fifth in passing yards, and 10th in scoring.
- RB Christian McCaffrey finished second in the NFL with 2,126 yards from scrimmage.
- QB Brock Purdy since return from injury: 16 pass TDs, 6 INTs, 3 rush TDs.
- San Francisco has wins over the Seahawks, Rams, Bears, and Panthers — all teams in the NFC postseason field.
- The 49ers have plenty of recent postseason pedigree under coach Kyle Shanahan; they have appeared in four of the last six NFC Championship games, winning two.
Make Super Bowl Futures Picks on PrizePicks
As we head into the Divisional Round of the playoffs, there are no long shots left to win the Super Bowl — only teams with real arguments. Some are built on defense, other on the clutch gene, and others on elite quarterback play.
But the Super Bowl futures on PrizePicks Team Picks help to separate the noise to see what teams the market says are most likely to win the Super Bowl.
If you’re got a prediction on who will win the Super Bowl, you can back up your take on PriePicks, and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick your team, trust your gut, and keep riding with Playbook all the way through the 2026 NFL season for more picks, predictions, and analysis.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.With eight teams still standing in the NFL Playoffs bracket as the Divisional Round begins, the margins are getting tighter, as are the Super Bowl futures on PrizePicks Team Picks. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
