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Pistons vs. Raptors Prediction, Spread: Eye RJ Barrett?

Raptors F RJ Barrett dribbles a basketball in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Nate Billings

The Detroit Pistons (39-13) and the Toronto Raptors (32-22) are among the top surprises in the Eastern Conference, and they will meet for the first time this season on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Both squads have continued to enjoy success with 7-3 records over the last 10 games. Tonight is the finale of Toronto’s five-game home stand, and it's 3-1 in its last four games in the Scotiabank Arena. 

PrizePicks Team Picks has Detroit favored by 2.5 points on the road. What should we expect for Wednesday’s Pistons vs. Raptors prediction and spread?

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Pistons vs. Raptors Prediction, Spread

The Pistons have won six consecutive head-to-head matchups and boast a 5-1 against the spread (ATS) record in the split. The under is 3-1 over the previous four matchups.

Despite its 7-3 record during the span, Detroit is just 5-5 ATS in the last 10 games. The Raptors are 7-3 ATS in the same stretch, covering three consecutive appearances.

Pistons vs. Raptors Over/Under, Spread

Detroit has a 1.75x payout to win — supported by its 6-1 record in its last seven road games. Toronto lost its last home game as an underdog. Will the Raptors make noise as 2.5-point ‘dogs?

  • Spread: Detroit Pistons -2.5
  • Over/Under: 223.5
  • Gamer Winner Payout: Pistons 1.75x | Raptors 2x

Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.


Pistons vs. Raptors Injury Report

Let’s have a look at the full Pistons vs. Raptors injury report for Wednesday’s matchup, via NBA.com.

Pistons Injury Report

  • F Ronald Holland II (personal reasons): OUT

Raptors Injury Report

  • G Chris Paul (not with team): OUT
  • F Collin Murray-Boyles (thumb): OUT
  • C Jakob Poeltl (conditioning): Questionable

Pistons vs. Raptors Prediction on Total

According to NBA Advanced Stats, the Pistons rank second in defensive rating, while the Raptors are sixth. Both teams play at a slow pace, as Detroit (17th) and Toronto (21st) are in the bottom half of pace. 

Adding to a potential snail-like tempo, the Pistons give up a measly 84.7 field goal attempts per game (first). The Raptors aren’t too shabby either, limiting opponents to only 86.4 shots per matchup (fourth).

Few shots from beyond the arc can contribute to a low-scoring bout, too; Detroit (28th) and Toronto (25th) are in the bottom-six of 3-point shot distribution, via Dunks & Threes. Each team loves to attack the rim, as the Pistons are second in shot distribution around the rim, while the Raptors rank 12th.

NBA Advanced Stats have Detroit racking up 57.0 points per game (second) and Toronto totaling 52.4 (sixth). However, the Pistons (third) and Raptors (eighth) are in the top-ten for the fewest points in the paint allowed per game.

A matchup between elite defenses paired with prominent 2-point attacks could mean a low total, shifting attention to the under.


Pistons vs. Raptors Picks for PrizePicks Today: Wednesday, February 11

While both teams mostly look to attack the rim, each squad still has capable 3-point shooters. Pistons G Duncan Robinson and Raptors F RJ Barrett could enjoy success from deep, providing an angle for projections on PrizePicks.

Pistons G Duncan Robinson vs. Raptors Projection: 11.5 Points

  • The Raptors rank 23rd in 3-point shot distribution allowed and surrender 37.2 shots from deep per game (18th).
  • Robinson leads the Pistons with 7.3 attempted triples per contest. Plus, his average is slightly up to 7.8 this month.
  • He’s reached at least 18 points in three of the last four games, averaging 15.2 points per game (PPG) in February.
  • The Michigan product is red-hot from beyond the arc, averaging 3.6 triples and a 46.2% 3-point percentage over five games this month.

Raptors F RJ Barrett vs. Pistons Projection: 1.5 Made 3-Pointers

  • The Pistons also feature a vulnerable perimeter defense, ranked 22nd in 3-point shot distribution allowed.
  • Barrett is second on the Raptors with 5.2 shots from deep per game.
  • After shooting an ice-cold 28.9% from beyond the arc in January, the former first-round pick has converted 40.0% of his looks in February.
  • He totals 1.8 made triples per game and has boosted that to 2.0 this month.

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Make Pistons vs. Raptors NBA Picks on PrizePicks

Will the Pistons stay hot on the road, or will the Raptors cap their five-game home stand with another win? Points could be hard to come by with two elite defenses colliding tonight. Robinson and Barrett from 3-point land are two potential angles for points.

Make your Pistons vs. Raptors picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. Just choose players predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states. 

Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Riley Thomas is a 2021 graduate of Ohio University who has worked for FanDuel Sportsbook and BetUS Sportsbook. He specializes in covering the NFL, NBA, college football, and college basketball. In Riley's free time, you can find him cheering on Ohio State and Kentucky or playing video games and reading the latest comics.

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