NFL Week 4 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em WRs: Josh Downs vs. Stefon Diggs

October 3, 2026

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NFL
AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson
Indianapolis Colts WR Josh Downs during an NFL game vs. the Seattle Seahawks.

The first NFL game on Sunday in Week 4 will feature the Indianapolis Colts and the Washington Commanders at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Within this contest, WRs Josh Downs and Stefon Diggs are viable players to consider in fantasy football.

Downs and Diggs slot similarly in most fantasy football rankings entering Week 4, so which WR should you prioritize in lineups?

Below, we’ll discuss Downs vs. Diggs in an NFL Week 4 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em fantasy football discussion (factoring in PPR scoring settings) and highlight their Week 4 PrizePicks projections.

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Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em WRs, Week 4: Josh Downs or Stefon Diggs?

Let’s dive into our Week 4 fantasy football start ‘em, sit ‘em decision between Downs and Diggs.

All stats used in this article are from PFF or SumerSports unless stated otherwise. Fantasy rankings and fantasy point totals are courtesy of FantasyPros.

Why Start Josh Downs?

Josh Downs Week 4 PrizePicks Projections: 62.5 Rec Yards, 5 Recs, 8 Rec Targets, 13.5 Fantasy Score

  • Although Downs is the WR33 in fantasy PPG (10.9) entering Week 4, he’s produced at least 12 fantasy points in back-to-back games with WR Alec Pierce exiting early in Week 2.
  • Downs leads the Colts in target share (25.5%) across the first three weeks.
  • Of the 31 WRs with 20 or more targets, Downs has the eighth-most yards after the catch per reception (5.0) and 15th-most yards per route run (1.96).
  • Since the start of last season with QB Daniel Jones under center, Indianapolis is fifth in neutral pass rate (58.5%), per RBSDM.
  • Over the first three weeks, the Commanders’ defense is 28th in dropback EPA/play (0.24) and 30th in dropback success rate (53.7%) allowed.
  • Additionally, Washington’s defense has coughed up the second-most fantasy PPG to the WR position (39.0) in 2026.
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Why Start Stefon Diggs?

Stefon Diggs Week 4 PrizePicks Projections: 43.5 Rec Yards, 4 Recs, 6 Rec Targets, 10.5 Fantasy Score

  • Diggs is tied with WR Terry McLaurin for the highest target share (23.7%) on the Commanders, but he’s recording 1.82 yards per route run compared to McLaurin’s 1.41.
  • Plus, Diggs leads Washington in red-zone target share (30.8%) while tying for the third-most red-zone receiving TDs (3) among all WRs.
  • Ahead of Week 4, Diggs is tied with Bengals WR Tee Higgins as WR17 in fantasy PPG (14.8).
  • Washington’s QBs, Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota, are 13th in dropback EPA/play (0.14) thus far.
  • The Colts’ defense is ranked 25th in dropback EPA/play (0.20) and 26th in dropback success rate (50.4%) allowed.
  • In the first three weeks, Indy’s defense permitted the fourth-highest rate of fantasy points to slot WRs (45.0%). Diggs has the second-highest slot rate (65.9%) among WRs with at least 20 targets.
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Week 4 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Verdict: Start Josh Downs

In the absence of Pierce, Downs is the clear go-to option in the Colts’ aerial attack. While veteran WR Keenan Allen saw an increase in usage in Week 3, he’s dealing with a groin injury and was ruled out ahead of Sunday’s contest.

On the other hand, Diggs tallied a season-low 7.3 fantasy points in Week 3 with Mariota making his first start of the season. At the same time, McLaurin posted a season-best 19.7 fantasy points in Week 3, and Daniels has been ruled out for Sunday’s game.

Along with the uncertainty surrounding Diggs’ role when Mariota starts, Downs has a decent rapport with Jones and will face a below-average Commanders defense in Week 4.


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Depending on the number of teams in your fantasy football leagues, Downs and Diggs could be a WR2 or flex option in lineups. While both of them have favorable matchups, Downs gets the slight nod in a better role.

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Skyler Carlin is an experienced writer with nearly 10 years of experience writing and editing NFL, NBA, MLB, CFB, CBB, & soccer content for FanDuel Research & USA Today. When he's not writing, he enjoys cooking, watching movies, & playing video games.